4 hours ago, Tropicalevo said:

I think that question is impossible to answer accurately.

What if someone flies into Suratthani from overseas. Gives Covid to a local who then travels to Samui and creates a cluster here.

Is that an indigenous infection or from overseas?

Bear in mind that lots of people with Covid are NOT reporting it to the authorities.

They have mild symptoms, do a couple of ATK tests, which show positive, and then self quarantine. Not wishing to have to go to government quarantine at a high cost.

There is a clear difference between international and domestic transmission.

If people come into any part of Thailand from abroad with the disease, then that is international and the precautions aren't working.

If they are spiking due to domestic infections then the domestic restrictions aren't working.

Symptomless people still transmit the disease but coming from abroad the presence of the virus should have been detected. Symptomless are more likely to be domestic spreaders. Samui seems to be suffering from a higher rate than much of the rest of the country. Presumably because of lax local behaviour.

Of course people coming from abroad don't want to go to areas where they are more likely to be infected as they will then have at least to quarantine when they get home..... if they are allowed to return at all.

2 minutes ago, kwilco said:

There is a clear difference between international and domestic transmission.

If people come into any part of Thailand from abroad with the disease, then that is international and the precautions aren't working.

If they are spiking due to domestic infections then the domestic restrictions aren't working.

Symptomless people still transmit the disease but coming from abroad the presence of the virus should have been detected. Symptomless are more likely to be domestic spreaders. Samui seems to be suffering from a higher rate than much of the rest of the country. Presumably because of lax local behaviour.

Of course people coming from abroad don't want to go to areas where they are more likely to be infected as they will then have at least to quarantine when they get home..... if they are allowed to return at all.

A large majority of locals have now been fully vaccinated, and a lesser proportion also given a third booster. Normally 2 x Sinovac + 1 Pfizer.

The migrant labour camps were a hotspot as were the Thai residential schools. The infection rates seem persistant now. Whether that is down to a blasé attitude among locals remains to be seen.

 

But with Christmas, New Year, and the hot season coming, more and more people will want to come and holiday.

I expect to see a rise in rates early in the New Year.

9 hours ago, kwilco said:

It's not their nationality that is of concern...its where they are coming from. Cases are increasing. Are they brought in by people living in Thailand or tourists coming from abroad?

The French people were coming back to Samui from France by that time. The general saying was that we should avoid contact with Frenchmen (including females)...????

So it is the locals on Samui infecting each other?

2 hours ago, kwilco said:

So it is the locals on Samui infecting each other?

My ex-wife infected my son and her friend.

8th December

Samui +5 new cases 
Phangan +9 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: KoSamuiLife.com

9th December

Samui +9 new cases 
Phangan +11 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

10th December

Samui +10 new cases 
Phangan +25 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

Koh Samui today: Bopput 6. Ang Thong 4, Lipa Noi 3, Taling Ngam 1.

11th December

Samui +11 new cases 
Phangan +7 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

12th December

Samui +6 new cases 
Phangan +17 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

13th December

Samui +8 new cases 

(Bophut 4, Marret 2, Ang Thong 2)
Phangan +4 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

14th December

Samui +8 new cases 

(Taling Ngam 4, Lipa Noi 2, Ang Thong 1, Bophut 1)
Phangan +15 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

15th December

Samui +5 new cases 

Phangan +12 new cases
(Bophut 3, Maenam 1, Lipa Noi 1)
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

16th December

Samui +8 new cases 

Phangan +14 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

17th December

Samui +4 new cases 

Phangan +18 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

18th December

Samui +15 new cases 
(Bophut 7, Maenam 6, Maret 2)

Phangan +7 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

19th December

Samui +5 new cases 
(Maret 3, Maenam 1, Taling Ngam 1)

Phangan +4 new cases
Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

20th December

Samui +6 new cases 
Phangan +7 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

อ.เกาะสมุย จ.สุราษฏร์ธานี พบโอมิครอน 3 รายแรก (สัมผัสเสี่ยงสูงร่วมเดินทางเที่ยวบิน 49ราย ในพื้นที่8 รวม57ราย)

Koh Samui District, Surat Thani Province, found the first 3 Omicron (high-risk exposure, 49 participants in the area, 8 total 57 cases)

About the three Omicron cases...

 

21st December

Samui +5 new cases 
Phangan +3 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

22nd December

Samui +7 new cases 
Phangan +3 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

23rd December

Samui +2 new cases 
Phangan +4 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

24th December

Samui +14 new cases 
Phangan +4 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

25th December

Samui +5 new cases 
Phangan, no new cases

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

26th December

Samui +2 new cases 
Phangan +1 new case

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

27th December

Samui +7 new cases 
Phangan, +1 new case

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

28th December

Samui +11 new cases 
Phangan, +1 new case

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

29th December

Samui +12 new cases 

(Bophut 6, Maenam 5, Ang Thong 1)
Phangan +3 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

30th December

Samui +6 new cases 

Phangan +3 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

 

31st December 2021

Samui +9 new cases 
Phangan, +6 new cases

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

 

1st January 2022

Samui +17 new cases 
Phangan, +2 new cases

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

2nd January 2022

Samui +13 new cases 
Phangan, +4 new cases

Koh Tao, no new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

 

3rd January 2022

Samui +11 new cases 
Phangan, +6 new cases

Koh Tao, +2 new cases

Source: Kosamuilife.com

4th January

Samui +20 new cases 

Phangan +9 new cases

Koh Tao, no data

Source: Kohmui.com

This was just posted:

 

 

I have said it before. I think the number will jump sharply soon. Due to the fact there are more people travelling to and from Samui over the Christmas and New Year period and mingling for the festivities.