Examining Trump's Lead Over Biden in Key Battleground States

[Social Media]

 

Recent polling conducted by The New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer reveals that former President Trump currently holds a lead over President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five out of six key battleground states. The polling, conducted from April 28 to May 9, indicates Trump leading among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada, with Biden only maintaining a lead in Wisconsin.

 

Among registered voters, Trump's lead ranges from 47 percent to 50 percent, while Biden's support falls between 38 percent to 47 percent in the mentioned battleground states. However, when considering likely voters, the difference narrows, with Biden's performance slightly improving in some states. Notably, in Michigan, Biden manages to secure a 1-point lead over Trump among likely voters, whereas in Wisconsin, Trump leads Biden by a slim margin.

 

Even when third-party and independent candidates are included in the polling, Trump maintains a lead over Biden across most states. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. emerges as the third-place candidate in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

 

It's noteworthy that the polling results have remained relatively consistent since October 2023, with Trump consistently leading Biden in most states except for Wisconsin. However, the Biden campaign remains confident, citing inconsistencies in polling data and highlighting other polls that show Biden in the lead.

 

According to Biden pollster Geoff Garin, many voters are still undecided, and the Biden campaign is actively engaging in voter outreach efforts to win them over. The Trump campaign has not yet issued a statement regarding the polling results.

 

The polling sample included 4,097 registered voters across the mentioned battleground states, with a margin of error ranging from 1.8 to 4.6 percentage points depending on the state. The national polling average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ suggests a close race between Trump and Biden, with Trump holding a slight lead when including Kennedy in the polling average.

 

Credit: The Hill 2024-05-15

 

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[Tug]

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

[Skipalongcassidy]

9 minutes ago, Tug said:

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

Do you have a first edition of demcrap talking points... none of them true by the way.  If your opinion truly mattered you would be prosecuted for slander... patheitic.

[EVENKEEL]

48 minutes ago, Tug said:

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

Nice copy and paste job. Well done.

[Srikcir]

2 hours ago, Social Media said:

The polling, conducted from April 28 to May 9, indicates Trump leading among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada, with Biden only maintaining a lead in Wisconsin.

In some 2020 polls of the same matchup, as high as 60% of those polled were undecided. In the subject 2024 survey there is no mention of undecided voters. Only mentioned are those voters who are "decided."

Given Trump's comments to Republican registered voters that he doesn't need their vote if they are not full MAGA, and significant abandonment by high profile Republican politicians (ie., former VP Pence, former Trump cabinet/senior administration members) on record to vote for Biden, the alleged thin lead of Trump over Biden in swing states can quickly disappear on election day.

 

[Skipalongcassidy]

5 minutes ago, Srikcir said:

In some 2020 polls of the same matchup, as high as 60% of those polled were undecided. In the subject 2024 survey there is no mention of undecided voters. Only mentioned are those voters who are "decided."

Given Trump's comments to Republican registered voters that he doesn't need their vote if they are not full MAGA, and significant abandonment by high profile Republican politicians (ie., former VP Pence, former Trump cabinet/senior administration members) on record to vote for Biden, the alleged thin lead of Trump over Biden in swing states can quickly disappear on election day.

 

Good luck with that... 

[Skeptic7]

1 hour ago, Skipalongcassidy said:

Do you have a first edition of demcrap talking points... none of them true by the way.  If your opinion truly mattered you would be prosecuted for slander... patheitic.

All true, all the way. And so, SO much more. In what the fluck delusional alternative reality universe do you reside❓

[charleskerins]

I looked at the poll  ,unfortunately for the 40 % of Americans that care about Democracy it might be done.  I watched Putin strut through his "inauguration" and the  fools in calm adulation applauding him.  This will be America next year.  10%  of American voters say they will vote for RFK jr. 36%  for Biden 11% undecided.   Young voters are disenchanted with Biden's handling of Gaza -think about that  -so they are going to support either by voting for R's or not voting a party that is lockstep with Netyanhu .   When the SC gets two more NAZIS on it they will lament the further erosion of their rights and then blame the Dems for not running a stronger candidate ,all the while the R's will vote for a babbling idiot that orchestrated an attack on the Capitol and then as CIC did nothing to protect it.

[flexomike]

2 hours ago, Tug said:

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

 

[charleskerins]

1 hour ago, EVENKEEL said:

Nice copy and paste job. Well done.

You think ain't is from a copy and paste ?    try again

[thaibeachlovers]

1 hour ago, Srikcir said:

the alleged thin lead of Trump over Biden in swing states can quickly disappear on election day.

Indeed it can. It might not either.

 

A week is a long time in politics, so who knows what will happen in the next 5 months? Either could die or be incapacitated, a full scale war might have broken out in the M E, nuclear winter may have descended over Europe; who knows.

As usual, people will vote depending on the situation at the time of the vote.

[thaibeachlovers]

6 minutes ago, flexomike said:

 

If that is referring to the poster you quoted, I'll give you a

for that.

