Popular Post Jingthing Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 (edited) The Thai government is doing the right thing to try very hard to keep Omicron out of Thailand. But surely they must know that is ultimately impossible and that sooner or later it will enter the local population. So assuming that will happen, how much time do you think it will take until Omicron is dominant? The answer to this has real world implications. Of course right now the booster programs need to be speeded up with urgency. That has started to happen but I doubt its enough. My prediction: One month Edited December 19, 2021 by Jingthing 4 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thailand Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 In terms of a keyword -Yesterday! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post worgeordie Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 Oh ! t a rough guess..... could be, maybe ,next few weeks, it just takes one person to be infected ,and it takes off. it must be running wild in UK , last week ,both my son and daughter caught it, live in different areas of UK. she reports it's just like a bad cold...... both unvaccinated . regards Worgeordie 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post champers Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 How would anyone know? The only people found with Omicron so far have been those tested when trying to enter the country. Have all the people on the same flights as those found infected been monitored and re-tested 2 or 3 days later? I have seen nothing to suggest that is the case. Thailand has stopped publishing daily testing numbers; don't test, don't find. If symptons are not serious or life threatening why would anyone test themself? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted December 19, 2021 Author Share Posted December 19, 2021 14 minutes ago, champers said: How would anyone know? The only people found with Omicron so far have been those tested when trying to enter the country. Have all the people on the same flights as those found infected been monitored and re-tested 2 or 3 days later? I have seen nothing to suggest that is the case. Thailand has stopped publishing daily testing numbers; don't test, don't find. If symptons are not serious or life threatening why would anyone test themself? Yes most likely it is already here. But even if so it still takes some time to be the dominant strain. But not much time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boomer6969 Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 (edited) 22 minutes ago, worgeordie said: both unvaccinated Chips of the old block, aren't they? But to answer the OP's question, I fear that the timing might be perfect for a massive contamination during the New year celebrations. Once more egg on the silly faces of the government, who should see the need to curtail the event right now. Edited December 19, 2021 by Boomer6969 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sleepwalker999 Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 Over Christmas, it will be a repeat of last year. I have 4 days of teaching at school left before the break and then I'd imagine I will be back to working from home again come January if not then by February for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted December 19, 2021 Author Share Posted December 19, 2021 So Songkran is off? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Callmeishmael Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 11 minutes ago, Jingthing said: So Songkran is off? We can only hope!! 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ohyesuare Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 I'd say it's definitely already here and circulating and there's not much incentive for the people in power to sound the alarm during the so called "peak season". We'll know the truth by mid January probably. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post grain Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 Not much good trying to keep it out, it's already here and probably by early Jan' we'll see it spreading like wildfire. As for being the dominant strain, my guess by March. As far as I can tell the entire world has had a gutsful of this pandemic and all the restrictions and lockdowns, those who want to get vaccinated know where to go, those who want booster shots can get them, or will very soon be able to get them, we've all been educated about wearing masks in public places, using hand sanitizer, and social distancing, so let the damn thing rip. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
worgeordie Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Boomer6969 said: Chips of the old block, aren't they? But to answer the OP's question, I fear that the timing might be perfect for a massive contamination during the New year celebrations. Once more egg on the silly faces of the government, who should see the need to curtail the event right now. Why did you need to say that , I have had two AstraZeneca Jabs. if that's what to referring to. regards worgeordie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boomer6969 Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, worgeordie said: Why did you need to say that , I have had two AstraZeneca Jabs. if that's what to referring to. regards worgeordie Sorry Mate, I misread some fatherly pride in your post. Maybe you should think about cutting them out of your will. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jingthing Posted December 19, 2021 Author Share Posted December 19, 2021 24 minutes ago, worgeordie said: Why did you need to say that , I have had two AstraZeneca Jabs. if that's what to referring to. regards worgeordie No protection against being infected with Omicron after 100 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post worgeordie Posted December 19, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Jingthing said: No protection against being infected with Omicron after 100 days. So this is going to be a 3 times annually thing .....???? getting jabs, the West seems to be in full panic over the Omicron , but in South Africa were it originated, they don't seem to be too worried about it, even the Doctors saying people more easily infected but way less hospitalizations and serious problems. not as bad as Delta. regards worgeordie 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HashBrownHarry Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 2 hours ago, Jingthing said: The Thai government is doing the right thing to try very hard to keep Omicron out of Thailand. Explain to me how allowing europeans to enter under 'test and go' scheme is trying very hard to keep it out? Have you seen what's going on in UK / Hollan / Germany to name a few..