Thailand’s total COVID-19 case tally surpasses 100,000 after 2,302 new cases

[Jonathan Fairfield]

 

FILE PHOTO: A rescue worker wearing personal protective equipment (PPE) sprays disinfectant inside an ambulance after carrying a coffin containing a body of a person who died from the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at a temple in Nonthaburi province, on the outskirts of Bangkok, Thailand May 5, 2021. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha

 

Thailand on Sunday (May 16) reported 2,302 new COVID-19 cases and 24 more deaths.

 

Sunday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 101,447 with  589 deaths. 

 

On Saturday, the Center for COVID-19 Situation Administration announced adjustments to the colour-coded zone map for provinces in Thailand. 

 

The changes include downgrading provinces from the most severely affected Dark Red zones and Red zones to an Orange categorisation.

 

Chonburi and Chiang Mai were moved from the Dark Red  zones to Red and Orange, respectively. Phuket was also downgraded to an Orange Zone.

 

While Bangkok will remain a Dark Red Zone, restaurants will be allowed to resume dine in services, albeit operating at 25 percent capacity and having to close at 9pm.

 

Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani and Samut Prakan will also remain as Dark Red zones.

 

Another 17 provinces are in red zones, risk areas where restaurants can serve customers until 11 p.m. and 56 provinces are in orange areas, where there are no dining restrictions.

 

Malls nationwide will still close at 9 p.m. and entertainment venues remain closed.

 

Thailand has administered 2.2 million vaccine doses to frontline workers and high-risk groups so far and a broader vaccination drive is expected to start in June. An app for foreigners is also being developed to allow them to register for inoculation, said Natapanu Nopakun, a foreign ministry spokesman.

 

"Walk-in vaccinations will be available soon. Provinces that are ready can commence immediately. Foreigners can walk into these locations when they are announced," he said.

 

The new zoning and other easing of  restrictions take effect on Monday.

 

*Reuters contributed to this report.

 

 

-- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2021-05-16

 

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[Swimfan]

No mention if that includes the the cases in prison. Totally inconsistent reporting. 
waiting to see the breakdown. 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

 

The chart above shows (in the light blue box) 35,055 COVID positive patients housed in some kind of hospital facilities in Thailand, including regular hospital beds, field hospitals and hotel-hospitals. The share of those patients in critical condition declined by six cases to 1,228 as of today's report, while the portion of those requiring ventilators to breathe declined by seven cases to 408 -- changes more than offset by the 24 new deaths reported today.

 

The 2,302 new COVID cases reported Sunday does not yet include the 1,219 new prison cases reported later on Saturday -- those are likely to be added on Monday. But the government's update today does show the 2,302 new cases again exceeding the 2,136 COVID patients being listed as recovered and released from hospital, causing the 35,055 hospitalized patient count to reach a new record.

 

 

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/ThaiPBSWorld/posts/4410500888995207

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Spurred largely by the recent spate of prison COVID cases, the charts below show Thailand's rolling seven-day averages of new COVID cases and deaths updated through May 14 have once again reached record levels for the pandemic.

 

Health authorities often use the seven-day rolling averages of new cases and deaths to see the trends of how they're faring in the pandemic, because the seven-day averages tend to even out the daily fluctuations in case and death reporting that typically occur.

 

 

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

 

[Em150]

Well I never. With boring predictability, we are asked to believe there are roughly 2,000 cases again ????

[RotBenz8888]

9 minutes ago, Jonathan Fairfield said:

Foreigners can walk into these locations when they are announced," he said.

Please don't forget to bring a negative covid19 test and Fit to fly certificate. 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

 

 

 

 

 

Edited May 16, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[Trujillo]

101,447 out of the total population of Thailand at 69,799,978 is 0.145 percent of the total population. 

 

Deaths are 0.00084 percent of the total population of the nation. 

 

Just to give some perspective. 

[dinsdale]

Lifted from my post on prisoner infections:

Reporting 2,302 cases today. This cannot include the prisoner numbers surley. That would be 1,083 cases outside of the prison system a more than 50% drop from yesterday. No way.

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

 

Songkhla seafood processing factory

.

