So, that new calculation is roughly 20% of the original 40million tourists.

 

Tourism is supposedly 15% of total GDP.

 

80% of 15% GDP = 12%, representing the amount of tourism revenue reduced from total GDP.

 

So, ignoring slow exports, unemployment and spending and Government stimulus, how can GDP drop only 8%...Tourism alone drags it 12%, and I don't see anything making up that 4%.

 

Would not be at all surprised if GDP loss was in the 18-20% range...

 

 

25 minutes ago, SuwadeeS said:

So, why the Baht is still up, since I see so many bankrupt shops.

Other countries are in far worse shape! some are even taking care of their citizens which costs money!

Thailand is opting out of this step as it costs money that can be put to better use, as with all humanitarian crisis, the folks at the top aint going to suffer in the slightest!

2 hours ago, LEKPHUKET said:

No one like to visit Thailand with the insane measures in place,  countries around are laughing with Thailand. 

Bali opens in September ....

Bali may well open in Sept but that doesn't mean there will be any foreign tourists there in Sept.  The Balinese are dreaming as bad as the Thais are, hankering for a return of their tourist hoards. Best thing they can do is accept the fact that for now the party's over.

Really?  Lets face it until the Thailand Government has a brainstorm then nothing is going to happen!

 

First they need to agree a fixed date for airlines to be able to fly in tourists....Flights need to be full to make a profit! No airlines are going to start arranging timetables without this.

 

They need to establish with Airlines and Airports a facility to get at the airport a Covid test and certificate.   (This could be arranged easily, Bangkok test on arrival and some Mid East Airports already offer this option.)

 

14 Day quarantines are a non starter!

 

Free unrestricted travel in Thailand is a must....nobody will just sit on an Island!

 

If they cannot effect all the above, then as a tourist destination, you can forget it!

 

I appreciate Thailand wants to protect the country, but one day they must make manageable decisions!

 

6 hours ago, ezzra said:

Some time you wonder if the left hand in this country knows what the right hand is doing, when you hear contradicting statements everyday you begin to think is there anyone there that control theses statements of each to his own?...

Country?  My local hardware shop cant sync data about a screw..

This is a classic instance where they may have been better to just keep their big trap shut

I can't see any reason for a tourist to come in Thailand right now.

Quarantine, covid testing and so on are a no-no. I have to come in the country for business but I'm delaying my departure.

6 hours ago, ezzra said:

Some time you wonder if the left hand in this country knows what the right hand is doing, when you hear contradicting statements everyday you begin to think is there anyone there that control theses statements of each to his own?...

Everyday, you mean hourly and try gathering reliable information about returning to thailand if you have a family their!

Thailand expects 1.5 million foreign tourists before year end

What Planet are these people on !!!. Probably to replace the coconut monkeys or the government..... same same but the monkeys could do a better job and they wouldn't need 3 submarines.

Perhaps they know something we don’t re reopening.

Highly optimistic, bordering on delusional unless they resolve to open the borders very soon.

 

Many people book well in advance.

 

Somebody in the Tourism dept. is having a wet dream ,

maybe to get a higher advertising & operational budget .

We the expats / long term residents can't

even travel in / out of Thailand freely -

without being burdened by Insurance & Health Certificate .

How to hell do you expect  MASS TOURISM to return ?

6 hours ago, webfact said:

According to TAT governor Yuthasak Supasorn, 6.7 million international tourists visited Thailand in the first five months of the year, before the country was closed to visitors from overseas due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 

TAT's year must start on 1st November, because foreign travel into Thailand was banned when the state of emergency was declared on 25th March.

The Kingdom has and always will be a place for backpackers, overage male tourists and skint families taking their"dream holiday". Yes, occasionally an influx of big spending tourists (remember the Russians) but TAT should understand the truth.

Tourism will be at an all time low worldwide for a couple of years.

Most  countries have no time for the Chinese. The world knows that Thailand is reliant on China for so many reasons. The more the Chinese are welcomed, the more the rest of the world will visit other countries.

Unfortunately China is ruining the Kingdom.

Apart from everything else I've seen 250 pound per person quoted for covid insurance in the UK exactly what it covers i'm not sure, family of 4 1000 pound before you start 

7 hours ago, webfact said:

"We adjusted our forecast for foreign arrivals this year to 8.2 million from 10-12 million," Yuthasak said.

Expect to adjust them again later... Thailands entry requirements will put an end to your dreams!