[Thingamabob]

3 hours ago, Tug said:

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

Lighten up.

[Cryingdick]

4 minutes ago, Thingamabob said:

Lighten up.

Francis 

 

 

[malibukid]

1 hour ago, charleskerins said:

I looked at the poll  ,unfortunately for the 40 % of Americans that care about Democracy it might be done.  I watched Putin strut through his "inauguration" and the  fools in calm adulation applauding him.  This will be America next year.  10%  of American voters say they will vote for RFK jr. 36%  for Biden 11% undecided.   Young voters are disenchanted with Biden's handling of Gaza -think about that  -so they are going to support either by voting for R's or not voting a party that is lockstep with Netyanhu .   When the SC gets two more NAZIS on it they will lament the further erosion of their rights and then blame the Dems for not running a stronger candidate ,all the while the R's will vote for a babbling idiot that orchestrated an attack on the Capitol and then as CIC did nothing to protect it.

vote Green not Greed.

[Tug]

4 hours ago, Skipalongcassidy said:

Do you have a first edition of demcrap talking points... none of them true by the way.  If your opinion truly mattered you would be prosecuted for slander... patheitic.

Ha ha I do believe I struck a nerve were in my post did I slander the twice impeached convicted sexual assaulting offender scam fraudster of an ex president?he is what he is he earned it lol anyway good luck fishing somewhere else 😂 

[Wrwest]

4 hours ago, Tug said:

Quote all the polls you like the fact is trump set women back 50 years stripping their autonomy over their own body’s they ain’t happy about it and they vote.the fact is trump wants to kill nato and told Putin if the Europeans don’t pay protection Putin can do as he pleases.the fact is trump has all the qualities of and the lack of skills of an autocrat.wereas president Biden has stood tall for American ideals supported our European brothers and sisters has accomplished meaning full legislation for the good of the country.plus I haven’t even mentioned trump is a convicted sexual offender the judge in the case thinks he’s a straight up rapist.he tryed a coup he stole classified docs and played fast and lose with them didn’t accomplish anything during his (term) unless you count damaging our institutions and getting lots of Americans killed due to his inability to properly Handle the Covid epidemic he’s toast and hopefully penitentiary bound!

I certainly hope your observations make the November election a decided rejection of Trump and his ilk. Unfortunately, I think there is real danger that I am losing my country. Fraught as it is with serious society faults/corruption I still believe in the concept ideals. There is just too much justified frustration/anger and ignorance to be ignored. Both major political parties have yet to show any signs that they recognize serious changes must be made or ... the concept fails. One post recently stated that once the polls close the final results should be declared ... ignorance? Or purposely stating my Absentee Ballot should not be counted as many electoral districts, Absentee Ballot counting/reporting only takes place after polls close ...

Edited May 15 by Wrwest

[newbee2022]

6 hours ago, Social Media said:

 

Recent polling conducted by The New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer reveals that former President Trump currently holds a lead over President Biden in hypothetical head-to-head general election match-ups in five out of six key battleground states. The polling, conducted from April 28 to May 9, indicates Trump leading among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, and Nevada, with Biden only maintaining a lead in Wisconsin.

 

Among registered voters, Trump's lead ranges from 47 percent to 50 percent, while Biden's support falls between 38 percent to 47 percent in the mentioned battleground states. However, when considering likely voters, the difference narrows, with Biden's performance slightly improving in some states. Notably, in Michigan, Biden manages to secure a 1-point lead over Trump among likely voters, whereas in Wisconsin, Trump leads Biden by a slim margin.

 

Even when third-party and independent candidates are included in the polling, Trump maintains a lead over Biden across most states. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. emerges as the third-place candidate in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.

 

It's noteworthy that the polling results have remained relatively consistent since October 2023, with Trump consistently leading Biden in most states except for Wisconsin. However, the Biden campaign remains confident, citing inconsistencies in polling data and highlighting other polls that show Biden in the lead.

 

According to Biden pollster Geoff Garin, many voters are still undecided, and the Biden campaign is actively engaging in voter outreach efforts to win them over. The Trump campaign has not yet issued a statement regarding the polling results.

 

The polling sample included 4,097 registered voters across the mentioned battleground states, with a margin of error ranging from 1.8 to 4.6 percentage points depending on the state. The national polling average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ suggests a close race between Trump and Biden, with Trump holding a slight lead when including Kennedy in the polling average.

 

Credit: The Hill 2024-05-15

 

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Sleepy Joe, wake up, go on, beat him!🙏

[Purdey]

Trump has just pledged to scrap offshore wind projects on ‘day one’ of his presidency. I swear, he doesn't know how many hours are in a day.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/13/trump-president-agenda-climate-policy-wind-power

 

[thaibeachlovers]

2 hours ago, malibukid said:

vote Green not Greed.

Sadly the "green party" in many countries has apparently abandoned the environment to concentrate on loony tunes idiocies like cycle paths that cost millions of $ and trying to ban cars from city centers.

