50% of people in Thailand to receive vaccine jab by end of October

[Jonathan Fairfield]

People get vaccinated against the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) at Suvarnabhumi airport in Bangkok, Thailand April 28, 2021. REUTERS/Jorge Silva

 

Fifty percent of the total population of Thailand will have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by the end of October, according to targets set by the Department of Disease Control (DDC).

 

According to DDC chief Opas Karnkawinpong, Thailand will be able to administer one million vaccines per day by the end of September and by the end of October the aim is to have given at least one vaccine dose to 50 percent of the population.

 

Dr Opas said an event will be held by public health officials on September 24 which will mark the milestone of vaccinating one million people in a single day. This will also include public health officials and volunteers being given a third booster dose.

 

As of Friday, Thailand had administered around 43.9 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines.

 

Approximately 20.4 percent of the total population of Thailand are fully vaccinated, according to the CCSA data. 

 

On Saturday, Dr Opas also said that people in Thailand have now started to live with COVID-19 and continue to follow the guidelines on mask wearing and social distancing issued by the Ministry of Public Health.

 

Meanwhile, Health Minister Anutin Charnvirakul also said he is confident that the country will meet its target of inoculating 50 million people by the end of this year.

 

Currently, Thailand is administering an average of around 700,000 vaccines doses per day.

 

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[mommysboy]

50% is not enough to fully reopen.  80% is about the mark.

[Will B Good]

4 minutes ago, mommysboy said:

50% is not enough to fully reopen.  80% is about the mark.

............and that 50% is only one jab.

 

They are probably 6 months away from being 'safe' to open up.

[Chicken George]

50% of over 18s? 

[Gottfrid]

More rubbish propaganda, from utterly clueless people.

[mommysboy]

A crucial benchmark would be 90% of over 60's double jabbed. 

 

In this respect, Thailand only started in earnest about 2 weeks ago, ie, the first 2 months of the mass vaccine roll out was wasted vaccinating youngsters who don't really need it, thus whatever happens here on in is more of a salvage job. 

 

Maybe, the main tourist spots plus Bangkok could reopen in November provided the latter is 90% covered.  This would delay another surge for a month or two, by which time most of the adult population would be done,  The case load would still peak at 50-100,000 people, however the death rate would be around 200-400 per day.  I don't know if Thais would live with that, or if tourists would want to come.

 

Frankly, January would likely be a better option, if the sole consideration is public safety.

[tomyami]

Delta requires 2 jabs 80% over 18, sino vax is the elephant in the room here so its more likely to in the first quater next year.

If it is at 40% now during the last week reported, Thailand averaged about 622,960 doses administered each day. At that rate, it will take a further 23 days to administer enough doses for another 10% of the population.

 

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-thailands-elderly-lag-behind-covid-vaccination-drive-data-show-2021-08-31/

[club]

If Pfizer is late on delivery , Hopefully you have a plan B, but great news if it happens

Edited September 19, 2021 by club

[Mickmouse1]

42 minutes ago, Chicken George said:

50% of over 18s? 

Population  ,that means those who never ever see a tourist 

[BestB]

1 hour ago, mommysboy said:

50% is not enough to fully reopen.  80% is about the mark.

It does not have to be 80% nationwide, but mainly tourist visited locations. Also 80% is rather high where many countries open up at 60%-70%

[aussiexpat]

I'm surprised they don't sell it better by only stating % of adult population. Then the current 20.4% fully vaccinated would become 26% and the projected 50% would become 64% 

 

(Based on 70m population and 55m adults getting vax)

Edited September 19, 2021 by aussiexpat

[ezzra]

Pity there isn't a way to place a bet on that statement, i would have made a killing...

[Crossy]

An anti-vax / fake news post along with the sensible replies has been removed.

[Kadilo]

50 minutes ago, mommysboy said:

A crucial benchmark would be 90% of over 60's double jabbed. 

 

In this respect, Thailand only started in earnest about 2 weeks ago, ie, the first 2 months of the mass vaccine roll out was wasted vaccinating youngsters who don't really need it, thus whatever happens here on in is more of a salvage job. 

 

Maybe, the main tourist spots plus Bangkok could reopen in November provided the latter is 90% covered.  This would delay another surge for a month or two, by which time most of the adult population would be done,  The case load would still peak at 50-100,000 people, however the death rate would be around 200-400 per day.  I don't know if Thais would live with that, or if tourists would want to come.

 

Frankly, January would likely be a better option, if the sole consideration is public safety.

Where are you getting these case load/death predictions from ?

[Chassa]

I live in Northern Isaan I got my second jab about a month ago, it was free. What seems to be the problem in Bangkok and the tourist areas?

