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Phuket Sandbox: First flights confirmed, 100,000 foreign tourists set to visit


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Somebody needs new batteries for their calculator! And also a cloth to clean their crystal balls!

So, 10,000 people will arrive per day and be required to take 3 PCR tests which each have a 1/200 false positive rate. That's 1/67 due to having to take 3 tests. So, statistically, of those travelers,

File photo//Credit: Fæ / Wiki Commons   Thailand's tourism minister will tell the Thai cabinet today that it is all systems go for the reopening of the country with the much vaunted Phuket S

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And here we go again, to which i will say: in your dreams guys, by putting out these news items every day, it doesn't meant i will come true... and i'm to buy a big hat, which i intend to eat if indeed 10,000 tourist will come everyday, Big Hat...

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21 minutes ago, fangless said:

Somebody needs new batteries for their calculator!

And also a cloth to clean their crystal balls!

Or they'll be arriving on only 3 days each month !

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16 minutes ago, JCP108 said:

So, 10,000 people will arrive per day and be required to take 3 PCR tests which each have a 1/200 false positive rate. That's 1/67 due to having to take 3 tests. So, statistically, of those travelers, 150 will get a false positive during their 14-day sandbox adventure. Can the local hospitals handle 150 admissions every day for 2-week mandatory hospital stays? That would be about 4,500 per month. 

Imagine that how would they spin that one?

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54 minutes ago, webfact said:

And talks are also well down the line in including other provinces where 70% of people will have been vaccinated. 

Really?When will that be?

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  • geovalin changed the title to Phuket Sandbox: First flights confirmed, 1,000 tourists per day to arrive on island
3 minutes ago, ikke1959 said:

How big are these airplanes??? 10.000 a day in 5 flights...???? 2000 a flight??

An A380 can carry a maximum of 853 passengers, so a minimum of 12 flights required at almost full capacity.

 

I have my doubts.....

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1 hour ago, webfact said:

He said that 100,000 tourists would be visiting Phuket in July to September.

 

That's just over 1,000 a day.

 

And, claimed the TAT chief, they will be spending a total of 8.9 billion baht.

Yee Haa, the cash cow is back.

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I am sorry JCP108 but I think you have got your statistics wrong. The topic is called Conditional Probability, and it works such that, if there is a 1:200 risk that the test result is incorrect, when you do three tests there is only a 1:200x200x200 risk that all three are wrong. That is one in eight million, which is a pretty low risk.

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another good example of 

Marketing  

Televising

Advertising

Publicizing

Promoting

 

well done TAT

it will create discussion which will generate interest, which will generate travellers 

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Seems like the headline of 10,000 daily tourists have been scaled down to 1,000, which better fits with the predicted 129,000 tourists in three months. However, is 1,000 tourists a day the seat capacity or actual bookings...🤔

Edited by khunPer
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  • webfact changed the title to Phuket Sandbox: First flights confirmed, 100,000 foreign tourists set to visit

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