IMO only woke nutters vote green now.

[thaibeachlovers]

59 minutes ago, Purdey said:

Trump has just pledged to scrap offshore wind projects on ‘day one’ of his presidency. I swear, he doesn't know how many hours are in a day.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/13/trump-president-agenda-climate-policy-wind-power

 

Yawn.

[thaibeachlovers]

4 hours ago, charleskerins said:

I looked at the poll  ,unfortunately for the 40 % of Americans that care about Democracy it might be done.  I watched Putin strut through his "inauguration" and the  fools in calm adulation applauding him.  This will be America next year.  10%  of American voters say they will vote for RFK jr. 36%  for Biden 11% undecided.   Young voters are disenchanted with Biden's handling of Gaza -think about that  -so they are going to support either by voting for R's or not voting a party that is lockstep with Netyanhu .   When the SC gets two more NAZIS on it they will lament the further erosion of their rights and then blame the Dems for not running a stronger candidate ,all the while the R's will vote for a babbling idiot that orchestrated an attack on the Capitol and then as CIC did nothing to protect it.

 

all the while the R's will vote for a babbling idiot that orchestrated an attack on the Capitol and then as CIC did nothing to protect it.

 

It's because of posts like that that I hope Trump wins, and not just wins, but destroys Biden. I want to see the snowflakes bawling again, but harder than last time.

[Danderman123]

3 hours ago, malibukid said:

vote Green not Greed.

 

1 hour ago, Purdey said:

Trump has just pledged to scrap offshore wind projects on ‘day one’ of his presidency. I swear, he doesn't know how many hours are in a day.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/13/trump-president-agenda-climate-policy-wind-power

 

 

Any interest in stopping Trump from outlawing windmills?

[Danderman123]

40 minutes ago, thaibeachlovers said:

 

all the while the R's will vote for a babbling idiot that orchestrated an attack on the Capitol and then as CIC did nothing to protect it.

 

It's because of posts like that that I hope Trump wins, and not just wins, but destroys Biden. I want to see the snowflakes bawling again, but harder than last time.

You want to see a bigger insurrection after Trump loses?

[riclag]

5 hours ago, Thingamabob said:

Lighten up.

All dem talking points, If Joe was on the Campaign trail in 2020 instead of being strategically tucked away in his sanctuary,America  would of been in a much better

position to judge who to choose for their leader( “repeat the line above”).

 

The evil dems , bidens, msm , academia ,Hollywood, and the 6 ways to Sunday cabal have been exposed!

Im sure i left out many other deserving leftists . Forgive me!

 

 

 

Edited May 15 by riclag

[morrobay]

10 minutes ago, riclag said:

All dem talking points, If Joe was on the Campaign trail in 2020 instead of being strategically tucked away in his sanctuary,America  would of been in a much better

position to judge who to choose for their leader( “repeat the line above”).

 

The evil dems , bidens, msm , academia ,Hollywood, and the 6 ways to Sunday cabal have been exposed!

Im sure i left out many other deserving leftists . Forgive me!

 

 

 

With Trump ahead now in the swing states , how can the Republicans prevent  0230 ballot cheating on election night by these democrats?

[Skeptic7]

6 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

Indeed it can. It might not either.

 

A week is a long time in politics, so who knows what will happen in the next 5 months? Either could die or be incapacitated, a full scale war might have broken out in the M E, nuclear winter may have descended over Europe; who knows.

As usual, people will vote depending on the situation at the time of the vote.

Wow didn't think it possible...an actual sane post for once. I actually concur and give it a 👍

[riclag]

49 minutes ago, morrobay said:

With Trump ahead now in the swing states , how can the Republicans prevent  0230 ballot cheating on election night by these democrats?

They are much more informative , compared to prior elections. 

The Gop has a massed many legal experts to stand at the precincts

in the swing states!

They are currently proposing the Save Act in the house which requires only US citizens can vote , funny thing is 

there is a law on the books that only US citizens can only vote in federal elections. I don’t see it getting any traction in the Senate.

That being said eyes & ears open , fingers crossed and hope the election takes place barring any emergencies that would prevent it!

 

Edited May 15 by riclag

[candide]

53 minutes ago, morrobay said:

With Trump ahead now in the swing states , how can the Republicans prevent  0230 ballot cheating on election night by these democrats?

And Hugo Chavez. Don't forget Hugo Chavez 😀

 

[candide]

6 minutes ago, riclag said:

They are much more informative , compared to prior elections. 

The Gop has a massed many legal experts to stand at the precincts

in the swing states!

They are currently proposing the Save Act in the house which requires only US citizens can vote , funny thing is 

there is a law on the books that only US citizens can only vote in federal elections. I don’t see it getting any traction in the Senate.

That being said eyes & ears open , fingers crossed and hope the election takes place barring any emergencies that would prevent it!

 

It seems the GOP is spending much resources to keep the ridiculous and debunked Big Lie alive! 😀