1) You must have a long-term visa or extension in order to get a 5-year license. Without that you will receive another 2-year renewal. This may vary from DLT office to office, but I've never heard of this particular item varying.
2) You are correct that you must have the 5-year license in order to get an IDP. You should be able to get it immediately after receipt of your 5-year license.
Your argument seems contorted but your not linked links are broken, the first goes to a paywall, second just says site can't be reached.
Rather than shadowbox soundbites let me just say the Saudi's often talk about and some times do lower oil prices. Most recently they threatened $50/barrel in October 2024. Lowering oil price has been discussed for quite some time as a means of further squeezing Putin's horrific war machine. Have you gone full Putin?
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