webfact 140278 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 REUTERS FILE PHOTO for reference only Thailand's business media has reported an analysis of the Thai economy by ttb Analytics. They are an economic analysis group who have predicted what the Thai economy will look like if certain vaccine targets are met. They assesses that if 150,000 people are vaccinated every day in what remains of this year then 100,000 foreign tourists will visit. This figure would rise to 5.5 million for next year. But if 300K jabs are delivered each day the figure would be 400,000 tourists in 2021 and 10 million next year. PIcture: ttb analytics If half a million jabs could be done per day then 700,000 tourists would come this year and a whopping 13.8 million in 2022. In a report in Bangkok Business News they also analysed the effect on Thai Gross Domestic Product assessing at the lowest end of the vaccination scale the economy would grow by 1.4% in 2021 and 2.8% next year. But at the highest end they said GDP growth would be 2.2% this year and 4.4% in 2022. Thailand's vax rollout has been criticized for being slow so far. The Thai government has been drip feeding various vaccines in the last few months but are putting their collective faith in large scale production of AstraZenerca by the locally based Siam BioScience company that is set to get going in earnest in June. Walk-in vaccination centers are set to supplement hospitals and registration protocols are being upgraded to include foreigners residing in Thailand. So far vaccinations have been measured in the tens of thousands daily but that is set to increase dramatically from next month if Thai government plans are realized, notes Thaivisa. -- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2021-05-18 - Whatever you're going through, the Samaritans are here for you - Follow Thaivisa on LINE for breaking COVID-19 updates Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RotBenz8888 24165 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, webfact said: like certain vaccine targets are met. And there's when I stopped reading further. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
madmitch 13654 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 At least these figures are lower than from various other sources, though I'm not sure the number of tourists will ncrease in proportion with the number of jabs given in Thailand. They never seem to take into account the conditions in the source countries and the ability and desire of tourists to travel in the current circumstances. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
herfiehandbag 9917 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Not if: beaches and parks are closed at the whim of whoever fancies exercising authority, not if bars and restaurants are closed, or again likely to be closed at short notice, and not if there is the faintest whiff of quarantine in any shape or form, or the requirement to purchase "special insurance" or any other special provisions from selected companies! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
darksidedog 55405 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, webfact said: If half a million jabs could be done per day I somehow suspect this figure will not be reached. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sticky Rice Balls 3749 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 set up the vaccine shops outside gold shops and thai banks--that should match those goals # make a vaccine with the #999 as thais seem to think 9s are lucky --get a vaccine-get a lottery tix Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
colinneil 84371 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 This morning whilst out for my walk, a pig flew over me. That is just as believable as the OP. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caldera 7836 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Oh look, another tourist number prediction. I predict that it will be just as wrong as all the other predictions before. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
starky 8200 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Hahahaha from where? So vaccinated people can spend 14 days in quarantine before getting released into the third wave in Thailand, sounds awesome. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rampant Rabbit 5337 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Tomorrows useless fact coming soon Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rampant Rabbit 5337 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, colinneil said: This morning whilst out for my walk, a pig flew over me. That is just as believable as the OP. As long as it didn't <deleted> on you. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phuketshrew 12552 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 These guys must be smoking some "Anutin green", the same stuff as the TAT guys ... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blumpie 4177 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Uh yeah that won't happen. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel 13375 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Clearly these people have been let out of the asylum on day release. Get them back quick Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluesofa 43936 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 34 minutes ago, webfact said: {snipped} ... if certain vaccine targets are met. They assesses that if 150,000 people are vaccinated every day.... But if 300K jabs are delivered each day... If half a million jabs could be done per day... if Thai government plans are realized... Are there enough 'if''s in there? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaltsc 9455 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 "...if 300K jabs are delivered each day the figure would be 400,000 tourists in 2021 and 10 million next year." And...If the people who made up these statistics share whatever they are smoking, that will be the only way tourism will increase. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pravda 8394 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 I tried really hard not to post a laffing emoticon Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobMuir 2126 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Rubbish report from bored reporters at the Bangkok Business news. Firstly impossible to predict vaccination figures for even next month. Secondly they don't give a starting date for the 500,000. Starting from today or next year. Thirdly there are hundreds of other factors that will affect the numbers apart from just simple vaccines given in Thailand numbers. An educated guess is being too generous for this report which is nothing more than a prediction. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Excel 13375 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 minute ago, RobMuir said: Rubbish report from bored reporters at the Bangkok Business news. Firstly impossible to predict vaccination figures for even next month. Secondly they don't give a starting date for the 500,000. Starting from today or next year. Thirdly there are hundreds of other factors that will affect the numbers apart from just simple vaccines given in Thailand numbers. An educated guess is being too generous for this report which is nothing more than a prediction. A prediction usually have some basic data on which it is based. This is not a prediction, merely a fantasy by those in dreamland. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
actonion 1831 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 They've been borrowing TAT's crystal ball i think Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluesofa 43936 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, Excel said: A prediction usually have some basic data on which it is based. This is not a prediction, merely a fantasy by those in dreamland. Perhaps they asked a monk? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezzra 54684 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Amazing how they put out and silly predictions just to show that all is not lost and the good times will be here again with the operative word "if" looming large... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfHuy 4715 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 And Lucky told me, she can't go lower than 3000Baht because she would lose face. Once the word goes around that she lowered her price, she would never be able to increase It again . Keep the price high. Don't lose face, EVER Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
actonion 1831 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 They do like to give (false) hope to the natives....& others, i remember a member of this government saying, a couple of weeks ago that this recent wave of covid will be over in 2 weeks time Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlfHuy 4715 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 If all those politicians and study groups and hub centres would be hold accountable for their "fake" stories, they would need to build a few new prisons. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtls2005 27080 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 The drug problem is obviously quite worse than imagined. Whoever came up with this beauty of an article is clearly high. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
nursebob 103 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 what are these guys taking, i want some. the optimism is overwhelming. covid scores are rising, beaches and parks are being shut. well at least the pound is going up. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crossy 38608 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 1 hour ago, colinneil said: This morning whilst out for my walk, a pig flew over me. Saddleback or Old Spot? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
colinneil 84371 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 Just now, Crossy said: Saddleback or Old Spot? Landrace actually. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
tlandtday 2736 Posted May 18, 2021 Share Posted May 18, 2021 A number of things may happen. The world may wake up and realize that this "pandemic" is really more of a "panicdemic" and loosen up entry requirements or Thailand fails to meet its vaccine totals and remains shuttered. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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