Our three farang bars are still closed so there is no friendly chat (in English).

[DrJack54]

Where do all the doses come from, including breakdown of brand. 

Supply seems to have no issue. 

[Rimmer]

A post in giant fonts has been removed also an unattributed post

[vandeventer]

1 hour ago, club said:

If Pfizer is late on delivery , Hopefully you have a plan B, but great news if it happens

I hope the Pfizer comes soon and I hope we could get 2 jabs without mixing it with Sinovac. Even if I have to pay for it. We should have the choice.

[rupert the bear]

a little confusing,i went to vacs.live thailand 17th sept 40.75% vaxxed with 1 or more jab.so if we have 1 mill a day we will achieve 50% way before that or is the math wrong?any ideas anyone?the figs are usually accurate on this site as they access gov records daily.we also have the rest of this mnth to add to the sept count.

[samtam]

2 hours ago, mommysboy said:

A crucial benchmark would be 90% of over 60's double jabbed. 

 

In this respect, Thailand only started in earnest about 2 weeks ago, ie, the first 2 months of the mass vaccine roll out was wasted vaccinating youngsters who don't really need it, thus whatever happens here on in is more of a salvage job. 

Absolutely. I still see inane tone deaf IG posts of young healthy Thais with their "V" for vaccine (or victory?), smirking (I imagine, as they're wearing masks), as they get their second jab...months ago, and still today. Age, and with comorbidities, was never part of the rollout "plan".

[bullseye66]

2 jabs to be fully vaccinated. You're looking at January or February before you are near the numbers required.

[aussiexpat]

23 minutes ago, rupert the bear said:

a little confusing,i went to vacs.live thailand 17th sept 40.75% vaxxed with 1 or more jab.so if we have 1 mill a day we will achieve 50% way before that or is the math wrong?any ideas anyone?the figs are usually accurate on this site as they access gov records daily.we also have the rest of this mnth to add to the sept count.

Yeah I misread the article and thought they meant 50% fully vaccinated (as 20.4% is currently number) ????

 

With 40% having at least 1 dose they only need 7 million first doses to reach 50%  they could do that by the end of September at the current 700,000 doses per day 

[mtls2005]

They're going to open locales based on a timetable of their choosing. The vaccination numbers will be massaged as required to support that timetable.

 

And they'll need ~ 15 mm third-shot boosters for those already "fully" vaccinated with sinovac and sinopharm.

 

 

Assuming the goal is still 50 mm people with 100 mm doses then they're at ~ 29% with two doses, and ~ 57% with one dose.

 

 

[PEE TEE]

Yesterday and today Koh Samui had 4000 doses of AZ i had my second shot among many others foreigners and Thais. i believe those who had 2 doses of sinovac will get an AZ booster in October

[Isaan sailor]

50% by end of October probably not realistic—especially if the vast majority of them have had two doses of SinoVac.  And just how effective would that be?

[Kadilo]

15 minutes ago, aussiexpat said:

Yeah I misread the article and thought they meant 50% fully vaccinated (as 20.4% is currently number) ????

 

With 40% having at least 1 dose they only need 7 million first doses to reach 50%  they could do that by the end of September at the current 700,000 doses per day 

The doses will include second and third booster jabs so the maths is not that simple. That said, I think they should still meet their target comfortably. 

Edited September 19, 2021 by Kadilo

[Virt]

3 hours ago, mommysboy said:

50% is not enough to fully reopen.  80% is about the mark.

Less seems to do the trick.

 

Here in Denmark we have approx 75% vaccinated in total across all ages, but are open with no restrictions at all and no problems so far.

 

96% of those age 50 has gotten their shots, so that could be an explanation?

 

Some experts here are baffled why we're not seeing major spikes after fully reopening with only 75%

 

Maybe it's a mix of 75% vaccinated and that a lot of people already had COVID-19?

 

Personally i think Thailand will open up before they reach 80%

 

Very few countries achieved the 80% mark so far.

[2 is 1]

Almost every other country give first vaccine's available to older folks and medical staff and also to people who have some medical issues! But in LOS they think how can get fast money , so vaccine first all Sand boxes etc. Maybe have many casualtys less if start vaccine roll out in right order.

[RichardColeman]

Funny to virtually ban tourists who are fully vaccinated for fear of them mixing with unvaccinated Thais !

[hotchilli]

4 hours ago, Jonathan Fairfield said:

Fifty percent of the total population of Thailand will have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by the end of October, according to targets set by the Department of Disease Control (DDC).

So the original 70% double dosed has gone out of the window as far as opening up soon?