Have we broken the back of the pandemic in Thailand? Numbers down though NE remains high

[webfact]

Picture: Thai Rath

 

Thai Rath reported the comments of Dr Jakkrarat Pithayawonganon of the DDC yesterday regarding the state of the Covid-19 pandemic.

 

Numbers of infections were considerably down compared to the around 20,000 infections daily in previous weeks.

 

The figure was 9,331 with far fewer people suffering serious infections or having to be intubated. Most of those were the elderly or people with other health conditions.

 

What with more recoveries and the overlying trend in the last seven days of those treated as outpatient-cum-home isolation and in full home isolation dropping by tens of thousands from 498,578 last week, Thai authorities are beginning to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

 

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Begging the question as to whether the pandemic in Thailand is in its final weeks and months. 

 

There were 84 deaths, mostly the unvaccinated. 

 

The North East, Central Region and eastern seaboard presented the most infections with some parts of Isaan still high. 

 

People are being urged to get their boosters especially the vulnerable and the elderly. 

 

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[law ling]

To answer the question posed in the headline: I'd need to know the total number of tests performed per day ... in addition to the number of new infections.

[bert bloggs]

Well had my second booster,hope it keeps the virus at bay,

[spidermike007]

No, we have not broken covid's back. But, Omicron was a lighter version of covid, and despite the failures of the government and especially Anutin, it appears to be dissipating, thankfully. No doubt they will take great credit for it's demise. Anutin is not exactly known for his humble and graceful approach to anything. 

[4MyEgo]

Waiting for the sub-variant B2.12.1 from the USA, then we will see the figured go through the roof again as it's even more contagious than it's predecessors. 

 

Just got to learn to live with it, as it's here to stay.

 

 

Edited May 3, 2022 by 4MyEgo

[StayinThailand2much]

4 hours ago, law ling said:

To answer the question posed in the headline: I'd need to know the total number of tests performed per day ... in addition to the number of new infections.

What are the numbers in the different regions? What is the number of RTP and ATK tests? What is the the testing methodology? - So many questions, for which the answers are relevant to know whether the current wave is slowing down. Not to mention other Covid-19 varieties constantly evolving around the world.

[IamNoone88]

The only "back" that has "been broken" is finally acceptance that we have to live with it and a broken economy. Covid is still virulent and out there, the economy has taken a beating ........ we have to get on with life and fix our businesses.

[Bowring]

New variants already picking up in the West, more contagious and with heavier symptoms, similar to the original CoVid,  Sadly cases of people with 3 vaccine shots getting it.

Coming to Thailand soon, courtesy of the free for all entry policy

[Almer]

5 hours ago, spidermike007 said:

No, we have not broken covid's back. But, Omicron was a lighter version of covid, and despite the failures of the government and especially Anutin, it appears to be dissipating, thankfully. No doubt they will take great credit for it's demise. Anutin is not exactly known for his humble and graceful approach to anything. 

I am 72 just over (almost) Omicron. I am a fit 72 but it knocked me for 6, in the village there are many many many walking about either coughing sweating or a job to put one foot in front of the other,

Anutin should visit the sticks to get a better angle in the situation

[CharlieH]

Reported off topic post removed.

[huangnon]

Just spent a month in the UK. -England now fully mask / fear-free, and Scotland to follow. People getting on with their lives again, and for the most part seems like Covid never happened, other than the faded distancing stickers still in shops and banks, etc..

Surprising what a little press / media freedom can do for a country. -Boris and his Govt getting caught out and reported for breaking all their own rules, and thus having to repeal them . Makes one wonder if they were just arbitrary in the first place, tbh?

 

Now back to Facemask Central SEA. ???? Whoopty-doo.

[hotchilli]

5 hours ago, law ling said:

To answer the question posed in the headline: I'd need to know the total number of tests performed per day ... in addition to the number of new infections.

Around me at the moment I know of more infections than there were during the height of the Delta variant... lower number my backside.

[hotchilli]

5 hours ago, bert bloggs said:

Well had my second booster,hope it keeps the virus at bay,

Vaccinations and boosters are said to be questionable as a deterrent against the infection, however your common sense still works.

[RandiRona]

55 minutes ago, Bowring said:

New variants already picking up in the West, more contagious and with heavier symptoms, similar to the original CoVid,  Sadly cases of people with 3 vaccine shots getting it.

Coming to Thailand soon, courtesy of the free for all entry policy

There was no free for all policy earlier but Thailand still got all version of this virus. Forget about Thailand, China which is biggest fortress with iron clad lockdown policies got all flavors. You cant stop a virus, mitigation, education, prevention policies can slow it down and make it manageable.

Edited May 3, 2022 by RandiRona

[4MyEgo]

1 hour ago, Bowring said:

New variants already picking up in the West, more contagious and with heavier symptoms, similar to the original CoVid,

Would you care to provide a link with that, as I read the sub-variant B2.12.1 is more contagious, but no worse then what is out there.

