COVID-19: Thailand reports another daily record of 312 new coronavirus deaths

[Kadilo]

4 minutes ago, 2 is 1 said:

Nobody knows BKK real numbers! They escort so many infected out to other provinces and put numbers in those provinces tab. Yesterday 4 local case in Loei nice to see total number, how many has bring from BK again!

The Village I am familiar with up in Isaan have seen no imports from BKK or anywhere else and the daily infected numbers drop. 

Many are also already double jabbed. 

 

Obviously  this may or may not be typical of other villages up far North. 
 

Edited August 18, 2021 by Kadilo

[ThailandRyan]

4 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Good news for foreigners aged 18+ who haven’t had their first jab yet. You can now register and book an appointment for the AstraZeneca/Sinovac vaccine at the CAT Conventional Hall in bangkok. This is open to the first 20,000 that register today https://vaccinecovid19.cra.ac.th Good luck!

 

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1427877433345142786

 

Looks like it is only meant for Thais......ugh

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

53 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

Another excellent day. 

Current calcs predict that at this rate 70% of Thais will be double dosed within 6 months. 
 

 

 

At the current rate of vaccinations, they won't reach 100 million doses until after March 2022 -- that's assuming the current rates continue into the future.

 

For the past month, the government did less than 10 million total doses, getting them to about 23 million total doses as of now (excluding the nearly 500,000 third dose do-over shots thus far for medical staff, which don't increase the public vaccination rate).

 

At the current pace, they'll be under 30 million doses by the end of August. And then if you figure 10 million doses a month moving forward into the future, they'd be at about 70 million doses by year end -- thus failing to meet their stated year-end  goal of 100 million doses.

 

And then another three months at 10 million doses a month to get to 100 million doses by the end of March 2022.

 

Of course, the vaccinations rate COULD increase in the months ahead, or it COULD decrease. So the only thing to project on right now is what's their current rate of vaccinations.

 

And meanwhile, the original whole 70% herd immunity notion that the government's goal was based on has gone out the window as a result of the Delta variant, with the latest predictions saying an 85% or higher vaccination rate might be necessary to stop the spread.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/387338812884449

 

[2 is 1]

2 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

The Village I am familiar with up in Isaan have seen no imports from BKK or anywhere else and the daily infected numbers drop. 

Many are also already double jabbed. 

 

Obviously  this may or may not be typical of other villages up far North. 
 

Is there hospital in that village ? And if has is there covid patient's!? Do you think they deliver patient's every village in Isaan where even dont have hospital!?

[anchadian]

Each province's daily domestic COVID-19 cases update in Thailand on Wednesday

Total: 20,498

 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10158206730522050

[Bkk Brian]

8 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

The Village I am familiar with up in Isaan have seen no imports from BKK or anywhere else and the daily infected numbers drop. 

Many are also already double jabbed. 

 

Obviously  this may or may not be typical of other villages up far North. 
 

Covid patients from Bangkok don't go to village's, they go to provincial hospitals, over 100,000 of them so far and that was 2 weeks ago. Villages do not see any difference. 

[Bkk Brian]

42 minutes ago, gearbox said:

I won't be surprised if it opens late December. By October at least 80% of the people in Samui should be fully vaccinated,  this should be enough to fully reopen without quarantine.

Yea I'm sure the Italian part owner will be thrilled if that happens, rubbing his hands in glee in fact. 

 

In the meantime Thailand and the locals are going through the worst time ever with hospitals turning patients away and people dying at home. This is where the focus of help should be for the government and giving some economic relief to them with decent cash handouts now.

 

The vaccinations are going to take months yet before they can even begin to think about opening Thailand up. 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

28 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Looks like it is only meant for Thais......ugh

Just now when clicking to register....

 

 

FWIW, I was talking to my Thai insurance agent a bit ago, and she said she'd been trying to register a foreign client on the site since 9 am this morning using that person's Myanmar passport number, and hasn't ever been able to get the CRA system to accept it.

 

Edited August 18, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[Kadilo]

33 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

 

At the current rate of vaccinations, they won't reach 100 million doses until after March 2022 -- that's assuming the current rates continue into the future.

 

For the past month, the government did less than 10 million total doses, getting them to about 23 million total doses as of now (excluding the nearly 500,000 third dose do-over shots thus far for medical staff, which don't increase the public vaccination rate).

 

At the current pace, they'll be under 30 million doses by the end of August. And then if you figure 10 million doses a month moving forward into the future, they'd be at about 70 million doses by year end -- thus failing to meet their stated year-end  goal of 100 million doses.

 

And then another three months at 10 million doses a month to get to 100 million doses by the end of March 2022.

