File photo. Credit Thai PBS

 

Thailand on Friday (8th April) reported 25,140 new COVID-19 cases, 24,854 recoveries and 89 additional deaths over the past 24 hours. 

 

Friday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 3,833,048 with 25,877 deaths.

 

The news comes as the Thai Ministry of Public Health has predicted that there will be a maximum average of 50,000 COVID-19 cases a day after the Songkran holidays next week, about 3,000 new cases of lung inflammation and 150 daily fatalities, if public cooperation in complying with safety measures remains at the present level.

 

The scenario, as painted by the Public Health Ministry, is that, by April 19th, the number of new infections will surge to 50,000 a day and, in early May, the number of lung inflammation cases will be around 3,000 a day, with about 900 cases requiring ventilators, and the death toll will be around 150 per day.**

 

**Thai PBS contributed to this report

 

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Newly reported COVID cases declined slightly to 25,140 while new deaths also declined slightly to 89 on Friday, but COVID patients hospitalized in serious condition rose to 1,899 and set a new record high for the year.

 

The new cases count fell from the 26,081 reported on Thursday, while new deaths also fell from the 91 reported on Thursday. Both new cases and new deaths for the day were below those reported one week ago, and also below the prior highs for the year.

 

The exception in Friday’s update from the Ministry of Public Health was the tally of COVID cases hospitalized in serious condition, which increased from the 1,846 reported on Thursday and set the new high for the year. Total COVID cases under care also increased slightly to 248,254 from the 248,057 reported Thursday.

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/537583347859994

 

 

 

 

A flame comment post has been removed.

 

Holiday testing numbers and unfortunately no better then weekend testing.  Next week with the holidays will be Interesting as well.

PCR test positive cases, total of 25,140 official new infections. 89 official covid deaths recorded.

 

Rapid tests positive cases, 23,751 bringing the total of PCR and ATK results to 48,891

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

 

OWD rolling 7 day average, cases and deaths up to 6th April

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

 

 

 

47 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Holiday testing numbers and unfortunately no better then weekend testing.  Next week with the holidays will be Interesting as well.

In this holiday period when case counts are sporadic at best then I guess better to keep an eye on the ICU and ventilated cases, they both hit a record high for this year.

6 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

In this holiday period when case counts are sporadic at best then I guess better to keep an eye on the ICU and ventilated cases, they both hit a record high for this year.

Those on ventilators once again increased to 815

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

24 minutes ago, anchadian said:

 

Those on ventilators once again increased to 815

https://ddc.moph.go.th/covid19-dashboard/

A most distressing situation.  I hope they are not doing what was done to my dad in the UK when he was dying a few years ago. They just kept a very severely ill old man ticking along.  It was awful for everyone.  Terrible!  Judging by the reports of patients in 'thepattayanews.com' Omicron deaths are almost always in patients already with severe personal health issues.

 

As regards the pandemic, I think it's going to be like this every day for the next few months.  Omicron will have its way with the whole population, so while holding back may feel instinctively right it might actually worsen the whole thing.  Thailand could end up with a never ending pandemic and a trashed economy.

16 minutes ago, mommysboy said:

A most distressing situation.  I hope they are not doing what was done to my dad in the UK when he was dying a few years ago. They just kept a very severely ill old man ticking along.  It was awful for everyone.  Terrible!  Judging by the reports of patients in 'thepattayanews.com' Omicron deaths are almost always in patients already with severe personal health issues.

 

As regards the pandemic, I think it's going to be like this every day for the next few months.  Omicron will have its way with the whole population, so while holding back may feel instinctively right it might actually worsen the whole thing.  Thailand could end up with a never ending pandemic and a trashed economy.

So in your view just pull the plug stop intubating and let them suffocate to death, so nice of you.

Phuket marks 203 new COVID cases, one more death

 

PHUKET: The latest Phuket Provincial Public Health Office (PPHO) daily COVID situation report has marked 203 new local infections confirmed across the island yesterday (Apr 7), bringing the total number of infections recorded since Jan 1 to 48,300.

