The Prediction Thread

[mrbojangles]

What smokes,i can have ago ....look at my spuds guess!

I'll tot up your scores for you after Wednesdays game.

[mrbojangles]

[/size]BlackburnVMan City2-1

Note the Citeh score....

[smokie36]

[/size]BlackburnVMan City2-1

Note the Citeh score....

Don't get too chirpy....I'm gonna predict you to win all the remaining games!

[mrbojangles]

Man Utd Everton 4-0B =2

Aston Villa Stoke 3-1 =1

Blackpool Newcastle 1-1 =8

Liverpool Birmingham 4-1 =2

Sunderland Wigan 2-2 =1

Tottenham West Brom 3-1 =0

Wolverhampton Fulham 2-1 =1

Chelsea West Ham 5-1 =2

Bolton Arsenal 1-4 =0

Blackburn Man City 2-2 =0

Stoke Wolverhampton 2-1 =2

Fulham Bolton 2-3 =0

There ya go Red. 19 points scored for those predictions.

[MrRed]

Thank you Mr BJ now could you PM me your bank number so i could forward you the 1 bag?

[mrbojangles]

MrBoJangles

Blackburn Bolton 2-1

Blackpool Stoke 1-1

Sunderland Fulham 2-1

West Brom Aston Villa 2-1

Wigan Everton 1-1

Chelsea Tottenham 2-1B

Birmingham Wolverhampton 2-1

Liverpool Newcastle 3-1

Arsenal Man Utd 2-1

Man City West Ham 3-0

[MrRed]

Blackburn Bolton 1-2

Blackpool Stoke 1-2

Sunderland Fulham 3-1

West Brom Aston Villa 2-2

Wigan Everton 1-2

Chelsea Tottenham 3-1B

Birmingham Wolverhampton 1-1

Liverpool Newcastle 2-0

Arsenal Man Utd 1-1

Man City West Ham 0-1

[mrbojangles]

Here you go Abrak. Using your stats, predict the following:-

Aston Villa v Wigan

Bolton v Sunderland

Everton Man City

Newcastle v Birmingham

West Ham v Blackburn

Tottenham v Blackpool

Wolverhampton v West Brom

Stoke v Arsenal

Man Utd v Chelsea

Liverpool v Fulham

Man City v Tottenham

[smokie36]

Surely his sparring partner Carmine should have a go as well this week?

[mrbojangles]

Surely his sparring partner Carmine should have a go as well this week?

Absolutely

[smokie36]

Surely his sparring partner Carmine should have a go as well this week?

Absolutely

OK PM sent.....will he accept the challenge?

[mrbojangles]

Surely his sparring partner Carmine should have a go as well this week?

Absolutely

OK PM sent.....will he accept the challenge?

Abrak was man enough for the challenge. Don't know about Carmine

Talking of which. I forgot to tot up Red's scores. Better do it now.

[mrbojangles]

Blackburn Bolton 1-2 = 1

Blackpool Stoke 1-2 = 0

Sunderland Fulham 3-1 = 0

West Brom Aston Villa 2-2 = 1

Wigan Everton 1-2 = 1

Chelsea Tottenham 3-1B = 6

Birmingham Wolverhampton 1-1 = 8

Liverpool Newcastle 2-0 = 2

Arsenal Man Utd 1-1 = 1

Man City West Ham 0-1 = 1

There you go Red. 21 points. You would have been placed 10th this week.

[MrRed]

Cheers matey,as you can imagine pre-season training this is for me... for next year

I just hope i beat Abrak

[MrRed]

Aston Villa v Wigan 2-2

Bolton v Sunderland 2-2

Everton Man City 2-2

Newcastle v Birmingham 2-2

West Ham v Blackburn 2-2

Tottenham v Blackpool 2-2

Wolverhampton v West Brom 2-2

Stoke v Arsenal 2-2

Man Utd v Chelsea 2-2B

Liverpool v Fulham 2-2

Man City v Tottenham 2-2

No copy please.

