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Thai Exports Benefit From Baht Depreciation


webfact

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by Paul Rujopakarn

    

BANGKOK (NNT) - The weaker baht has been allowing Thailand to export more goods even as industries that rely on imports are being negatively impacted. As of Monday (June 13th), the Thai baht traded at 34.81 against the US dollar.

 

Industry Minister Suriya Juangroongruangkit made the announcement, citing information from the Office of Industrial Economics (OIE).

 

The minister noted that businesses which rely heavily on imports will especially feel the impact of the weakened Thai baht. He also suggested that operators exercise caution when dealing with exchange rates, adding that they should carefully manage their resources.

 

Macroeconomic models indicate that a further baht depreciation of 5% will actually increase Thai Real GDP (RGDP) by 0.4%, and bump industrial sector RGDP by 0.35%. It will also help expand the export and import sectors by 2.14% and 1.94%, respectively.

 

Private consumption and investment are meanwhile projected to increase by 0.21% and 0.31%, respectively, with the 5% depreciation also expected to cause inflation to rise by 0.57%.

 

 

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-- © Copyright NNT 2022-06-13
 

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I'd say the baht had depreciated greatly now having to fork out 3-4 large bills just to take out one them lovelies back home with you.. Aha, i ;olg for the good ol' days when the baht went much further...

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Good for importing cash to Thailand via transfer into my account from the US.  Just wired in another 6 months worth, should probably double down.  The issue is the cruddy interest rates here....

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9 minutes ago, webfact said:

Macroeconomic models indicate that a further baht depreciation of 5% will actually increase Thai Real GDP (RGDP) by 0.4%, and bump industrial sector RGDP by 0.35%. It will also help expand the export and import sectors by 2.14% and 1.94%, respectively.

Exactly.  The weak baht will also help the ailing tourism industry.  More inflation?  That seems to be a worldwide phenomenon.  Hoping to see more downside with the THB.

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1 minute ago, ezzra said:

I'd say the baht had depreciated greatly now having to fork out 3-4 large bills just to take out one them lovelies back home with you.. Aha, i ;olg for the good ol' days when the baht went much further...

Wow, once upon a time many moons ago when a purple was the top dog, that would get you a friend for a night, but then maybe more if you took her a traveling and then upon kicking her to the curb handed her a few maybe 4 of those purples after paying for everything else.  The mamasan was also happy with getting 2 or 3 of the brown notes....

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Do Thai companies only export in US$ ?   I Import from the UK......Baht/£ August 2021  46.41     Baht /£  Today (13th June 2022) 42.74.  8% increase in a year. 

 

Offset against my pensions unfortunately.

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O please, it went up and down in the same range like so many times already. It is not worth to even mention unless the EUR THB hits 41+ (and similar for all other pairs and what they used to have).

 

I'm not buying it until I see that rate for a month stable.

Edited by ChaiyaTH
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4 hours ago, ChaiyaTH said:

O please, it went up and down in the same range like so many times already. It is not worth to even mention unless the EUR THB hits 41+ (and similar for all other pairs and what they used to have).

 

I'm not buying it until I see that rate for a month stable.

As you say, the Thai baht fluctuates in fractions of Baht..

over the last 3 years it has largely stayed the same...

Amazing Thailand.

 

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6 hours ago, ezzra said:

I'd say the baht had depreciated greatly now having to fork out 3-4 large bills just to take out one them lovelies back home with you.. Aha, i ;olg for the good ol' days when the baht went much further...

Maybe your being overcharged? LOL

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18 hours ago, hotchilli said:

The Chinese buyers inside Thailand seem to have the price under control prior to export.

My Mrs just gifted me one which is a good size, it would have been impolite to ask how much it was. My 3rd this season.. I am doing well. 

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1 hour ago, Isaan sailor said:

Hello and goodbye to 35 on the USD.  Baht bounced right back up to 34.81 today.

Did the USA not just bump up interest rates yesterday....... I am expecting 35 to become 'consolidated'.......

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26 minutes ago, jacko45k said:

Did the USA not just bump up interest rates yesterday....... I am expecting 35 to become 'consolidated'.......

It never makes any sense as to how the baht claws it's way back down .....manipulation possibly....

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Edited by ThailandRyan
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5 hours ago, jacko45k said:

My Mrs just gifted me one which is a good size, it would have been impolite to ask how much it was. My 3rd this season.. I am doing well. 

My missus knows better than to gift me a durian.

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2 hours ago, hotchilli said:

My missus knows better than to gift me a durian.

Well it is some effort for mine as she hates them and the smell, so it is a great compliment! My return favour is to catch the odd snake in the garden, which she is terrified of!

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