 

https://www.thephuketnews.com/phuket-marks-203-new-covid-cases-one-more-death-83734.php

4 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

So in your view just pull the plug stop intubating and let them suffocate to death, so nice of you.

It's usually more a case of deciding not to intubate in the first place. To recap, most of the reports I see involve people who are old and have severe personal underlying health issues. They are usually heavily sedated.  Most terminal pneumonia sufferers are not gasping for breath like that- they just kind of go in to a slow shut down.   I have also seen 2 close relatives kept alive and suffering greatly for no good reason. By the time they died they were emaciated corpses- even stank.

 

4 minutes ago, mommysboy said:

It's usually more a case of deciding not to intubate in the first place. To recap, most of the reports I see involve people who are old and have severe personal underlying health issues. They are usually heavily sedated.  Most terminal pneumonia sufferers are not gasping for breath like that- they just kind of go in to a slow shut down.   I have also seen 2 close relatives kept alive and suffering greatly for no good reason. By the time they died they were emaciated corpses- even stank.

Well over 50% of all those intubated survive. One of the longest lasted over 100 days intubated, he had multiple comorbidity and survived. 

 

In Vietnam an English patient spent 68 days on a ventilator and survived. 

 

Your post really did make it sound like those with comorbidity should be disregarded and smacked of throwing them under the bus. In reality all patients should have the treatment to survive no matter how old they are. 

 

Only when ICU's are full should Triage be used, meaning that a choice must be made between patients who receive the needed ICU or ventilator care.

15 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Well over 50% of all those intubated survive. One of the longest lasted over 100 days intubated, he had multiple comorbidity and survived. 

 

In Vietnam an English patient spent 68 days on a ventilator and survived. 

 

Your post really did make it sound like those with comorbidity should be disregarded and smacked of throwing them under the bus. In reality all patients should have the treatment to survive no matter how old they are. 

 

Only when ICU's are full should Triage be used, meaning that a choice must be made between patients who receive the needed ICU or ventilator care.

I don't know.. It is a difficult situation. My sister got Covid last year 63 years old. She was kept in coma and intubated for 2 months. She was very weak when she woke up. She had to stay in the hospital for a month longer because it looked that she still was not fully recovered. But it improved and she was transferred to a recovery centre. On Monday she arrived and on Friday night in the same week she got a fall back and died... So I am still wondering, was it not better that she had died sooner? her husband and son could not do anything when she was very suffocating because of the Covid and because the doctors said that it could take up a year before she was most fully recovered, all the suffering in the mean time..Smacking under  a bus is bit too far, but let them quietly go....It is the same for cancer patients. If there is no treatment anymore possible, why with all kind of medication extent their life/suffering, because there will a day that we have to say goodbye to them and is quality of life not better length??

4 minutes ago, ikke1959 said:

I don't know.. It is a difficult situation. My sister got Covid last year 63 years old. She was kept in coma and intubated for 2 months. She was very weak when she woke up. She had to stay in the hospital for a month longer because it looked that she still was not fully recovered. But it improved and she was transferred to a recovery centre. On Monday she arrived and on Friday night in the same week she got a fall back and died... So I am still wondering, was it not better that she had died sooner? her husband and son could not do anything when she was very suffocating because of the Covid and because the doctors said that it could take up a year before she was most fully recovered, all the suffering in the mean time..Smacking under  a bus is bit too far, but let them quietly go....It is the same for cancer patients. If there is no treatment anymore possible, why with all kind of medication extent their life/suffering, because there will a day that we have to say goodbye to them and is quality of life not better length??

I understand what you are saying but that is after the fact, medical professionals will or should do all they can to help a patient survive if they think there is a chance of it, they cannot always be right.

2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

I understand what you are saying but that is after the fact, medical professionals will or should do all they can to help a patient survive if they think there is a chance of it, they cannot always be right.

Consider the Hippocratic Oath.

3 minutes ago, mahtin said:

Consider the Hippocratic Oath.

I think I covered that: "medical professionals will or should do all they can to help a patient survive if they think there is a chance of it"

 

Although perhaps I should have worded it as "if they think there is a chance of the outcome being beneficial for the patient..............."

