Thailand is bracing for its heaviest rainfall in more than three decades, with the country set for an early start to this year’s wet season.

 

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years.

 

Officials at the Royal Irrigation Department (RID) have instructed relevant agencies to be prepared for the rainfall, and ensure that reservoirs and irrigation systems are working properly.

 

As of March 31, large and medium reservoirs throughout the country were at 50 percent capacity.

 

The four main dams on the Chao Phraya River (Bhumibol Dam, Sirikit Dam, Khwae Noi Bamrung Dan Dam, and PaSak Choalasit Dam) have a total water volume of approximately 9,417 million cubic metres, or 38 per cent of the reservoir capacity, with approximately 2,748 million cubic metres of usable water.

 

Water management for 2020-21 is currently operating as expected, Manager reported, with enough to supply the remainder of the dry season.

 

-- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2021-04-02

 

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Are the TAT now issuing figures for other departments?

7 minutes ago, fangless said:

Are the TAT now issuing figures for other departments?

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years. Where is TAT mentioned ?

13 minutes ago, snoop1130 said:

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years.

If they predict the highest rainfall in more than 30 years, it's good ! But why must there be a warning  ?

3 minutes ago, keith101 said:

Where is TAT mentioned ?

Humour and sarcasms are often missing from some peoples mindset.

So already predicting and forecasting for the next month.  Just like predicting on the number of tourists that will arrive and then predicting on when Covid will go away.  Can't wrap my head around a future prediction on the weather.  A meteorologist is just like a politician, they can keep their jobs because they have a 50/50 chance of being correct and are never penalized when the forecast is different then what they said.

there is every year a lot of time to maintain rivers and dams, but as usual they only will do it when the country is flooded.. after the flooding the problems are solved again..

 

Just now, ThailandRyan said:

So already predicting and forecasting for the next month.  Just like predicting on the number of tourists that will arrive and then predicting on when Covid will go away.  Can't wrap my head around a future prediction on the weather.  A meteorologist is just like a politician, they can keep their jobs because they have a 50/50 chance of being correct and are never penalized when the forecast is different then what they said.

Thanks;

I tried to say that in one line with my TAT reference!  

18 minutes ago, SiamRead said:

If they predict the highest rainfall in more than 30 years, it's good ! But why must there be a warning  ?

If you get flooded then they can say they warned you. ????

It's called a CYA statement.

19 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

So already predicting and forecasting for the next month.  Just like predicting on the number of tourists that will arrive and then predicting on when Covid will go away.  Can't wrap my head around a future prediction on the weather.  A meteorologist is just like a politician, they can keep their jobs because they have a 50/50 chance of being correct and are never penalized when the forecast is different then what they said.

 

Quite a few companies in uk pay to get forecasts for near time and near future. Large ice-cream manufacturers often base supply of raw material orders based on the forecast.

In general ( uk anyway ) forecasts are in the 90% correct bracket.

Just because it doesn't rain in your back garden doesn't mean it didn't rain in your mates garden 2 kilometres away. ????

45 minutes ago, keith101 said:

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years. Where is TAT mentioned ?

I believe he is talking about pulling numbers and stats out of a minister's ass with no data to support them.

Just now, SiamRead said:

If they predict the highest rainfall in more than 30 years, it's good ! But why must there be a warning  ?

 

Perhaps because they are still sensitised to the Yingluck Flood problem of a few years back. Mr Prayuth was known to be (to my mind) unreasonably critical of her flood management approach, now it seems possible he will die by the same sword... I guess we'll see how much better at the job he is.

 

 

la nina picked in november, and it was mild, so no chance for such a big rainfall

Last big floods were in 2011.  So, biggest rainfall in 30 years must be biblical.

2 hours ago, overherebc said:

 

Quite a few companies in uk pay to get forecasts for near time and near future. Large ice-cream manufacturers often base supply of raw material orders based on the forecast.

In general ( uk anyway ) forecasts are in the 90% correct bracket.

Just because it doesn't rain in your back garden doesn't mean it didn't rain in your mates garden 2 kilometres away. ????

Fair enough.  That happens where I am in Bangkok.  The street in front of our condo will get rain and my side of the building will not, go figure.

1 hour ago, Yorkshire Tea said:

Last big floods were in 2011.  So, biggest rainfall in 30 years must be biblical.

2011 was a terrible flood, biggest insurance claims in world history.

So more than that? Please not.

And then show me the PM who would successfully fight against such a natural disaster.

Where will he have better advisors from?

 

That should be fun.  Official hand wring over floods and diverting flood waters into poor neighborhoods to spare the rich neighborhood. 

I've been here 14 years and it was flooding 14 years ago and nothing changed.  You would think that they'd develop water diversion plans or enlist the help of nations with the technology and skill to address flood control.  But? 
Come August and September we'll seen the same people in front of the same cameras wringing their same hands yet again while saying, "What we do?  Worst rain in 30 years.  Who see this come?" 
Yep.  ????  Ah-huh.

