Michael Moore Predicts Trump’s Political Demise in 2024, but Warns Against Complacency

[Social Media]

 

Documentary filmmaker Michael Moore, who famously predicted Donald Trump's surprise victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, now claims that Trump’s chances of a comeback in 2024 are bleak. Moore asserts that the majority of Americans are ready for a change, suggesting Trump’s political career may be nearing its end. 

 

In a recent Substack essay, Moore wrote, “The vast majority of the country, the normal people, have seen enough and want the clown car to disappear into the MAGA vortex somewhere between reality and Orlando.” Moore, who is known for his politically charged documentaries like *Fahrenheit 9/11* and *Fahrenheit 11/9*, expressed confidence that Vice President Kamala Harris would secure a narrow victory in the upcoming election.

 

Moore believes that Harris is poised to win the Electoral College by a narrow margin of 270 to 268, capturing key battleground states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire. “The swift and explosive momentum for Kamala Harris is unlike anything that’s been seen in decades,” Moore stated in his essay, suggesting that her appeal is growing as the campaign season heats up.

 

His projection, he explained, is based on “an aggregate of top polls” and his own observations from interacting with everyday Americans. He referred to moments of shared experience, saying his conclusions come from “simply being around my fellow Americans who are shopping at Costco, having fun making TikToks and eating once a week at Chili’s.” However, Moore tempered his optimism by acknowledging that Trump has defied expectations before.

 

“We do know that Trump has a stellar streak of pulling off the impossible — and those who have written him off have more than once lived to see the day where they must eat humble pie,” Moore cautioned. “It is never wise to do a victory dance on the two-yard line when Trump is your opponent.”

 

Polls indicate a tight race, with Harris holding a slim lead over Trump. According to *The Independent’s* poll tracker, Harris is ahead by around three percent. However, many political experts remain cautious about making definitive Electoral College predictions due to the unpredictability of swing states. While Harris maintains an advantage in many battleground states, Trump continues to perform well on key issues like the economy and immigration, which could sway voters.

 

Moore believes that one crucial factor for a Harris victory will be mobilizing nonvoters. He stressed the importance of getting those who sat out the last presidential election to participate this time. “The nonvoters are the second largest political ‘party’ in the U.S.!” Moore noted on his blog. “All we need is just a few thousand of them to show up — just this once — to make a difference.”

 

While Moore sees Trump’s path to victory as dwindling, he remains cautious, knowing how unpredictable elections can be. In his view, Harris has the upper hand, but the final outcome will depend on voter turnout and how both campaigns address key issues in the coming months.

 

Based on a report from The Independent 2024-10-09

 

 

 

[Tug]

I’m with you Mike my personal worry is that old ugly masoginy rearing it’s ugly head.the woman folk are certainly fired up and so are a lot of us guys who love our women,wife’s,daughters,friends,and coworkers…….lets get her done and put this ugly chapter behind us.

[GammaGlobulin]

I hate Mike's hats.

 

Mike, like Trump, pretends to be dumb....just....

 

In order to pander to their respective audiences.

 

Mike is not dumb.

Trump is not dumb.

 

But, who is smarter....Mike or Trump?

 

Trump actually enjoys Mike.

 

Guess they are about the same IQ.

 

 

[thaibeachlovers]

1 hour ago, Social Media said:

In a recent Substack essay, Moore wrote, “The vast majority of the country, the normal people, have seen enough and want the clown car to disappear into the MAGA vortex somewhere between reality and Orlando.” Moore, who is known for his politically charged documentaries like *Fahrenheit 9/11* and *Fahrenheit 11/9*, expressed confidence that Vice President Kamala Harris would secure a narrow victory in the upcoming election.

Sooooo, Moore wants the Trump clown car to vanish, but is apparently OK with the Harris clown car instead.

 

IMO it's more about Moore wanting to be in the spotlight again, given he's been overlooked for a while, pretty much since he didn't have Bush to make movies against ( I was in full agreement with him on that score ).

[thaibeachlovers]

1 hour ago, Social Media said:

Harris has the upper hand, but the final outcome will depend on voter turnout and how both campaigns address key issues in the coming months.

 

in the coming months.

 

How long ago was this article written?

[JonnyF]

This irritant is yesterday's news. 

 

I wouldn't be surprised if he has his own personal reasons for fearing a Trump win. 

[Berkshire]

I do recall Moore predicting Trump would win in 2016.  I thought he was nuts, but it turned out he was right.  Some people are just more in touch with folks on the ground.  But I disagree with Moore that it will be a narrow win.  "Normal people" who make up the majority in the USA will reject Trump in big numbers.

[earlinclaifornia]

5 hours ago, Tug said:

I’m with you Mike my personal worry is that old ugly masoginy rearing it’s ugly head.the woman folk are certainly fired up and so are a lot of us guys who love our women,wife’s,daughters,friends,and coworkers…….lets get her done and put this ugly chapter behind us.

Both James Carville and Michael Moore take wise cautionary takes on a Harris win.

Gals and young have to vote.

[earlinclaifornia]

Michael Moore: Only ‘landslide’ loss will guarantee Trump’s ‘permanent removal from the public eye’

https://thehill.com/blogs/in-the-know/4916327-michael-moore-trump-landslide-loss-harris/

[neeray]

Mike Moore is stating the obvious. Trump has blundered too many times, both during his first failed effort as president and in the last 4 years. There are enough smart Americans to give him his walking papers (again).

[spidermike007]

I hope and I pray that he is correct, and there is no doubt that if Trump loses for a second time he will be beyond irrelevant, even MAGA will abandon him, as will the Republican Party. He will be a nobody in the world of politics, and he will just be a clown howling into the wind. Perhaps even a felon in prison. See ya Donnie. 

 

 

[thaipo7]

7 hours ago, Tug said:

I’m with you Mike my personal worry is that old ugly masoginy rearing it’s ugly head.the woman folk are certainly fired up and so are a lot of us guys who love our women,wife’s,daughters,friends,and coworkers…….lets get her done and put this ugly chapter behind us.

You better fear what lies ahead with a Harris win.

[Eric Loh]

18 minutes ago, thaipo7 said:

You better fear what lies ahead with a Harris win.

Economy strong, sharp fall of migrants, crime down, global leadership maintained, social security and medicare protected, reproductive rights choice and by far the most importantly is that the threat to democracy has been thwarted. Sound very good to me for a Harris win. 

[malibukid]

Moore was wrong in 2016

[Keep Right]

Michael Moore is an idiot that hates white people, although he forgot to look into the mirror. He has absolutely no credibility and relevance.

[Jingthing]

16 minutes ago, malibukid said:

Moore was wrong in 2016

How so?

He predicted Trump would win.

[Jingthing]

34 minutes ago, thaipo7 said:

You better fear what lies ahead with a Harris win.

Nothing to fear but fear itself.

[Tug]

34 minutes ago, thaipo7 said:

You better fear what lies ahead with a Harris win.

Care to enlighten us?

[Jingthing]

7 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

Sooooo, Moore wants the Trump clown car to vanish, but is apparently OK with the Harris clown car instead.

 

IMO it's more about Moore wanting to be in the spotlight again, given he's been overlooked for a while, pretty much since he didn't have Bush to make movies against ( I was in full agreement with him on that score ).

False equivalence snookums.

[proton]

Wishful thinking from a washed up fat slob 

[billd766]

7 hours ago, thaibeachlovers said:

 

in the coming months.

 

How long ago was this article written?

 

Why not read the article and find out for yourself?

 

A hint for you, The date is posted at the end of the article.

 

Based on a report from The Independent 2024-10-09.

[Purdey]

Not sure how old the photo is, but didn't he lose a lot of weight? Maybe not a lot.

[thaibeachlovers]

4 minutes ago, billd766 said:

 

Why not read the article and find out for yourself?

 

A hint for you, The date is posted at the end of the article.

 

Based on a report from The Independent 2024-10-09.

Went right over your head, didn't it?

 

If the article was published on 9th of October, how many months are there before the election?

[Jingthing]

15 minutes ago, proton said:

Wishful thinking from a washed up fat slob 

Trump isn't a washed up fat slob?

[Jingthing]

24 minutes ago, Keep Right said:

Michael Moore is an idiot that hates white people, although he forgot to look into the mirror. He has absolutely no credibility and relevance.

So it's a mean meme. Where is your source? Sounds like a typical maga fascist taken out of context lie.

[earlinclaifornia]

“Donald Trump is the one who skipped the 60 Minutes interview, first time in 50 years a candidate has done that, and he’s the one who refused to do a debate even on Fox News–even on Fox News!” a bewildered Scarborough said on the show.

https://news.yahoo.com/news/morning-joe-questions-whether-trump-130552733.html

Scared of the TV live comparrisons.

[billd766]

Just now, thaibeachlovers said:

Went right over your head, didn't it?

 

If the article was published on 9th of October, how many months are there before the election?

No it didn't go right over my head. 9th of October is actually today and it would have been posted this morning UK time.

 

It seems to me that you are making wilder claims just lately that few posters agree with. You used to make sensible posts, but no longer.

[thaibeachlovers]

20 minutes ago, billd766 said:

It seems to me that you are making wilder claims just lately that few posters agree with. You used to make sensible posts, but no longer.

My 64.5 thousand likes indicate that at least a few still agree with me.

 

I remember when we used to have a reasonable conversation on postings to Singapore, but that seemed to get lost in the political fray.

 

Oh well, such is life.

 

Have a nice day, and BTW it is was less than one month to the election on the 5th of November even this morning.

[WDSmart]

I hope Michael Moore is correct. I have already sent in my vote, but I vote in California, so my vote will be the same as most Californians (Democrat), so it will have no impact on the Electoral College votes. 

[Thingamabob]

4 hours ago, Eric Loh said:

Economy strong, sharp fall of migrants, crime down, global leadership maintained, social security and medicare protected, reproductive rights choice and by far the most importantly is that the threat to democracy has been thwarted. Sound very good to me for a Harris win. 

Sharp fall of migrants. Really ?