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HashBrownHarry Posted December 19, 2021 Share Posted December 19, 2021 15 minutes ago, Jingthing said: No protection against being infected with Omicron after 100 days. so what, when the next strain comes out it'll be Pfizer or another vaccine that they say that about, then what, we get a booster every 3 months till we've had everything pumped into us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chicowoodduck Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Got my crystal ball out from under my bed….be prepared for the second coming of whatever around Christmas? ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 17 hours ago, sleepwalker999 said: Over Christmas, it will be a repeat of last year. I have 4 days of teaching at school left before the break and then I'd imagine I will be back to working from home again come January if not then by February for sure. Without a doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post apetryxx Posted December 20, 2021 Popular Post Share Posted December 20, 2021 Why there is this obsession over any variant of Covid is beyond me. I guess some folks just enjoy hysteria while the government enjoys control. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micmichd Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 17 hours ago, Jingthing said: So Songkran is off? Hopefully not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peterrabbit Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Two to four weeks before it starts to escalate exponentially and the Government starts tightening Covid regulations. I expect some lock downs in a couple of months. ???? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shackleton Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Well we knew it would come and it's now arrived The Government will let the Christmas and New Year holidays go ahead Then will see how bad it gets after the holidays Can't see them closing down business wise restrictions on travel Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tarteso Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 (edited) 18 hours ago, Jingthing said: My prediction: One month Agree. Next text from NYT, will give a idea; Isn’t about Omicron but the Pandemic is running. Edited December 20, 2021 by Tarteso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unify Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 I've been thinking about this a bit. It's too early to tell if Omicron is more or less deadly than Delta. I've seen intelligent arguments for both cases by people that know a lot more than I do. SA demographics skew young, and there were lots of Delta infections there, so these are confounding factors. We'll know a lot more in a few weeks. It would be nice to know when it will hit Thailand the hardest, so I can time my booster for maximum protection ???? That's assuming a third shot's effectiveness wanes over time. Throw into the mix that they may tweak vaccines against Omicron at a later point, and it might be better to wait a bit. I'll probably get a booster around the new year. Other than that, I don't think about it much. Life goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itsallmine68 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 Where do people come from asking such ,I wont say stupid questions. The answer is the second Tuesday of next weeek 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 55 minutes ago, apetryxx said: Why there is this obsession over any variant of Covid is beyond me. I guess some folks just enjoy hysteria while the government enjoys control. I guess you forgot about the millions dead from Covid. I understand that for some people, it’s difficult to understand the impact of the virus unless it has affected you personally. Let’s hope it never does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danderman123 Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 (edited) 17 hours ago, worgeordie said: So this is going to be a 3 times annually thing .....???? getting jabs, the West seems to be in full panic over the Omicron , but in South Africa were it originated, they don't seem to be too worried about it, even the Doctors saying people more easily infected but way less hospitalizations and serious problems. not as bad as Delta. regards worgeordie I don’t think South Africa is going to tell us much about Omicron. The UK will be a better test. Optimally, Omicron will wipe out Delta, but there will be few severe cases. That would be an excellent outcome. Edited December 20, 2021 by Danderman123 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotchilli Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 19 hours ago, Jingthing said: My prediction: One month Depends on what you mean by dominant? More Omicron cases than Delta? Delta is around 6,000 cases... Omicron has to go a long way yet to beat that. I would predict at least 3-4 months or longer before significant numbers are noted domestically in Thailand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotchilli Posted December 20, 2021 Share Posted December 20, 2021 19 hours ago, worgeordie said: Oh ! t a rough guess..... could be, maybe ,next few weeks, it just takes one person to be infected ,and it takes off. it must be running wild in UK , last week ,both my son and daughter caught it, live in different areas of UK. she reports it's just like a bad cold...... both unvaccinated . regards Worgeordie Begs the question why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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