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Thailand reports 4,059 new COVID-19 cases, 35 more deaths


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5 minutes ago, DrJack54 said:

Whoops. 

Does this mean sandbox pushed back.

Just the opposite.  Read an article this morning where the bars and all venues will be open in Phuket in order to entice the tourists in.  Bars etc.....

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Too bad Thailand isn't on the list. At least by staying out of Covax no one's feelings were hurt which matters more than the economy or any number of other deleterious effects of a runaway pandemic. The US is not sending any AZ vax due to "technical errors" maybe US is saving a bit of face too.

 

Biden drops AstraZeneca vaccine from latest donation - POLITICO

 

image.png.507b20cb930d99400b849af0a642789a.png

Edited by wasabi
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1 minute ago, Danderman123 said:

This may be an artifact.

 

There is sometimes a spike for Tuesday’s numbers due to pileups of lab tests over the weekend. There is a good chance that tomorrow’s numbers will be significantly lower.

If this is a new peak and does not rise tomorrow then by definition the numbers will be lower tomorrow, the question is for how long will it remain that way.

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1 minute ago, Susco said:

 

The only thing wrong with your logic is that there was no significant drop in the weekend figures, compared with previous days, but today we have almost double the average

We’ll see if there is a significant drop tomorrow. 
 

if not, if the numbers are the same or higher tomorrow, then Thailand is hosed.   But it’s much more likely this is an artifact, and the numbers will drop tomorrow.

 

The problem is the underlying slow rise in cases.

 

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2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Chonburi 335!

 

"The situation in Chonburi went from really good to really bad in just one week. Today they are reporting a new record high due to a cluster at Talad Mai market in the city. It shows you how quickly it could go wrong for Phuket. If they get a cluster, say goodbye to #PhuketSandbox"

 

 

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1407133408199798789

 

It’s mostly up north in Chonburi city and the factories near Bangkok.

 

7 cases in Pattaya.

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2 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

We’ll see if there is a significant drop tomorrow. 
 

if not, if the numbers are the same or higher tomorrow, then Thailand is hosed.   But it’s much more likely this is an artifact, and the numbers will drop tomorrow.

 

The problem is the underlying slow rise in cases.

 

 

It looks as if the numbers increased everywhere, as Chonburi also doubled from one day to the other.

 

maybe someone got over active and instructed to perform more tests.

 

He will be transferred to an inactive post tomorrow

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2 minutes ago, tomazbodner said:

Who cares about Delta variant. This is far more worrying:

 

https://www.thaienquirer.com/28808/beta-variant-cluster-spreads-to-12-provinces/

 

From that article:

 

The Poryani cluster, as it has been called by local news, has led to 111 cases in Narathiwat followed by 102 cases in Yala, 46 cases in Satun, 46 cases in Pattani, 36 cases in Songkhla, 18 in Krabi, 13 in Phatthalung and 10 in Nakhon Si Thammarat, nine in Surat Thani, five in Phang Nga and three each in Trang and Phuket, the CCSA said.

 

In terms of vaccine effectiveness against the Beta variant, Dr Supakit said the AstraZeneca vaccine, which is becoming Thailand’s main vaccine, has only a 10.4-per-cent chance to protect against infection from the Beta variant and it cannot prevent severe symptoms.

 

A study also showed that the level of protection offered by the Sinovac vaccine, another main vaccine in the country, dropped by 70 per cent against the Beta variant, he added.

 

Admittedly only one case detected in Phuket, but that's detected, right? How many are silently spreading it and not detected? It will be the end of tourism for Thailand if tourists come, fully vaccinated, only to be infected by variant for which their vaccines are near completely useless.

 

In other words, vaccines are no longer useful, better put your head in the sandbox, and wait maybe we are lucky.

 

 

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6 minutes ago, Macrohistory said:

 

 

Exactly zero evidence to support that statement in the data.

There have been a series of spikes in cases right after a weekend.

 

The attached chart is what is known as “evidence” of those artifacts.

CD862666-3D1D-4533-8C0E-1F512EE85D40.png

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10 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

>3000 for the last 2 days and today 4000. 10,000 in 3 days. I call this a trend not a spike.

I agree that the underlying trend is not good. My only issue is whether today’s numbers are an artifact, or whether 4,000 cases is going to be the new normal.

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8 minutes ago, Susco said:

 

It looks as if the numbers increased everywhere, as Chonburi also doubled from one day to the other.

 

maybe someone got over active and instructed to perform more tests.

 

He will be transferred to an inactive post tomorrow

What would be really worrying is if testing has declined.We can't tell because the testing data doesn't get updated very often, the last update on our world in data was on the 12th this month.

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