In case of #COVID 19 infected people from seafood processing factory cluster in district area. It's going to be a province. Songkhla is found that 24 infected people in this factory today (15 Ph. kh. ) Songkhla Provincial Public Health Team joins with District Hospital, Channa, making proactive search to screen nearly 400 more infected high-risk people from nearly 3,000 employees to intercept and remember the epidemic. Expanding to local people in the province. Songkhla and nearby.

 

https://www.facebook.com/tnamcot/videos/513745006675175/

 

[jmccarty]

29 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Lifted from my post on prisoner infections:

Reporting 2,302 cases today. This cannot include the prisoner numbers surley. That would be 1,083 cases outside of the prison system a more than 50% drop from yesterday. No way.

 

The restrictions work!

[Pravda]

12 minutes ago, Trujillo said:

101,447 out of the total population of Thailand at 69,799,978 is 0.145 percent of the total population. 

 

Deaths are 0.00084 percent of the total population of the nation. 

 

Just to give some perspective. 

 

Oh, that's great, so they tested 69,799,978 of Thailand population?

 

Thanks for the perspective. 

[smedly]

13 minutes ago, Em150 said:

Well I never. With boring predictability, we are asked to believe there are roughly 2,000 cases again ????

 

It is consistent because the number of tests done and types of people tested are consistent

 

by their very own guide - they do not test people who do not have symptoms so those who are asymptomatic are completely bypassed 

 

estimates based on studies

 

Percent of infections that are asymptomatic		30%
Infectiousness of asymptomatic individuals relative to symptomatic		75%
Percentage of transmission occurring prior to symptom onset		50%

[Bkk Brian]

Before anyone starts pointing out that this is mainly in Bangkok.

 

Bangkok is part of Thailand, its not like Myanmar or Cambodia where we can blame people crossing over for starting the outbreak. No we have our own epicenter right here in heart of Thailand.

 

Nowhere is safe until the outbreak is fully under control and extinguished completely there. The way things are going thats far from the case. All provinces are liable to further outbreaks while this is ongoing and those provinces that have done well to contain and reduce the numbers need to be very cautious how they ease measures unless they want it to creep right back up again. A never ending cycle.

Weeks ago when we were in double or triple digits there were a handfull of posters trying to say we were doomsayers, complaining and Thailand's health service was excellent and more than capable of dealing with those numbers. Those same people are now saying oh its contained at 2,000 a day flatline. Its not, far from it.

 

 

 

[dinsdale]

Just now, jmccarty said:

The restrictions work!

Sure. If you think so. Did you not notice that today there is no breakdown of population and prison population infections. Doesn't this raise a question in your mind?

[smedly]

When an infection erupts the way coronavirus has exploded in Wuhan, China, and elsewhere in the world, public-health experts try to gauge the potential for an epidemic—or, worse, a pandemic—by calculating the pathogen’s basic reproduction number.

The figure, generally written as R0 and pronounced “R naught,” is an estimate of how many healthy people one contagious person will infect. Because viruses spread exponentially, a few cases can quickly blow up to an overwhelming number. An R0 of two suggests a single infection will, on average, become two, then four, then eight.

Until the infection is contained or runs its course, the doubling will continue.

[Danderman123]

36 minutes ago, Em150 said:

Well I never. With boring predictability, we are asked to believe there are roughly 2,000 cases again ????

Let’s use Chonburi as an example.

 

~1,000 tests conducted, some 48 new infections found.

 

What percent of the Thai population lives in Chonburi province? If you do the math, the resulting extrapolation more or less is consistent with the national numbers.

 

so, do you think the Chonburi sample is too small? Or is it all fake?

[Danderman123]

7 minutes ago, smedly said:

When an infection erupts the way coronavirus has exploded in Wuhan, China, and elsewhere in the world, public-health experts try to gauge the potential for an epidemic—or, worse, a pandemic—by calculating the pathogen’s basic reproduction number.

The figure, generally written as R0 and pronounced “R naught,” is an estimate of how many healthy people one contagious person will infect. Because viruses spread exponentially, a few cases can quickly blow up to an overwhelming number. An R0 of two suggests a single infection will, on average, become two, then four, then eight.

Until the infection is contained or runs its course, the doubling will continue.

Unless restrictions are in place which reduce the infection rate. Like in the UK last December.