 

Of course, the vaccinations rate COULD increase in the months ahead, or it COULD decrease. So the only thing to project on right now is what's their current rate of vaccinations.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/387338812884449

 

Yes going on current rates I was going by this which says prediction of Feb for 70% double dosed. 
 

It’s quite feasible they could increase the number and being that date towards. 

 

https://covidvax.live/en/location/tha

 

 

 

 

Edited August 18, 2021 by Kadilo

[Kadilo]

25 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Covid patients from Bangkok don't go to village's, they go to provincial hospitals, over 100,000 of them so far and that was 2 weeks ago. Villages do not see any difference. 

Ok cheers. Seems odd they turned a facility in the village into a temp hospital for that exact possibility. 
 

Let’s say the daily infection numbers for the Province are falling then if that helps. ????

Edited August 18, 2021 by Kadilo

[anchadian]

Thailand Covid-19 daily update on August 18, 2021 by the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration.

 

 

 

 

[Bkk Brian]

10 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

Ok cheers. 
 

Let’s say the infection numbers for the Province are falling then if that helps. 

Nothing to do with the village you are familiar with though....

 

Nice edit after I responded....555 impossible to give it any credibility

Edited August 18, 2021 by Bkk Brian

[anchadian]

44 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Looks like it is only meant for Thais......ugh

Also for foreign nationals but alas it looks like the first 20,000 have already registered.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

14 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

Yes going on current rates I was going by this which says prediction of Feb for 70% double dosed. 
 

It’s quite feasible they could increase the number and being that date towards. 

 

https://covidvax.live/en/location/tha

 

 

Thanks for clarifying your source on that...

 

They seem to be using a running 7 day average, where as my projection used a broader past month average.

 

They also seem to be including in their count the medical booster doses of recent days, which really don't count toward increasing the public vaccination rate.  If you backed out the medical staff booster doses, their most recent 7 day average would come down quite a bit.

 

And the resulting projection date for a 70% fully vaccinated rate would extend out beyond their mid-Feb. guesstimate.

 

 

 

Edited August 18, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[Dogmatix]

I went for a long time only knowing one person who had died of COVID.  Sadly he was in London before the vaccine roll out.  Now I am hearing of quite a few in Thailand, including one expat and a 12 year old girl who was an international school student. Also a friend's 37 year old daughter just died of it in Manila. It feels like it is gettting closer.  Stay safe all.

[anchadian]

1 hour ago, anchadian said:

I'm hearing that an elderly woman accidentally received two jabs of AstraZeneca on the day she went for her second jab.

https://thethaiger.com/coronavirus/buri-ram-grandmother-accidentally-gets-2-vaccination-doses-in-1-day

[Dogmatix]

A friend in Pattaya just tried to book a vaccination through the Intervac website.  He says there is a choice of vaccies, probably necessary to stop people stomping out of vaccination centres when offered SV.  This is what he reported finding on the website:

 

AZ + AZ = FULL
SV + AZ = HALF FULL
SV + SV = lots of spots available

 

Pfizer doesn't seem to be on the menu despite the 150,000 doses supposedly reserved for foreigners. Given the lack of demand there seems to be no need to import the additional 12m SV doses, despite the obvious incentives, but perhaps it can be used for at risk farm animals, zoo animals that have not been eaten yet in the tourist drought and domesic pets. 

[Kadilo]

2 minutes ago, Dogmatix said:

A friend in Pattaya just tried to book a vaccination through the Intervac website.  He says there is a choice of vaccies, probably necessary to stop people stomping out of vaccination centres when offered SV.  This is what he reported finding on the website:

 

AZ + AZ = FULL
SV + AZ = HALF FULL
SV + SV = lots of spots available

 

Pfizer doesn't seem to be on the menu despite the 150,000 doses supposedly reserved for foreigners. Given the lack of demand there seems to be no need to import the additional 12m SV doses, despite the obvious incentives, but perhaps it can be used for at risk farm animals, zoo animals that have not been eaten yet in the tourist drought and domesic pets. 

There you go, get booking. 

[Bkk Brian]

#Thailand #PM @prayutofficial

Posted on FB it pains him to see health, economic impact of #Covid19 on citizens. Said he's even more determined to work hard for people. As death toll still high, restrictions extended to end Aug. If stats fall, easing in Sept can be seen #โควิด19

 

https://twitter.com/MayWongCNA/status/1427895244591304704

 

[Bkk Brian]

Nice to see a priority for this, I've noticed at least a couple of pregnant women dying from covid recently in the stats.

 

Medical Services Dept. and Nopparatrajathanee Hospital invite pregnant women who have been pregnant for 12 weeks and more to register for Pfizer vaccine inoculation through a QR code on Aug 20 at 8 a.m. The vaccination is scheduled on Aug 23 at the Mall Bangkapi.