As the previous comment said,everything back  to near normal with visas insurance etc.then end of the year some will return

16 hours ago, happyinthailand said:

1.5 million tourists is about 10,000 (or 50 aircraft per day)!  Given all the rules, this looks a little optimistic. 

 

The plan is that when a tourist passes through immigration they will go down a corridor and depart through another immigration hall next door. From there another corridor will take them back to the first immigration where they re enter. They make this circuit 10 times and are then allowed through to collect their luggage.

 

This plan will boost tourist arrivals to desired levels and is very flexible to make the numbers fit.

7 hours ago, ExpatOilWorker said:

TAT have downgraded their forecast from 15 million to 12 million, then 10 million and now 8.2 million.

Let's call it 6.7 million and talk again next year.

Headline Post Number One:- "In its latest forecast, the Tourism Authority of Thailand (TAT) said it expects approximately 1.5 million foreign tourists to visit Thailand before the end of the year."

 

Headline Post Number Two:- 

Departure date

Show the following documents and items to the airline at the check-in counter:

• Passport.
• Certificate of Entry.
• Health certificate clarifying no risk of COVID-19, using a RT-PCR laboratory technique, issued no more than 72 hours before travelling (required from passengers in Types 2, 3, and 6-11).
• Health insurance policy showing a minimum coverage for COVID-19 of not less than US$100,000 (required from passengers in Types 5-11).
• Surgical masks and alcohol-based hand sanitiser (per the approved amount).

Onboard the aircraft

• Wear a surgical mask during the flight.
• Follow the airline’s infection control guidance and restrictions.

Upon arrival

1. For visitors staying no more than 14 days.

• Undergo the COVID-19 testing using a RT-PCR laboratory technique at the airport.
• Download the tracking mobile phone app for COVID-19 incidents.

2. For visitors staying longer than 14 days.

• Undergo the COVID-19 screening (checking symptoms and body temperature).
• Download the tracking mobile phone app for COVID-19 incidents.
• Enter a 14-day local or state quarantine.

 

Pardon me for being sarcastic/honest, but if I was intending having 2 or 3 weeks holiday in a foreign country, would the requirements mentioned in Headline Post No 2 not be a bit off-putting? 

 

 

So actually they calculate there are 1.5 million farangs who REALLY NEED to come back ?

Can't see any "tourist" with his mind to come otherwise...

I guess it's just a empty annoncement here, since facilitating tourism is obviously not a goal.

7 minutes ago, sambum said:

Pardon me for being sarcastic/honest, but if I was intending having 2 or 3 weeks holiday in a foreign country, would the requirements mentioned in Headline Post No 2 not be a bit off-putting? 

We here in Europe already have bubbles, no insurance, no quarantine, and people are still reluctant to travel. They just don't want to find themselves stranded in a foreign country, all of the sudden it can go from green to yellow (average of new cases over the last 14 days exceeding the agreed threshold), masks on the plane, too much hassle in their opinion.

 

They are just not bothered.

 

Thailand or any other Asian country will have to do better, should they wish to receive visitors.

I expect to win the jackpot in the South Mongolian lottery...

Until they take their balls in their hands and open the country. Plus let's say a covid test on departure airport and one on arrival, Thailand is doomed. 

The country will just fall deeper into economic depression as they waffle on every week until they think.. OMG, it is too late to save anything  !

7 hours ago, Thaiwrath said:

Again, coming up with numbers with no logic whatsoever !

 

No way!!! Impossible, if they maintain all their great ideas against tourism... Even they release now its too late for 2020

500,000 if lucky ! 

With all the social distancing on planes, there is not enough aircraft to bring them here. And thats before all the insurance and covid tests etc...

2 hours ago, Justgrazing said:

Oh dear .. No China .. what a shame , what a pity .. never mind .. 

.

Fist chartered flight arrived yesterday,

 

https://thethaiger.com/coronavirus/first-post-covid-flight-from-china-lands-in-bangkok

 

Rejoice!!

Keeping hoping and dreaming?  The only sure thing or projection is that these leaders will go and break any and all rules to get their hair dye each month. Once anyone gets the list of things they want to enter Thailand!  bye bye Thailand it is dying and not from the Virus!

50 minutes ago, Kadilo said:

Perhaps they know something we don’t re reopening.

At last, someone with a little forethought.

2 hours ago, Lacessit said:

Someone obviously hasn't told the TAT the number of international flights coming into Thailand won't carry 1.5 million people. Perhaps they are hoping Chinese buses will fill the void. But isn't that where all this s##t started?

All the Chinese arriving in high-speed Bullet-Trains will save the day!!! 
Wait a minute....never-mind.