[smokie36]

Aston Villa v Wigan 2-2

Bolton v Sunderland 2-2

Everton Man City 2-2

Newcastle v Birmingham 2-2

West Ham v Blackburn 2-2

Tottenham v Blackpool 2-2

Wolverhampton v West Brom 2-2

Stoke v Arsenal 2-2

Man Utd v Chelsea 2-2B

Liverpool v Fulham 2-2

Man City v Tottenham 2-2

No copy please.

Only 6% of weeks would there have been this many goals....or was that the SPL? Oh well you get the idea.

[carmine]

Here you go. A cup of PJ and 6 hob nobs on a tea break and this is it.

Aston Villa V Wigan 1-0

Bolton V Sunderland 2-1

Everton V Man City 1-1

Newcastle V Birmingham 2-0

West Ham V Blackburn 1-0

Tottenham V Blackpool 2-1 B

Wolves V West Brom 1-0

Stoke V Arsenal 1-2

Man Utd V Chelsea 1-1

Fulham V Liverpool 1-1

Man City V Tottenham 0-1

[smokie36]

Aston VillaVWigan3-1

BoltonVSunderland 2-1

EvertonVMan City2-1

NewcastleVBirmingham3-1

West HamVBlackburn3-2

TottenhamVBlackpool5-0B

Wolverhampton VWest Brom2-1

StokeVArsenal1-7

Man UtdVChelsea2-2

LiverpoolVFulham2-1

Man CityVTottenham1-3

Come on Abrak...the pressure is mounting....

Edited May 6, 2011 by smokie36

[mrbojangles]

Come on Abrak...the pressure is mounting....

It's a good job stats aren't used to fight fires. The bladdy house would have burned down by now

[carmine]

Aston VillaVWigan3-1

BoltonVSunderland 2-1

EvertonVMan City2-1

NewcastleVBirmingham3-1

West HamVBlackburn3-2

TottenhamVBlackpool5-0B

Wolverhampton VWest Brom2-1

StokeVArsenal1-7

Man UtdVChelsea2-2

LiverpoolVFulham2-1

Man CityVTottenham1-3

Come on Abrak...the pressure is mounting....

Give abrak time. They're all so excited on that thread about they way they are playing what with them having just beaten Brum and Toon, and what with all the samba football they're playing and that.

Whilst i'm taking the piss out of the scousers smokie i'm really struggling to see how we are going to put three past City at Eastlands. Crouch can't kick a ball properly, Defoe could'nt score in Nana and H does'nt seem to like picking Pav, who is fairly <deleted> but still our best striker by a mile.

[smokie36]

Aston VillaVWigan3-1

BoltonVSunderland 2-1

EvertonVMan City2-1

NewcastleVBirmingham3-1

West HamVBlackburn3-2

TottenhamVBlackpool5-0B

Wolverhampton VWest Brom2-1

StokeVArsenal1-7

Man UtdVChelsea2-2

LiverpoolVFulham2-1

Man CityVTottenham1-3

Come on Abrak...the pressure is mounting....

Give abrak time. They're all so excited on that thread about they way they are playing what with them having just beaten Brum and Toon, and what with all the samba football they're playing and that.

Whilst i'm taking the piss out of the scousers smokie i'm really struggling to see how we are going to put three past City at Eastlands. Crouch can't kick a ball properly, Defoe could'nt score in Nana and H does'nt seem to like picking Pav, who is fairly <deleted> but still our best striker by a mile.

Sandro (2) and VDV.

[Abrak]

You do realize what a ridiculous concept it is to use statistics to predict the score of premiership matches.

It is a bit like using a computer to predict the winning lottery number.

Statisticians dont usually bet (I dont - certainly not on something as absurd as football) and they are the ones who set the odds. You can of course use statistics to work out the odds of a team winning a game that isnt too difficult in fact I do it all the time. Working out the most likely score is possible but it takes a lot of work to find a score that isnt very likely to be right in the first place.

