Sharp increase in Covid-19 cases in Thai provinces 'cause for concern'

[Jonathan Fairfield]

Sharp increase in Covid-19 cases in provinces 'cause for concern'

 

 

Medical officials are greatly concerned abou the new coronavirus (Covid-19) spreading to other provinces.

 

The Public Health Ministry revealed at a media briefing on Sunday that the infection rate in other provinces had tended to increase. The number of confirmed cases in other provinces had risen to 236 on March 22 from 59 cases on March 19 compared with Bangkok's 363 cases, up from 213 on March 19.

 

The ministry officials also expressed concern that the temporary closure of locations in Bangkok and its surrounding provinces will cause many people to transfer to other provinces.

 

The Department of Disease Control has sought the cooperation of each provincial admission office to make a search and surveillance plan at the district and village levels to ask people to stay at home and stop travelling.

 

Source: https://www.nationthailand.com/news/30384612

 

-- © Copyright The Nation Thailand 2020-03-22

Follow Thaivisa on LINE for breaking COVID-19 updates

[DLock]

Well, you did nothing for the month of February, including no testing, and now you shut everything down, and those people exposed are now going home to establish new infection hubs.

 

...you didn't really think about this, did you?

[CLW]

Pro-active and preventive thinking hardly to be found here...

 

Bus station Mor Chit was packed today.

 

 

Edited March 22, 2020 by CLW
Add picture

[Just1Voice]

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

[CGW]

9 minutes ago, Just1Voice said:

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

I hope you are wrong, but they are prime candidates for sure, their respiratory systems are not going to be in great shape with all the pollution & smoking, poor diets and poor living conditions. ????

I disagree with "their own ignorance" they are not very well informed nor have they ever been, but the end result will be the same.

[SkyFax]

Well given those MoChit photos I hope there are not any muay Thai boxing enthusiasts in the crowd.

[NCC1701A]

everything OK Thailand. Sure.

[Brigand]

You have to realise that the locals don't give a flying fc*k about this sort of thing. You can't appeal to their better nature as it's concentrated on me me me. They will not do as they are told, will all disappear to where they want and to hell with the consequences as long as I'm OK. There is very little community beyond the villages and even in the village it's vicious. The photos of Morchit sum it up well ...screw everyone so long as I get out. They may as well just accept the casualty rates and carry on as normal as you are not going to get any coming together of society as it looks like everyone for themselves and if it gets you it gets you. A symptom of the modern world I'm afraid and we will see the results soon enough.

[sjaak327]

28 minutes ago, Just1Voice said:

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

If the mortality rate worldwide is anything to go by, it comes around 4% mortality rate, with the age of most affected being >70. I think this prediction is way, way off. 

 

Furthermore, people going back to the provinces isn't out of ignorance but out of sheer necessity. No job means no money, no money means no food and a place to stay. It is hardly rocket science. 

Edited March 22, 2020 by sjaak327

[Denim]

3 minutes ago, Brigand said:

They will not do as they are told,

 

Plenty of examples of this sort of behavior in our own countries. Can't fix stupid no matter where it rears its face.

[Susco]

38 minutes ago, Just1Voice said:

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

I hate to say it, but you have no idea what your are talking about.

 

The mortality rate of covid-19 is about 1%, of the people that get infected, which is so far in the worst case in the world 0.5% of the population (San Marino) , so how would it be possible for any country to have 20% of their population die of the virus?

 

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/22/what-is-coronavirus-and-what-is-the-mortality-rate

What is the mortality rate of the new coronavirus?

It is probably about or a bit less than 1%. Much higher figures have been flying about, but the chief medical officer, Chris Whitty, is one of those who believes it will prove to be 1% or lower. The World Health Organization’s director general, Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, talked of 3.4%, but his figure was calculated by dividing the number of deaths by the number of officially confirmed cases. We know there are many more mild cases that do not get to hospital and are not being counted, which would bring the mortality rate significantly down.

Edited March 22, 2020 by Susco

[Crossy]

A post with a (badly) disguised reference to to the royal family, and responses to same, have been removed.

[GeorgeCross]

32 minutes ago, Just1Voice said:

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

 

can't blame the people for trying to save themselves, place it where it's due - this incompetent administration. seriously did they learn nothing from Milan?? shutting all the businesses BEFORE locking Bangkok down - the idiots, what did they think would happen?

 

the people are still fleeing and the government are nowhere to be found

 

this is gonna be a disaster 

 

[PerkinsCuthbert]

10 minutes ago, sjaak327 said:

If the mortality rate worldwide is anything to go by, it comes around 4% mortality rate, with the age of most affected being >70. I think this prediction is way, way off. 

 

Furthermore, people going back to the provinces isn't out of ignorance but out of sheer necessity. No job means no money, no money means no food and a place to stay. It is hardly rocket science. 

Thanks for the sane, considered post.

[ThailandRyan]

16 hours ago, CLW said:

Pro-active and preventive thinking hardly to be found here...

 

Bus station Mor Chit was packed today.

 

 

And the Government had the ability to stop this from happening.  Go figure how many of those folks are asymptomatic and infected and now you just added 100's more to the total spread throughout the provinces.  Such <deleted>...twits this regime is....

