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Pressure mounts on EC to announce May 14th election results


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3 hours ago, chalawaan said:

They're a badly disguised proxy of the current state apparatus that sized power illegitimately in a 2014 coup then engineered the obliteration of a party that should have won in 2019, and that flim-flam took 45 days to push through.

 

Why are people even thinking this outcome will be much different?

You shouldn't be surprised as to the outstanding number that consider things are different this time around......and "change" is the dreamy clarion that is heard everywhere - especially deluded foreign types. 

 

The old adage holds true: Same as it ever was.

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Delaying is a magic word in Thailand, Nothing can go swift and smoothly. Now we have to deal with a few complaints, a result of the election that is not accepted, because the winners are not military backgrounded. The old school will try to prevent that these people can form a  Government, as they are out of power. The EC  has to find rules, outdated laws, or other reasons to prevent that the choice of the people of Thailand will be respected... 

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Who is on the Election Commission? https://www.ect.go.th/ect_en/news_page.php?nid=1905

 

How were they selected? All commissioners are appointed by the king, with the advice of the Senate of Thailand; for a term of seven years. The current commission is the fourth team of election commissioners, appointed 12 August 2018.

 

Who replaces them when their term ends in 2025?

 

There are so many fingers on the scales, all on one side of course.

 

 

 

 

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Good news for MF

71 MP candidates are yet to be endorsed out of the 500 for a full house.

There are no problems with the 100 Party List MPs ( apart from Pita!) so investigations following complaints of irregularities apply to the following parties..

23 Bhumjaithai candidates

17 PT candidates 

16 Palang Pracharat candidates 

6 MF candidates

3 Democrat candidates

3 Ruam Thai Srang Chart 

2 Thai Srang Thai 

1 Thai Ruam Palang

So we can see of the proposed coalition, 25 candidates are at risk of yellow or red cards ( I' m not sure if Thai Ruam Palang are in the coalition or not).

And of these, PT stand to lose the most.

For the military backed parties, 45 candidates are at risk.

So even if all proposed coalition party MPs are red carded and all the military backed candidates are cleared ( a very unlikely scenario) the coalition still has a clear majority to form a government.

In fact, they're likely to increase their majority when you consider 23 Bhumjaithai and 16 Palang Pracharat candidates are being investigated! 

 

 

 

Edited by bannork
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6 minutes ago, bannork said:

Good news for MF

Thanks for this.

 

Can you share the source of this information? This would have had to come from the EC right?

 

7 minutes ago, bannork said:

And of these, PT stand to lose the most.

Not necessarily good news for Pita/MFP, right?

 

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18 minutes ago, bamnutsak said:

Thanks for this.

 

Can you share the source of this information? This would have had to come from the EC right?

 

Not necessarily good news for Pita/MFP, right?

 

I first saw it on Channel 3 news this morning and then read the details from Thai PBS' website.

I believe the news leaked from documents at the EC.

Regarding Pita, I believe the senators will never vote for him as PM but MF could well increase their number of MPs over PT 

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4 minutes ago, bannork said:

then read the details from Thai PBS' website.

Looked, could not find anything. Can you share a link?

 

4 minutes ago, bannork said:

I believe the news came from an unnamed source in the EC

This would be extremely problematic, IMO. No unattributed source at the EC should be releasing this information, nor should any news source publish it. 

 

I'll look on Twitter and FB.

 

 

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39 minutes ago, bannork said:

Good news for MF

71 MP candidates are yet to be endorsed out of the 500 for a full house.

There are no problems with the 100 Party List MPs ( apart from Pita!) so investigations following complaints of irregularities apply to the following parties..

23 Bhumjaithai candidates

17 PT candidates 

16 Palang Pracharat candidates 

6 MF candidates

3 Democrat candidates

3 Ruam Thai Srang Chart 

2 Thai Srang Thai 

1 Thai Ruam Palang

So we can see of the proposed coalition, 25 candidates are at risk of yellow or red cards ( I' m not sure if Thai Ruam Palang are in the coalition or not).

And of these, PT stand to lose the most.

For the military backed parties, 45 candidates are at risk.

So even if all proposed coalition party MPs are red carded and all the military backed candidates are cleared ( a very unlikely scenario) the coalition still has a clear majority to form a government.

In fact, they're likely to increase their majority when you consider 23 Bhumjaithai and 16 Palang Pracharat candidates are being investigated! 

 

 

 

The information that you provided could be accurate as it correspond to the official announcement by the EC on 14 June that they have confirmed 330 MPs-elect. The EC will not officially endorse them yet pending results of a probe into another 50 constituency MPs. 

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44 minutes ago, bannork said:

Thanks, wouldn't have looked there...

 

Headline translates

 

Waiting to see "71 MPs" after the documents at the meeting The Election Commission has leaked social media

 

 

IMO, leaks from the Election Commission are not a good thing, and probably against more than a few laws. The EC members/leadership should consider resigning due to incompetence.

 

 

 

 

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4 hours ago, bamnutsak said:

Who is on the Election Commission? https://www.ect.go.th/ect_en/news_page.php?nid=1905

 

How were they selected? All commissioners are appointed by the king, with the advice of the Senate of Thailand; for a term of seven years. The current commission is the fourth team of election commissioners, appointed 12 August 2018.

 

Who replaces them when their term ends in 2025?

 

There are so many fingers on the scales, all on one side of course.

 

 

 

 

As far as I understand, the new Senators will be selected by selection committees, committees which will be selected by the EC. Coming full circle as usual.

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They will know for sure on 13 July latest. It might be later though as you could also see the inability to figure out eight years of sitting on the prime ministers sedan chair which got slightly extended to 9+. 

Lets wait and see, an interesting summer ahead ???? 

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3 hours ago, bannork said:

Good news for MF

71 MP candidates are yet to be endorsed out of the 500 for a full house.

There are no problems with the 100 Party List MPs ( apart from Pita!) so investigations following complaints of irregularities apply to the following parties..

23 Bhumjaithai candidates

17 PT candidates 

16 Palang Pracharat candidates 

6 MF candidates

3 Democrat candidates

3 Ruam Thai Srang Chart 

2 Thai Srang Thai 

1 Thai Ruam Palang

So we can see of the proposed coalition, 25 candidates are at risk of yellow or red cards ( I' m not sure if Thai Ruam Palang are in the coalition or not).

And of these, PT stand to lose the most.

For the military backed parties, 45 candidates are at risk.

So even if all proposed coalition party MPs are red carded and all the military backed candidates are cleared ( a very unlikely scenario) the coalition still has a clear majority to form a government.

In fact, they're likely to increase their majority when you consider 23 Bhumjaithai and 16 Palang Pracharat candidates are being investigated! 

 

 

 

Fingers crossed, yeah?

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18 hours ago, bamnutsak said:

Thanks, wouldn't have looked there...

 

Headline translates

 

Waiting to see "71 MPs" after the documents at the meeting The Election Commission has leaked social media

 

 

IMO, leaks from the Election Commission are not a good thing, and probably against more than a few laws. The EC members/leadership should consider resigning due to incompetence.

 

 

 

 

As it was set up originally, the elite felt they required a bias and partial governing body to "monitor" elections. 

All one has to do is look into the EC's history and you'll understand what they're about and why/how they operate. 

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