We now have the case numbers for 7th April showing a little rise from 358 cases on 6th April.

 

Health officials on Thursday (April 7) reported 371 new COVID-19 cases in Prachuap Khiri Khan province, of which 97 cases were found in Hua Hin.

Elsewhere in the province, 52 cases were found in Pranburi, 49 cases in Sam Roi Yot, 25 cases in Kuiburi, 21 cases in Thap Sakae, 41 cases in Bang Saphan, 6 cases in Bang Saphan Noi, and 80 cases in Mueang Prachuap Khiri Khan.

No new COVID-19 related deaths were reported in the province today.

 

https://www.huahintoday.com/hua-hin-news/april-7-prachuap-reports-371-new-covid-19-cases-97-in-hua-hin/

The true number of Covid infections in #Thailand is closer to 100,000 per day, according to CCSA Advisor Dr Udom Kachintorn. He said that because the number of internal cases is much higher than imported cases, entry restrictions could be lifted by July.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1512295356293279757

 

Chonburi announces 1,225 new and confirmed cases of Covid-19 and two new death

 

Highlights:

 

1,225 new confirmed cases of Covid-19 in Chonburi today

 

6,468 positive ATK (rapid antigen) tests were reported but all require a second confirmed PCR test before being counted as official cases. The ATK positive tests are just “possible” cases until confirmed by PCR. TPN notes, however, that second confirmed tests are no longer mandatory except for high-risk groups.

 

1,229 (PCR) and 6,871 (ATK) recovered and were released from medical care

 

Two new deaths

 

Four people were listed as being in serious condition in Chonburi currently, either on a ventilator or with pneumonia. Two of them were not vaccinated. According to the Chonburi Department of Public Health, the vast majority of recent cases are mild or asymptomatic at 99.735 percent.

The two new deaths were aged 44, and 90 with severe personal health problems and pre-existing conditions. Both of them were not vaccinated.

 

https://thepattayanews.com/2022/04/08/chonburi-announces-1225-new-and-confirmed-cases-of-covid-19-and-two-new-deaths/

 

21 minutes ago, anchadian said:

The true number of Covid infections in #Thailand is closer to 100,000 per day, according to CCSA Advisor Dr Udom Kachintorn. He said that because the number of internal cases is much higher than imported cases, entry restrictions could be lifted by July.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1512295356293279757

 

It's a very tricky area that was recognized some time ago in the UK, and very much backs on to the 'with covid' or 'from covid' argument.

 

Nobody it seems can truly come up with accurate figures : https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/

 

Important excerpt: The headline published numbers in publications to date have been “inpatients with confirmed Covid” without differentiating between those in hospital “for” Covid and those in hospital “with” Covid. Recognising the combination of high community infections rates, with the reduced likelihood of admission for those who contract Covid in the community and are fully vaccinated, the Covid SitRep was enhanced in June 2021 to add a requirement for providers to distinguish between those being primarily treated ‘for’ Covid and those ‘with’ Covid but for whom the primary reason for being in hospital was non-Covid related. In practice this distinction is not always clear at the point of admission when the patient’s record has not been fully clinically coded. In light of this, trusts have been asked to provide this “for” and “with” split on a ‘best endeavours’ basis.

 

 

 

 

55 minutes ago, anchadian said:

The true number of Covid infections in #Thailand is closer to 100,000 per day, according to CCSA Advisor Dr Udom Kachintorn. He said that because the number of internal cases is much higher than imported cases, entry restrictions could be lifted by July.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1512295356293279757

 

The Dr maybe somewhere near the mark, at least according to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation current model for Thailand. 

 

Its not been updated since March 14th but on that date as we can see the mean estimate was decreasing and at 250,000 per day. If it was following the trend down then it would be around 150,000 a day now.