 

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/ba-2-12-1-all-you-need-to-know-about-new-omicron-ba-2-sub-variant-2904303

 

Edited May 3, 2022 by 4MyEgo

[spidermike007]

35 minutes ago, Almer said:

I am 72 just over (almost) Omicron. I am a fit 72 but it knocked me for 6, in the village there are many many many walking about either coughing sweating or a job to put one foot in front of the other,

Anutin should visit the sticks to get a better angle in the situation

That would mean doing something productive, and substantial. He seems utterly opposed to that kind of thing. 

[vivananahuahin]

They will keep the emergency decree and can change from day to day, in begin 2020 a new disease the shock period, in june 2020 until now terror time keeping people anxious, now they realize the mistake but never admit it, it is not yet the end i think personally.

[mrfill]

54 minutes ago, madmitch said:

Thailand appears to be following a worldwide trend. Numbers well down in the UK and across most of Europe, also the USA and most Asian countries.

 

Time to remove the rest of the restrictions, including outdoor mask weaaring.

Down so much that Thailand is now 8th worst in the world for new cases, 6th for new deaths and 7th for critical cases (all figures from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ )

 

[goatfarmer]

1 hour ago, Almer said:

I am 72 just over (almost) Omicron. I am a fit 72 but it knocked me for 6, in the village there are many many many walking about either coughing sweating or a job to put one foot in front of the other,

Anutin should visit the sticks to get a better angle in the situation

I'm ten years younger but had a similar experience: quite an unpleasant first few days followed by that sweaty, 'almost over it', feeling for a couple of weeks with frequent lapses of fatigue after feeling that I was getting full strength back.

 

The good thing about Omicron is that it stays in the bronchus and above. It (usually) doesn't cause pneumonia. So although unpleasant, I was never concerned about being hospitalized or worse. 

I hope your (and my) almost becomes 'completely' before long.

[geisha]

7 hours ago, 4MyEgo said:

Waiting for the sub-variant B2.12.1 from the USA, then we will see the figured go through the roof again as it's even more contagious than it's predecessors. 

 

Just got to learn to live with it, as it's here to stay.

 

 

That was apparently not true according to France. Where there are quite a few detected but not hospitalized. Seems nearly everyone had the Omicron with very mild symptoms.

[garyk]

Looks like the natural progression of things. Nothing new, and expected.

 

[earlinclaifornia]

1 hour ago, mrfill said:

Down so much that Thailand is now 8th worst in the world for new cases, 6th for new deaths and 7th for critical cases (all figures from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ )

 

Also Thailand is tenth in daily recoveries.

[David T Pike]

IMHO It's more like the other way around...

[Expat68]

In my opinion no, I have talked to a few people over the last few days and the conclusion I have come to is that many, many do not report that they have/had covid19 and it is more common than people think

[billd766]

9 hours ago, law ling said:

To answer the question posed in the headline: I'd need to know the total number of tests performed per day ... in addition to the number of new infections.

You would also need to know the numbers in all the villages who have, have had or might get Covid and have not reported it and are self isolating

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

4 hours ago, huangnon said:

Just spent a month in the UK. -England now fully mask / fear-free, and Scotland to follow. People getting on with their lives again, and for the most part seems like Covid never happened,

 

Yes, cases lately are way down in the UK, which is a good thing. Unfortunately, a lot of people are still dying of COVID every day in the UK right now -- more than 200 per day lately...and about triple the current number in Thailand for countries of approx. the same population.

 

 

[Partenavia]

Why is it necessary to wear face masks outside????

[Moonlover]

54 minutes ago, Expat68 said:

In my opinion no, I have talked to a few people over the last few days and the conclusion I have come to is that many, many do not report that they have/had covid19 and it is more common than people think

Does it matter? Personally I don't think so. What you say is a strong indicator that we're learning to live with it. And the more we do that, the more the 'fear factor' fades away. The more that people can just go about their lives and basically ignore Covid the better off we will all be.

 

Which, incidentally is what I've been doing from the very beginning as has everyone else in our village. No one even wore a mask until this last surge and I still don't!

[mommysboy]

3 hours ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

 

Yes, cases lately are way down in the UK, which is a good thing. Unfortunately, a lot of people are still dying of COVID every day in the UK right now -- more than 200 per day lately...and about triple the current number in Thailand for countries of approx. the same population.

 

 

UK has been consistent in the way it reports numbers throughout- covid plus death within 28 days.  However, in recent months it has also reported a second set of numbers which is essentially minus what are judged to be incidental deaths.  This second set of figures shows considerably lower deaths.

 

Also 2-3 weeks ago 4.9m of the population were believed to be infected with covid- that's around 1 in 15.

Edited May 3, 2022 by mommysboy

[rickudon]

Thai figures are pretty meaningless. Here in Udon, 'Official' case numbers have changed very little in months, but the number of reported deaths have shot up - about 5% Cases to deaths in the latest local report. If the case numbers were realistic, it would make Omicron the deadliest variant!

As said, most people now test at home and do not report it. Personally i know 5 families who have had cases in the last couple of weeks - and that is more than during the first 2 years of the pandemic.