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Thai Baht Finally Getting Weaker

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18 minutes ago, Advocate said:

The British rupee? GBP 1 = 42.49 THB a long way from 75.

 

 Dollar/Baht wasn't bouncing around 30 at that time !!  When Sterling/Baht was around 75 Dollar/Baht was bouncing around 40/41

Two currency pairings make up the number crunch. There is no "direct" exchange rate between Sterling/Baht. Movement in either pairing affects the bottom line

Hopefully Sterling/Dollar will increase towards $1.50 over the coming two to three years which will help us nicely

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  • yea, nobody cares about that. ????

  • Meat Pie 47
    Meat Pie 47

    yes it getting very weak

  • Entirely down to Baht weakening against the benchmark USD on one side of currency pairings Nothing to do with our own currencies suddenly gaining strength but we'll take it nonetheless

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FIO.....Today in 1997......

1997 British Pound Sterling = 85.101 Thailand Baht
1997 US Dollar = 61.346 Thailand Baht.......Chai...

 

3 hours ago, Chivas said:

 Dollar/Baht wasn't bouncing around 30 at that time !!  When Sterling/Baht was around 75 Dollar/Baht was bouncing around 40/41

Two currency pairings make up the number crunch. There is no "direct" exchange rate between Sterling/Baht. Movement in either pairing affects the bottom line

Hopefully Sterling/Dollar will increase towards $1.50 over the coming two to three years which will help us nicely

The Brexit unraveling will dash those hopes as far as GBP is concerned.

5 hours ago, PETERTHEEATER said:

Do you not understand that Thailand is THE HUB of oil imports. But to where, then, do they export the surplus? ????

 

Saving it for the Moon Rockets and Submarines.

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Stop dreaming about the peak rates and golden era after the Asian crisis at the end of 1997, beginning of 1998.

The golden era ended sometime in 2009.
Sharp downturn for most from then.
Guess you know what triggered this?

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11 hours ago, sandyf said:

The baht is tied to the dollar, the dollar has weakened, as can be seen with GBP and EUR, but that will probably reverse with the stimulus bill so the every chance the baht will strengthen again.

The Thai Baht has not been tied to the USD since 1997.

9 hours ago, DUNROAMIN said:

Still a long way to go to 27B to 1 AUD. This was where it was 5 years ago.

No today's rate is 28.83 to 1 AUD

22 minutes ago, Meat Pie 47 said:

No today's rate is 28.83 to 1 AUD

WOW, I must have missed something. 

16 hours ago, Rinrada said:

FIO.....Today in 1997......

1997 British Pound Sterling = 85.101 Thailand Baht
1997 US Dollar = 61.346 Thailand Baht.......Chai...

 

1997 was a special case because that was when the Asian financial crisis of that time occurred affecting many Asian countries.

The British rupee currently has downward mobility as Brexit unravels.

12 hours ago, Meat Pie 47 said:

No today's rate is 28.83 to 1 AUD

What are you smoking? Or is a money changer ripping you off on changing Baht to AUD? ????

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16 hours ago, Advocate said:

The Brexit unraveling will dash those hopes as far as GBP is concerned.

I'm no Boris lover (make no mistake the geezer is utterly catastrophic running our Country) but I'll happily wager a Case of Singha that Sterling/Dollar will be higher at the end of 2021 than it is today

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16 hours ago, Moonlover said:

The Thai Baht has not been tied to the USD since 1997.

I think people get confused over "tied" to the Dollar as opposed to taking its "fix" off the USD as every currency does

As you rightly say the "peg" to the USD ended in 1997 but it still needs to take its "fix" off the USD 365/24/7 to enable currency exchange rates to be number crunched

So whilst its not pegged/tied to the USD that floating ratio is relevant to absolutely every person worldwide visiting Thailand no matter where we originate from.

I had a PM overnight claiming what the hell was I talking about when I said there was no "direct" exchange rate between Sterling/Baht..... When I politely showed the two currency pairings and how its calculated in response I got "well how come I can see Sterling/Baht in exchange booths on display"

You can lead a horse to water lol....

On 3/16/2021 at 12:03 PM, Isaan sailor said:

Not exactly.  It seems more likely the Baht is pegged to the Chinese Yuan.  The Yuan has given up its gains on last six months—as has the Baht.

They should peg the Baht to the USD again—but use 33 Baht (not 27 Baht) to the USD.  Then watch the economy rocket up.

You would  have to show me where I said "pegged".

Following the financial crisis Thailand took the decision to hold the bulk of it's foreign reserves in USD. The baht is tied to the dollar, wherever the dollar goes the baht will follow.