Let it flood.  The rice farmers will get two or three good crops in this year if they aren't washed away.  Never know as many of the rural irrigation-ways haven't been dredged and the banks reinforced since Buddha-knows-when.  Last year in our Tambon I watched a levy give way after a two day spell of rain.  Nothing spectacular but someone upstream opened the flood gates and away goes the levies and rice fields.  I didn't feel too bad.  The farmer who got flooded out shot one of our temple dogs.  Karma?  Yeah?  The dog lived; most of his rice did too. 
 

Start the sand bagging at the foot of the stairs and at the street.  For those with underground parking in their condos, hope to hell they have a sump pump, ot find somewhere to park it up out of the Tsunami zone.  Yes I said Tsunami Zone, thats when those cars drive through the standing water and send the waves that topple the motorbikes like dominoes.

Just now, connda said:

Let it flood.  The rice farmers will get two or three good crops in this year if they aren't washed away.  Never know as many of the rural irrigation-ways haven't been dredged and the banks reinforced since Buddha-knows-when.  Last year in our Tambon I watched a levy give way after a two day spell of rain.  Nothing spectacular but someone upstream opened the flood gates and away goes the levies and rice fields.  I didn't feel too bad.  The farmer who got flooded out shot one of our temple dogs.  Karma?  Yeah?  The dog lived; most of his rice did too. 
 

By the way.  They dredged that section of the river and reinforced the levies during the dry season.  Thais are soooo reactionary.  Not good planners.  They just can't envision the future.  No planning for a rainy day, just fix the damage after it comes and call it "bad karma."  Give tamboon to the monks so it won't happen again.

Time to order all the boats that will be used for pushing the water from the rivers into the sea fast. Great that MR "propeller plod" Science and Technology Minister Plodprasop Suraswadi is out of jail.

Any amount wold be welcome up here.

 

Just looked on the world map and they say Nth Isaan 'could' have some rain during the next 10 days.

 

3 hours ago, overherebc said:

 

Quite a few companies in uk pay to get forecasts for near time and near future. Large ice-cream manufacturers often base supply of raw material orders based on the forecast.

In general ( uk anyway ) forecasts are in the 90% correct bracket.

Just because it doesn't rain in your back garden doesn't mean it didn't rain in your mates garden 2 kilometres away. ????

Also, I recall reading that they use a long term weather forecasting service in the USA that uses supercomputers and weather modeling 

4 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

The four main dams on the Chao Phraya River (Bhumibol Dam, Sirikit Dam, Khwae Noi Bamrung Dan Dam, and PaSak Choalasit Dam) have a total water volume of approximately 9,417 million cubic metres, or 38 per cent of the reservoir capacity, with approximately 2,748 million cubic metres of usable water

Um, someone does not know their  geography  the Pasak  Choalsit dam is on the Passak river ,that flows down from Petchaboon province,and it has about 40 %  of its capacity.

4 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

The Meteorological Department has warned that from early May, the average rainfall would be the highest in more than 30 years.

 

Time to increase that price ticket on my house for sale.

 

I got decent offers from Bangkok people in 2011, when it wasn't finished yet, so this could be the year then.

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

Fair enough.  That happens where I am in Bangkok.  The street in front of our condo will get rain and my side of the building will not, go figure.

Ask people in Ban Chang on that one.

It quite often was chucking it down in the town and if you drove down to the beach area people would tell you it's been bone dry all day.  The railway crossing seemed to be the dividing line.

If you've ever seen desert rain it can be raining 10 metres from you while you're dry. Quite fascinating to see. You can almost run into the rain and back out again. You can also see rain coming out of a cloud and evaporating before it hits the ground. See att.

3 hours ago, ParkerN said:

 

Perhaps because they are still sensitised to the Yingluck Flood problem of a few years back. Mr Prayuth was known to be (to my mind) unreasonably critical of her flood management approach, now it seems possible he will die by the same sword... I guess we'll see how much better at the job he is.

 

 

It was Yingluck as PM ,she had not been in the job long ,all I heard around here was Mi- Mee- Brasop- Gun.no experience of the job ,the media found an 85 plus year old woman who could remember the last big floods in Bangkok ,she was only a kid then .

Considering the situation she did ok ,the problem was all the local big shots wanting they own  publicity by give out food parcels ,and rubber boats' etc.  

Do they draw straws on who needs to drop cloth and bend over so a number can be extracted from the anus ?

4 hours ago, overherebc said:

 

Quite a few companies in uk pay to get forecasts for near time and near future. Large ice-cream manufacturers often base supply of raw material orders based on the forecast.

In general ( uk anyway ) forecasts are in the 90% correct bracket.

Just because it doesn't rain in your back garden doesn't mean it didn't rain in your mates garden 2 kilometres away. ????

Piers Corbyn would give his advice for free.

 

He is top man on the forecasting.

20 minutes ago, owl sees all said:

Piers Corbyn would give his advice for free.

 

He is top man on the forecasting.

 

He does put forward some 'interesting' ideas.

I sort of agree with his take on global warming.  For me it's just one more of the hot/cold cycles the planet is going through. It's ( the planet ) being going through them for a very long time and this is just another one.  If you and me can hang on for another couple of thousand years we'll know who was right and who was wrong.

????????????