[exparte]

Obviously it was not a concern for the people who decided to do nothing to stop the mass exodus of Bangkok!

[dinsdale]

18 minutes ago, Brigand said:

You have to realise that the locals don't give a flying fc*k about this sort of thing. You can't appeal to their better nature as it's concentrated on me me me. They will not do as they are told, will all disappear to where they want and to hell with the consequences as long as I'm OK. There is very little community beyond the villages and even in the village it's vicious. The photos of Morchit sum it up well ...screw everyone so long as I get out. They may as well just accept the casualty rates and carry on as normal as you are not going to get any coming together of society as it looks like everyone for themselves and if it gets you it gets you. A symptom of the modern world I'm afraid and we will see the results soon enough.

Agree. Individualism, one of the great bastions of capitalism, is front and centre.

[ThailandRyan]

1 minute ago, dinsdale said:

Agree. Individualism, one of the great bastions of capitalism, is front and centre.

Pure Pandemonium, and chaos will surely ensue.....oh how I hope I am wrong.  After 35 years between the military, Law Enforcement, and the medical field, this does not bode well.  Stay safe folks.  Time for me to go into my self imposed lock down here in BKK.  

[Orton Rd]

48 minutes ago, Just1Voice said:

Hate to say it, and would hate to see it, but I have a feeling Thailand may lose one-fifth of their population before this is through, mostly because of their own ignorance. 

More like the governments incompetence and giving out the wrong and unhelpful info, what was that dreadful feelgood film they made, Thai can win type rubbish with zero information in it. pointless.

[473geo]

Can't stop something that has perhaps remained undiscovered, however one could suggest it has just arrived, and spread quickly

[dogfish180]

It's about time for a coup ????????

[Boomer6969]

40 minutes ago, sjaak327 said:

If the mortality rate worldwide is anything to go by, it comes around 4% mortality rate, with the age of most affected being >70. I think this prediction is way, way off. 

 

Furthermore, people going back to the provinces isn't out of ignorance but out of sheer necessity. No job means no money, no money means no food and a place to stay. It is hardly rocket science. 

Yes, but with what we see all over this country, and particularly the migration of jobless people from the capital to the provinces, we could expect the infection to take its maximal extent, which scientists estimate in a range of 50 to 70% of the total population, hence 33 to 46 million people. If the mortality rate was 1% it would mean 330 000 to 460 000 deaths. I let you apply the math if the death rate is higher or lower. Good luck to all.

[DLock]

46 minutes ago, Denim said:

 

Plenty of examples of this sort of behavior in our own countries. Can't fix stupid no matter where it rears its face.

 

Don't have to look to far in Pattaya or Phuket at people cramming into "restaurants" drinking and mixing with girls like there was nothing wrong.

 

...it's not just Thais.

[VocalNeal]

You also don't have to look much closer than the crowds at MoChit bus terminal.

[Isaan Alan]

I seem to remember That while Trump called the Corona Virus a 'Democratic hoax", back at the start of this LOS fearless leader said he can cure it in a week. 

[geriatrickid]

1 hour ago, CLW said:

Pro-active and preventive thinking hardly to be found here...

 

Bus station Mor Chit was packed today.

 

 

Heartbreaking because I know some of those people will die from this and  others will infect a loved one, killing that person.  All could have been prevented had the government   shown common sense and explained to the people the  infection fundamentals.

[sjaak327]

25 minutes ago, Boomer6969 said:

Yes, but with what we see all over this country, and particularly the migration of jobless people from the capital to the provinces, we could expect the infection to take its maximal extent, which scientists estimate in a range of 50 to 70% of the total population, hence 33 to 46 million people. If the mortality rate was 1% it would mean 330 000 to 460 000 deaths. I let you apply the math if the death rate is higher or lower. Good luck to all.

so what else are they supposed to do, with the government doing nothing to help their situation, they do what any normal human being would do, go back home.

[geriatrickid]

1 hour ago, sjaak327 said:

If the mortality rate worldwide is anything to go by, it comes around 4% mortality rate, with the age of most affected being >70. I think this prediction is way, way off. 

 

Furthermore, people going back to the provinces isn't out of ignorance but out of sheer necessity. No job means no money, no money means no food and a place to stay. It is hardly rocket science. 

The age and mortality numbers tossed about are not reliable.

Why? Because we are seeing  European, US, Canadian, UK specific results. Some regions are worse than others. Some regions have more young with complications. That magical older than 70 at risk age  was  pushed to 65 then 60 and now it is 45 in some regions.

There is a lot still developing. Some will do much better than others. And alas, others will do much worse.

[Moonlover]

When I check on the location map for confirmed cases around us in north east Issan, there are 2 not very far away. Neither are a cause of concern as they are over 150kms away and are both isolated.

 

But what is notable is that they are both connected with the Thai boxing tournament. I think they must be really regretting that they allowed that event to go ahead.

[idiot farang]

12 minutes ago, Moonlover said:

But what is notable is that they are both connected with the Thai boxing tournament. I think they must be really regretting that they allowed that event to go ahead.

Call me cynical, but, from my experience, if they made money from the event and didn't get the virus themselves, they're fine with the fact that it went forward. 

Edited March 22, 2020 by idiot farang