 

  • 4 weeks later...
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On 3/18/2021 at 8:46 AM, sandyf said:

You would  have to show me where I said "pegged".

Following the financial crisis Thailand took the decision to hold the bulk of it's foreign reserves in USD. The baht is tied to the dollar, wherever the dollar goes the baht will follow.

 

What you wrote about the Baht going wherever the Dollar goes is true, but not 100%. BOT operates a "managed float" of exchange rate control, otherwise known as the cheaters float. What that means in practice is that USD/THB will respond to FOREX market forces as long as BOT agrees, if they do not agree they are permitted to intervene to influence the rate. Since THB (for delivery) is not freely traded  on global markets, virtually all the transactions that influence its value, occur inside Thailand.

1 hour ago, Brierley said:

What you wrote about the Baht going wherever the Dollar goes is true, but not 100%. BOT operates a "managed float" of exchange rate control, otherwise known as the cheaters float. What that means in practice is that USD/THB will respond to FOREX market forces as long as BOT agrees, if they do not agree they are permitted to intervene to influence the rate. Since THB (for delivery) is not freely traded  on global markets, virtually all the transactions that influence its value, occur inside Thailand.

And as I said before in here, and it can be subject to  manipulation for that very reason. Let's see if they make the upcoming report as a currency manipulator. Of course those forum members who consider themselves world economic experts may disagree by using that old  argument "they all do it" but so what that if they do it is still manipulation.

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11 minutes ago, Excel said:

And as I said before in here, and it can be subject to  manipulation for that very reason. Let's see if they make the upcoming report as a currency manipulator. Of course those forum members who consider themselves world economic experts may disagree by using that old  argument "they all do it" but so what that if they do it is still manipulation.

There are two point regarding currency manipulation. The first is, THB is not a freely convertible currency, it is not available in any quantity outside of Thailand and as I said previously, it cannot be exported in any great quantity. It therefore is almost impossible for anyone outside of Thailand, such as traders or hedge funds, to take a position against the Baht. THB is traded globally of course but never for the delivery of hard currency. The result is that manipulation or any unnatural forcing of the Baht can only occur within Thailand.

 

The second point is that any manipulation of the Baht in-country by the BOT would leave a paper trail of some kind. The common belief is the BOT uses their foreign currency reserves to sell USD and buy THB in order to strengthen the Baht. That approach of course is the exact opposite of what BOT was doing actually doing, pre-pandemic, when they were selling Baht and buying USD, in an attempt to keep a lid on THB and prevent exporters from being squeezed. The FCR are held not only in USD but in the 24 trading currencies most used by Thailand, along with gold, THB and Special Drawing Rights. Any change in the balance of those resources would show up as a significant loss or gain as it did previously. If anyone knows of another way BOT can manipulate the Baht, without it being seen, I'll be keen to know what it might be. Personally, I think the risk is too great, especially with the US watching the Baht like a hawk.

  • 2 months later...

Thought the Pound might have hit 45...but no...just looking now at 43.80 down approx 1 baht from a few weeks ago...Stayed at 44 for almost a month..Roll on tomorrow...Never be the same as 97...in 97  way back..again but all in the lap of the gods ....MPR..

I am waiting for the baht to get back to 2010 levels. Then we can have a party again .

On 6/18/2021 at 1:38 AM, Rinrada said:

Thought the Pound might have hit 45...but no...just looking now at 43.80 down approx 1 baht from a few weeks ago...Stayed at 44 for almost a month..Roll on tomorrow...Never be the same as 97...in 97  way back..again but all in the lap of the gods ....MPR..

43.35 on Super Rich today, I thought with UK opening up, trying to get

back to some form of normalcy ,Sterling has been in free fall this week.

regards Worgeordie

21 hours ago, worgeordie said:

43.35 on Super Rich today, I thought with UK opening up, trying to get

back to some form of normalcy ,Sterling has been in free fall this week.

regards Worgeordie

 

Totally unrelated to the Baht

All down to Sterling weakening against the USD on the opposite side of the pairings on talk of US rate rise. Baht is completely flat and range bound as it has been been these last few years

 

Sterling/Baht dropped off the back of it obviously

One last big Wise transfer before the pound tanks...eh.....????

On 6/20/2021 at 12:00 PM, Chivas said:

 

Totally unrelated to the Baht

All down to Sterling weakening against the USD on the opposite side of the pairings on talk of US rate rise. Baht is completely flat and range bound as it has been been these last few years

 

Sterling/Baht dropped off the back of it obviously

Back over 44 again...

Finally, looking at the exchange rate has become fun again. ????

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