 

However to contradict that, the ICU numbers and ventilated cases are going up so who knows....lol

 

https://ourworldindata.org/covid-models#institute-for-health-metrics-and-evaluation-ihme

AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 vaccine shelf-life extended in Thailand

 

James Teague, Country President, AstraZeneca (Thailand) Ltd., said: “The newly extended shelf-life of our vaccine is welcome news that will greatly benefit the national vaccination programme, ensuring that doses can be safely stored for longer before they are administered. As the third dose booster programme is further implemented, AstraZeneca will continue to support the government in providing vaccine doses to help protect against COVID-19.”

 

https://www.astrazeneca.com/country-sites/thailand/press-releases/astrazenecas-covid-19-vaccine-shelf-life-extended-in-thailand.html

3 hours ago, anchadian said:

The true number of Covid infections in #Thailand is closer to 100,000 per day, according to CCSA Advisor Dr Udom Kachintorn. He said that because the number of internal cases is much higher than imported cases, entry restrictions could be lifted by July.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1512295356293279757

 

(1/2) The number of daily new infections is not 50K or 60K but likely over 100K, said Udom Kachintorn, an advisor to the Center for #COVID19 Situation Admistration, Friday. Udom said this is because about 2 to 3 times the number of those at risk were not tested. #Thailand #KE

(2/2) "I am worried that it will spread further during Songkran because people will gather," Udom said, referring to the traditional Thai New Year which starts Wednesday

 

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1512352417173880833

 

There's reality, and then there's what the official numbers say... Catching up from this morning for the record -- new year-high numbers for serious COVID hospitalizations and intubations.

 

It's not "over" for the time being until the numbers in those two categories, along with COVID deaths, start and achieve a steady downward trend toward normalcy -- which shows no signs of happening thus far.

 

 

 

The UK has a record number of infections as estimated by the ONS last week- a staggering, eye watering 4.9 million walking around with the virus last week.  Yet hospitalizations and intubations are much lower:  20,409. and 361.  That's staggeringly different to Thailand, which seemingly has far fewer infections. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

 

Oddly though, daily deaths in the UK regularly greatly exceed those in Thailand (317 latest).https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/30/covid-uk-coronavirus-cases-deaths-and-vaccinations-today

 

 

Maybe it's just a difference in treatment protocols and the way statistics are calculated.

 

 

3 minutes ago, mommysboy said:

The UK has a record number of infections as estimated by the ONS last week- a staggering, eye watering 4.9 million walking around with the virus last week.  Yet hospitalizations and intubations are much lower:  20,409. and 361.  That's staggeringly different to Thailand, which seemingly has far fewer infections. https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

 

Oddly though, daily deaths in the UK regularly greatly exceed those in Thailand (317 latest).https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/30/covid-uk-coronavirus-cases-deaths-and-vaccinations-today

 

 

Maybe it's just a difference in treatment protocols and the way statistics are calculated.

 

 

Try a difference in vaccinations as being the number 1 issue.  Then those that had certain vaccines need a booster and have yet to receive them as well for number 2,  and then add in the elderly lacking in vaccinations, number 3, and then all of these things have been pointed out to you and others time and time again.  Nothing new, just a lack of....

13 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Try a difference in vaccinations as being the number 1 issue.  Then those that had certain vaccines need a booster and have yet to receive them as well for number 2,  and then add in the elderly lacking in vaccinations, number 3, and then all of these things have been pointed out to you and others time and time again.  Nothing new, just a lack of....

But deaths are so much higher in the UK?  We'd expect them to be much lower in a better vaccinated country.  And in indeed that is the case with hospitalizations and intubations- but not deaths.

 

Oh well- I guess it's the general head scratch that happens when Thailand is compared with a western country.

Few Thais protect themselves against Covid, survey finds

 

A recent opinion survey shows that many Thais still do things that put them at risk of contracting Covid-19, while some lack basic knowledge on protecting themselves.

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40014343

THAI NEWS REPORTS: Today it was reported that 100 international arrivals tested positive. 32 flew in from the UK. #Thailand

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1512366606831464450

2 minutes ago, anchadian said:

THAI NEWS REPORTS: Today it was reported that 100 international arrivals tested positive. 32 flew in from the UK. #Thailand

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1512366606831464450

Better to test before going not when you get here.  Shake down and 4 hotel walls to stare at.