[Bkk Brian]

3 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Let’s use Chonburi as an example.

 

~1,000 tests conducted, some 48 new infections found.

 

What percent of the Thai population lives in Chonburi province? If you do the math, the resulting extrapolation more or less is consistent with the national numbers.

 

so, do you think the Chonburi sample is too small? Or is it all fake?

Or you could use Bangkok as an example.

[Danderman123]

16 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Before anyone starts pointing out that this is mainly in Bangkok.

 

Bangkok is part of Thailand, its not like Myanmar or Cambodia where we can blame people crossing over for starting the outbreak. No we have our own epicenter right here in heart of Thailand.

 

Nowhere is safe until the outbreak is fully under control and extinguished completely there. The way things are going thats far from the case. All provinces are liable to further outbreaks while this is ongoing and those provinces that have done well to contain and reduce the numbers need to be very cautious how they ease measures unless they want it to creep right back up again. A never ending cycle.

Weeks ago when we were in double or triple digits there were a handfull of posters trying to say we were doomsayers, complaining and Thailand's health service was excellent and more than capable of dealing with those numbers. Those same people are now saying oh its contained at 2,000 a day flatline. Its not, far from it.

 

The data shows that infection numbers in the general population are not growing much.

 

On the other hand, it’s pretty obvious that the numbers in prisons are awful. I wouldn’t be surprised if there were 100,000 infections right now in the prisons. The situation may be so bad that the authorities will count prison infections separately.

[anchadian]

19 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Sure. If you think so. Did you not notice that today there is no breakdown of population and prison population infections. Doesn't this raise a question in your mind?

No.  This is Thailand.

[Danderman123]

21 minutes ago, smedly said:

 

It is consistent because the number of tests done and types of people tested are consistent

 

by their very own guide - they do not test people who do not have symptoms so those who are asymptomatic are completely bypassed 

 

estimates based on studies

 

Percent of infections that are asymptomatic		30%
Infectiousness of asymptomatic individuals relative to symptomatic		75%
Percentage of transmission occurring prior to symptom onset		50%

Except for mass testing used to determine the positivity rate. This amounts to many thousands of tests a day.

[Bkk Brian]

Just now, Danderman123 said:

The data shows that infection numbers in the general population are not growing much.

 

On the other hand, it’s pretty obvious that the numbers in prisons are awful. I wouldn’t be surprised if there were 100,000 infections right now in the prisons. The situation may be so bad that the authorities will count prison infections separately.

So whats your point exactly, "not growing much" growing at all is very concerning.

 

Nowhere is safe until the outbreak is fully under control and extinguished.

 

Please no more of your predictions that the peak is over.

[EricTh]

The figures don't mean anything if there is no lockdown of the dark red zones. 

 

They should have locked Greater Bangkok down early last month.

 

If they still haven't done so, it will spread to other provinces again.

 

Thailand did a great job in the first two waves but after the top ministers got vaccinated, they got careless.

Edited May 16, 2021 by EricTh

[Dmaxdan]

54 minutes ago, Em150 said:

Well I never. With boring predictability, we are asked to believe there are roughly 2,000 cases again ????

Would you rather it be 20,000?

[dinsdale]

I think we can reasonably say that the prisoner numbers from yesterday have not been included in today's numbers. Infections do not mirraculously drop by more than 50% overnight. Include them and today's number would be 3,521. If the prison numbers from yesterday and today, let's say another thousand are added to tomorrow's numbers which as things are going will be >2000 then tomorrow's numbers should be in excess of 4,000 or even 5,000.

Edited May 16, 2021 by dinsdale

[dinsdale]

6 minutes ago, Dmaxdan said:

Would you rather it be 20,000?

The thing is it very well might be. Again only true mass testing will show the real number. Mass testing not only in BKK but country wide from provincial capitals to villages.

[FarFlungFalang]

So if we count the 1200 prison cases then Thailands total daily number is about 3500?Or am I missing something?

[Rhacsyn]

41 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Sure. If you think so. Did you not notice that today there is no breakdown of population and prison population infections. Doesn't this raise a question in your mind?

 

Understood. Should have been reported and included today, but if not then surely we will see them tomorrow 

[Bkk Brian]

Even taking out the prison numbers we can see a steady growth rate in community infections over the last week