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JD Vance Faces Pivotal Moment in Vice Presidential Debate


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Ohio Senator JD Vance is approaching a critical moment in his political career as he prepares to debate Minnesota Governor Tim Walz in the vice-presidential face-off next week. The first-term senator, often regarded as a potential future leader of the MAGA movement, will step onto the debate stage amid poor polling numbers and increasing scrutiny over his controversial statements and positions. For Vance, this debate could determine whether he strengthens his political standing or further alienates voters, as he seeks to establish himself as a leading figure in the post-Trump era.

 

Tammy Vigil, a professor of media science at Boston University, said that for Vance, this debate might be a make-or-break moment. “Vance has been in the news so much, for a lot of not-always-positive things,” Vigil said. “He has an opportunity here to either try to change the narrative or reinforce the narrative.”

 

Vance’s political journey began with his memoir *Hillbilly Elegy*, which chronicled his experiences growing up in Appalachia, surrounded by poverty and addiction. A former Marine and venture capitalist, Vance initially criticized Donald Trump but later embraced the former president’s America First agenda. With Trump’s endorsement, Vance won his Senate seat by defeating Democratic challenger Tim Ryan. Since then, he has become one of the most prominent figures in the America First movement. He has also admitted that his past criticism of Trump was misguided, a position Trump himself has accepted, calling Vance a loyal ally.

 

However, Vance’s association with Trump, while boosting his profile, has not insulated him from criticism within his own party. His foreign policy views and lack of political experience have raised doubts among some Republicans, particularly as Trump’s campaign progresses toward the 2024 election. Should Trump lose, he has said he will not run again, positioning Vance as a potential frontrunner for 2028. Yet, current polling presents challenges for Vance, with both he and Trump underwater in favorability ratings. Aggregated polls from The Hill and Decision Desk HQ reveal Vance has a net favorability of -11, with 49 percent of voters viewing him unfavorably.

 

“Vance, at least if you look at the polls, is one of the singularly most unpopular vice presidential candidates around,” said Leonard Steinhorn, a professor of public communication at American University. Whether Vance can shift public opinion during the debate “will depend on A) his demeanor, and B) how well he makes his case, how well he sort of sands the edges of some of the things that he’s been saying,” Steinhorn noted.

 

Among Vance’s most criticized remarks are his previous critiques of Trump and inflammatory comments aimed at Democrats. He faced recent backlash for amplifying a false claim about Haitian migrants and drawing criticism from pop star Taylor Swift for calling out “childless cat ladies,” a comment he defended as sarcastic.

 

While Vance grapples with these issues, his Democratic opponent, Tim Walz, faces his own challenges. Walz, relatively unknown on the national stage, went viral this summer for his humorous critiques of the Trump-Vance ticket. Still, he must introduce himself to a broader audience while contending with attacks from the right about his progressive record and how he has represented his military service. Democratic strategist Steven Maviglio pointed out that, although Walz also faces hurdles, Vance is “more defined, and unfavorably” than his rival.

 

Political analysts agree that the debate could have significant implications for Vance’s future. “In addition to some of Vance’s controversial comments on the trail or in interviews … Vance may have to clean up some of Trump’s comments from the debate,” said Aaron Kall, director of debate at the University of Michigan. Kall noted that Vance’s performance could be crucial as he seeks to present himself as a contender for leadership within the MAGA movement.

 

As Vance prepares for this pivotal moment, the stakes are higher than usual in a race where both Trump and Vice President Harris are closely matched in battleground states. With national polls showing a narrow lead for Harris, the Vance-Walz debate may offer a final opportunity for both campaigns to sway voters, particularly with the likelihood of a second presidential debate appearing slim.

 

The debate will air at 9 p.m. Tuesday Eastern on CBS News, moderated by Norah O'Donnell and Margaret Brennan.

 

Based on a report from: The Hill 2024-09-30

 

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