@TNAMCOT

https://twitter.com/TNAMCOTEnglish/status/1427895205844307968

 

[Bkk Brian]

26 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

 

Thanks for clarifying your source on that...

 

They seem to be using a running 7 day average, where as my projection used a broader past month average.

 

They also seem to be including in their count the medical booster doses of recent days, which really don't count toward increasing the public vaccination rate.  If you backed out the medical staff booster doses, their most recent 7 day average would come down quite a bit.

 

And the resulting projection date for a 70% fully vaccinated rate would extend out beyond their mid-Feb. guesstimate.

 

 

 

To be honest I think we all know 70% is not enough anyway for delta and then they need to figure in all the boosters they will need to do for vulnerable people and possibly for everyone

[garygooner]

70 Yr old Grandma in Buriram received two vaccines by mistake yesterday at the same place. One in her right arm and then later in her left. Apparently she's fine. 

I bet she flew home!! 

[Marvin Hagler]

2 hours ago, anchadian said:

National Vaccination Rollout:

 

DAY 64: 501,330

DAY 65: 546,844

DAY 66: 570,865

DAY 67: 219,840 <— holiday

DAY 68: 683,832

DAY 69: 284,378 <— Saturday

DAY 70: 162,511 <— Sunday

DAY 71: 508,498

DAY 72: 518,118

TOTAL: 20,518,228 doses

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1427871636385009668

 

I find it amazing that people (and especially people on this forum) would believe these vaccination numbers.

 

If you apply the same logic that many of us did to foresee the current situation then you arrive at only one conclusion….they are exaggerating the vaccination numbers as the one and only thing left to them to try and retain any credibility.

[dinsdale]

1 hour ago, Kadilo said:

The Village I am familiar with up in Isaan have seen no imports from BKK or anywhere else and the daily infected numbers drop. 

Many are also already double jabbed. 

 

Obviously  this may or may not be typical of other villages up far North. 
 

So by familiar does that mean you live there? Can you speak Thai/Isaan? Are you 100% certain that what you say is actually the case? 3 questions you only need to answer one.

It was and is govt policy to 'encourage' people with covid in BKK back to their home provinces. Maybe no-one in the province you are 'familiar' with was in this category.

As for double jabbed how do you know this and jabbed with what? 

These are all reasonable questions. You say these things and we would all like to know how you know. Please don't just do the emoji thing. For once answer the questions.

[Kadilo]

1 minute ago, dinsdale said:

So by familiar does that mean you live there? Can you speak Thai/Isaan? Are you 100% certain that what you say is actually the case? 

Absolutely none of your business………. and yes I’m certain. 

[dinsdale]

3 minutes ago, garygooner said:

70 Yr old Grandma in Buriram received two vaccines by mistake yesterday at the same place. One in her right arm and then later in her left. Apparently she's fine. 

I bet she flew home!! 

I felt like you know what after my first AZ for a few days and I think this is what she got jabbed with. Correct me if I am wrong. Having 2 in one day the side effects can't be good. There is also the clotting possibility. Hopes she get's through ok. 

[Kadilo]

16 minutes ago, Marvin Hagler said:

I find it amazing that people (and especially people on this forum) would believe these vaccination numbers.

 

If you apply the same logic that many of us did to foresee the current situation then you arrive at only one conclusion….they are exaggerating the vaccination numbers as the one and only thing left to them to try and retain any credibility.

Are they exaggerating the death numbers too and the new cases or all they ok as they help project the doom?

[anchadian]

Police arrested 28 people, nine of them underage, for partying at a swanky resort in Bangkok’s Din Daeng district in the early hours of Wednesday. #Bangkok #party #ThailandNews #TheNationThailand

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40004859

[ukrules]

6 hours ago, robblok said:

Anyway deaths show the real picture worse and worse.

That 40%+ positive rate in the total tests done tells us a lot. COVID should be relatively hard to find, even during a large outbreak, that it's not suggests only one thing - it's far more widespread than they can ever detect.

 

The positive rate should be well under 10% based on what I've been reading since this thing started - and that's coming from the UK where we know they had an out of control widespred epidemic - just like we're seeing here.

 

 

[welshguy]

1 hour ago, Kadilo said:

Yes going on current rates I was going by this which says prediction of Feb for 70% double dosed. 
 

It’s quite feasible they could increase the number and being that date towards. 

 

https://covidvax.live/en/location/tha

 

 

 

 

I certainly hope it is indeed feasible.

 

The only trouble is, its pretty well the "norm", now for saying 70%  of vaccinated people isn't enough, its more like 85%...the other thing is, how many other poor souls will lose their lives until then?

 

I sure wouldn't like to be in Thailand now, if I wasn't vaccinated. My heart goes out to all those desperate for a proper vaccine.