And what really irritated me with the prediction game is that the most probable score can actually conflict with the most probable result and as you get points for getting the result right you are actually often trying to find the second most probable result. Anyway it is far too much work to do it myself but statistics are statistics and so rather than give up and say I wont play I will just cheat a bit and use someone elses probability model.

[mrbojangles]

Less of the Bull. Are you gonna predict or not? It is only for fun but you did say you were up for the challenge.

[Abrak]

Of course you all tried to trick me by having Man City playing twice which is either right or wrong but if you are going to choose them playing twice I guess I have got to.

I probably dont know how this game is scored because someone has gone for a score of 1-7 and as I cant actually recall when an away team last scored 7 he is presumably just looking for massive bragging rights if he proves correct. Obviously I have a lot of home wins because 54% of games end in home wins and a few away wins because there are more away wins than draws.

I should get around 50% of the results right as in win loss or draw. 30% or less will be unlucky and 70% or more will be lucky. I am slightly more likely to get one score correct than to get them all wrong. If I get 2 correct I have been lucky. I think it is unlikely that anyone has correctly guessed 4 correct scores in any one weekend.

Aston Villa v Wigan 2-1

Bolton V Sunderland 1-0

Everton v Man City 1-0

Newcastle v Birmingham 1-0

West Ham v Blackburn 1-0

Wolves v West Brom 1-0

Stoke v Arsenal 0-1

Man U v Chelsea 1-0

Liverpool v Fulham 1-0

Man City v Tottenham 2-1

[mrbojangles]

MrBoJangles

Aston Villa Wigan 2-1

Bolton Sunderland 3-1

Everton Man City 1-2

Newcastle Birmingham 2-1

West Ham Blackburn 2-1

Tottenham Blackpool 2-1

Wolverhampton West Brom 1-1

Stoke Arsenal 1-3

Man Utd Chelsea 2-1

Liverpool Fulham 2-1B

Man City Tottenham 2-1

[Abrak]

Edit knew there was something not quite right

Please add this exciting scoreline

Tottenham v Blackpool 3-1

[mrbojangles]

Of course you all tried to trick me by having Man City playing twice which is either right or wrong but if you are going to choose them playing twice I guess I have got to.

That's because the predictions are for the full week. Man City and Tottenham are playing mid-week in addition to this saturday. So this week they are both playing twice. BTW, you haven't predicted the Tottenham Vs Blackpool game.

[mrbojangles]

Still to predict:-

bkkjames

zaphodbeeblebrox

toasted

britmaveric

Tigerfish

Miiya46

JacknDanny

Oldgit

Nadtadida1

LuckyLew

BIGTOE3

Mouserless

Spit The Dog

macanello

[mrbojangles]

Guys.

Bit of a fekk up on the sheet. Don't know what happened but I had Liverpool as the home side against Fulham. Some of you have corrected it in your submissions and some haven't noticed (me included)

What should I do ???? It's last minute so if you don't mind and unless you want to resubmit that game, I'll take the result for those who didn;t notice, as you predicted it. I.e. if you predicted 2-1 and Fulham win 2-1 you got it. Does that make sense? Or, seeing as I messed it up, would you prefer for it to be void?

[BIGTOE3]

Guys.

Bit of a fekk up on the sheet. Don't know what happened but I had Liverpool as the home side against Fulham. Some of you have corrected it in your submissions and some haven't noticed (me included)

What should I do ???? It's last minute so if you don't mind and unless you want to resubmit that game, I'll take the result for those who didn;t notice, as you predicted it. I.e. if you predicted 2-1 and Fulham win 2-1 you got it. Does that make sense? Or, seeing as I messed it up, would you prefer for it to be void?

No problem Mr Bo as I have it right I do hope Mouserless put it on correctly I personnally don't think it should be void.

BT :jap: