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Posted (edited)

If Trump is supposedly "woefully unfit", why are we seeing a resounding prediction that he's gonna win! :smile:

 

UK Bookies: 91% of Last Minute Bets Are Going for TRUMP

Bloomberg reported:

In the betting markets at least, Donald Trump is crushing Hillary Clinton.

So far this week, the Republican candidate has outshone his rival in terms of both the number and volume of wagers, according to figures revealed yesterday by Ireland’s largest bookmaker, Paddy Power Betfair Plc. Just shy of 100,000 euros ($111,000) in bets came in, with 91 percent of them for Trump.

 

Edited by Boon Mee
Posted
54 minutes ago, Boon Mee said:

If Trump is supposedly "woefully unfit", why are we seeing a resounding prediction that he's gonna win! :smile:

 

UK Bookies: 91% of Last Minute Bets Are Going for TRUMP

Bloomberg reported:

In the betting markets at least, Donald Trump is crushing Hillary Clinton.

So far this week, the Republican candidate has outshone his rival in terms of both the number and volume of wagers, according to figures revealed yesterday by Ireland’s largest bookmaker, Paddy Power Betfair Plc. Just shy of 100,000 euros ($111,000) in bets came in, with 91 percent of them for Trump.

 

 

People who misrepresent oddsmaking for whatever reason or purpose need to be corrected, then taught. Today this poster only has time to make corrections and clarifications.

 

Betting trends do not set the odds. Last minute betting trends reflect that the bookmakers are minimising their potential losses by boosting the candidate who is behind and expected to lose.

 

Here are the current odds that include everything in total, to include the trends of the moment:

 

The general election in the United States, Tuesday November 8, 2016

 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Wm Hill oddsmaker in London: President of the United States, Winning Gender:

 

Female to be elected Potus has odds of 1-3, which is the probability percentage of 75%

Male to be elected Potus has odds of 9-4, which converts to the probability percentage of 30.7%

This is a first time ever category of oddsmaking. 

 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

 

 

In Las Vegas this morning, we have (yesterday evening there)....

 

Winning Party Potus:

 

Democratic Party has American odds of -415 which converts to the probability percentage of 80.2% to win 

Republican Party has American odds of +275 which converts to the probability percentage of 27.0% to win.

This means that for Potus the trailing Republican Party to come even with the leading Democratic Party, there must be a change of a total of 690 basis points. That would necessitate a shift in the popular vote of 6.9%.

 

The not-the-same but roughly equivalent European odds:

 

Democratic Party to win the Office of Potus has odds of 2-7, which convert to the probability of 77.7%

(Yesterday's European odds for the Democratic party to win Potus were 2-5 which convert to 71.4%)

 

Republican Party to win the Office of Potus has odds of 5-2 or 28.5%.

(Yesterday's European odds for the Republican party to win were 9-4, or the percentage probability of  30.7%)

 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

 

Winner of the Election to be Potus November 8, 2016:

 

Hillary Clinton has American odds in Las Vegas of -300 which convert to the percentage probability of 75%

Donald Trump has American odds in Las Vegas of +200 which convert to the percentage probability of 33%

(In these particular American odds, 300 units get you 100; conversely, 100 units get you 200.)

 

In European odds, the predominant odds for Potus are:

 

Hillary Clinton is at 1-3 or the percentage of 75%

Donald Trump is at 5-2 or the percentage of 28.5%

 

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

 

There is always a flurry of late or last minute odds buying on the final weekend before the general election. It's sort of like last minute Chrismas shopping. Except in bookmaking, the oddsmakers want more action placed with the person who is behind so they can reduce their potential losses on their payout (maximise profit). So they provide incentives to bet on the loser. That's why we say there's a sucker born every minute.

Posted
4 hours ago, Skywalker69 said:

Trump to Deport Lin-Manuel Miranda, Doesn’t Realize Puerto Rico is US Territory.

 

https://newromantimes.com/trump-deport-lin-manuel-miranda-doesnt-realize-puerto-rico-us-territory/

 

The guy is unbelievable as is anyone voting for him. You will get what you deserve America.

 

He has actually started going off the edge even more if that is possible. How does any Trump voter endorse the vomit spewing from his mouth below?

 

Quote

What Mr. Trump failed to realize was that Miranda was born in the United States in Upper Manhattan, and that Puerto Rico, the island from which Miranda’s family hailed, is actually a U.S. territory.

 

And in a line making George W Bush seem like a Nobel Physicist prizewinner:

 

Quote

“The tax-payer funded joy-ride that Lin-Manuel Miranda has enjoyed in this country is about to come to an end. He’s gone folks, out of here. On my first day in office I will shut down his lousy musical on Broadway, take back all of the Tonys the show has won, and send job-stealer Lin-Manuel Miranda back to Puerto Rico and off US soil!” When later informed that Puerto Rico is a US territory, Trump responded, “Is it one of our 50 states? Is it? No, I thought not. It’s a foreign power, and like all other foreign powers, I plan to cut all ties with the place as soon as I enter office.”

 

Thanks Skywalker. Well worth a read.

 

 

Posted
9 minutes ago, kevkev1888 said:

 

Understandably.

Trump is 'on message' while Crooked Hillary is simply attempting to stay out of jail...:sleep:

Posted

Fox News apologizes for falsely reporting that Clinton faces indictment.

 

 

By Paul Farhi November 4 at 2:40 PM 

 

Fox News anchor Bret Baier apologized Friday for reporting that federal investigators had determined that Hillary Clinton’s private email server had been hacked and that an investigation would lead to an indictment of Clinton after the election.

In fact, Baier said, after checking with his sources, there is no evidence at this time for either statement.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/fox-news-apologizes-for-falsely-reporting-that-clinton-faces-indictment/2016/11/04/8fd56f20-a2b7-11e6-8d63-3e0a660f1f04_story.html?postshare=6901478311054387&tid=ss_fb

Posted
29 minutes ago, Skywalker69 said:

Trump: “All Of My Wives Saved Themselves For Our Wedding Night; No Way Would I Hit On A Non-Virgin Woman”

 

http://politicops.com/trump-all-of-my-wives-saved-themselves-for-our-wedding-night-no-way-would-i-hit-on-a-non-virgin-woman/

 

Melania a virgin.

:cheesy::cheesy::cheesy:

 

Even stranger is Marla Maples. Tiffany Trump (Marla's daughter) was born on October 1993 but  Donald married Marla in December 1993. So did Donald have Marla artificially inseminated?

Posted
3 minutes ago, Silurian said:

 

Even stranger is Marla Maples. Tiffany Trump (Marla's daughter) was born on October 1993 but  Donald married Marla in December 1993. So did Donald have Marla artificially inseminated?

:shock1:

Posted

Well, we really understand just who is "woefully unfit" don't we?

 

BOMBSHELL: Hacked Hillary Emails Reveal She Knowingly Delayed Benghazi Rescue

Radar Online reported:

Hillary Clinton refused to send help as the terrifying Benghazi attacks unfolded, according to messages allegedly hacked from her email server and distributed by Russian operatives.

RadarOnline has obtained a report about the allegedly hacked messages that was created by Italy’s foreign intelligence agency, or the Agenzia Informazioni e Sicurezza Esterna, after a meeting with their Russian counterparts on October 22. (These files were written in Italian, and then translated by a respected New York City professor of the language.)

Som Nam Naa, ...

Posted
3 minutes ago, Boon Mee said:

Well, we really understand just who is "woefully unfit" don't we?

 

BOMBSHELL: Hacked Hillary Emails Reveal She Knowingly Delayed Benghazi Rescue

Radar Online reported:

Hillary Clinton refused to send help as the terrifying Benghazi attacks unfolded, according to messages allegedly hacked from her email server and distributed by Russian operatives.

RadarOnline has obtained a report about the allegedly hacked messages that was created by Italy’s foreign intelligence agency, or the Agenzia Informazioni e Sicurezza Esterna, after a meeting with their Russian counterparts on October 22. (These files were written in Italian, and then translated by a respected New York City professor of the language.)

Som Nam Naa, ...

RadarOnline.com is an American entertainment and gossip website

Posted
Just now, Skywalker69 said:

RadarOnline.com is an American entertainment and gossip website

Like the National Enqiirer which broke the John Edwards scandal?

Posted
2 hours ago, Boon Mee said:

Well, we really understand just who is "woefully unfit" don't we?

 

BOMBSHELL: Hacked Hillary Emails Reveal She Knowingly Delayed Benghazi Rescue

Radar Online reported:

Hillary Clinton refused to send help as the terrifying Benghazi attacks unfolded, according to messages allegedly hacked from her email server and distributed by Russian operatives.

RadarOnline has obtained a report about the allegedly hacked messages that was created by Italy’s foreign intelligence agency, or the Agenzia Informazioni e Sicurezza Esterna, after a meeting with their Russian counterparts on October 22. (These files were written in Italian, and then translated by a respected New York City professor of the language.)

Som Nam Naa, ...

 

Utter garbage of course.

 

Another one to file under "Boon Mee's Pointless Fiction"....

 

 

 

 

 

Posted

I can understand the dislike of Donald Trump, but cannot for the life of me understand how anyone likes Hillary Clinton.

Posted
On ‎03‎/‎11‎/‎2016 at 9:40 PM, Skywalker69 said:

Trump Russia Confession: He Does Know Putin And Here’s The Proof (VIDEO).

 

http://www.liberalamerica.org/2016/11/03/trump-russia-confession-know-putin-heres-proof-video/

 

Why Vladimir Putin’s Russia Is Backing Donald Trump  (Inside Vladimir Putin's complex gambit to weaken NATO)°

In phone calls, meetings and cables, America’s European allies have expressed alarm to one another about Donald Trump’s public statements denying Moscow’s role in cyberattacks designed to interfere with the U.S. election. They fear the Republican nominee for president has emboldened the Kremlin in its unprecedented cybercampaign to disrupt elections in multiple countries in hopes of weakening Western alliances, according to intelligence, law enforcement and other government officials in the United States and Europe.

http://europe.newsweek.com/donald-trump-vladimir-putin-russia-hillary-clinton-united-states-europe-516895?rm=eu

Posted
1 hour ago, MJP said:

I can understand the dislike of Donald Trump, but cannot for the life of me understand how anyone likes Hillary Clinton.

No need to like.

She'll be the big cheese.

Do you always like your boss?

It's more like we're READY FOR HILLARY!  

Posted
Just now, Jingthing said:

No need to like.

She'll be the big cheese.

Do you always like your boss?

It's more like we're READY FOR HILLARY!  

 

Ghastly.:sad:

Posted
6 minutes ago, Jingthing said:

Keep calm.

She's coming ... ready or not.

 

ready.jpg

 

 

 

What happened to Bernie? He seemed alright. A bit far to the left, but not a bad bloke.

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