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Israel is at War - General discussion (pt2)


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Posted
6 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

The evidence shows Iran’s lead role in October 7

While the US and Europe have remained steadfast in support of Israel since October 7, they have failed to hold the source of terror accountable: the regime in Iran. It is inconceivable that Iran-backed Hamas could conduct a terror attack on such a scale without not just the greenlight of Tehran, but its strategic planning.

Of course, the sympathisers and the sceptics will immediately cry, “There’s no evidence” –conveniently pointing to the Biden administration’s insistence on this. Yet there is undeniable intelligence exposing Tehran’s fingerprints. Whether one acts on intelligence or evidence is a political decision and ultimately goes back to the appetite to act against the Iranian regime – something Washington currently doesn’t want to stomach.

https://www.thejc.com/lets-talk/the-evidence-shows-irans-lead-role-in-october-7-pgzng3q0

Funny. I haven't found anything from the Israelis or the U.S. that corroborates this person's claim.

 

No evidence yet of Iran link to Hamas attack, says Israeli military

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/09/no-evidence-yet-of-iran-link-to-hamas-attack-says-israeli-military#:~:text=The Israeli military has said,by the Iranian foreign ministry.

 

U.S. intelligence indicates Iranian leaders were surprised by Hamas attack

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/us-intelligence-indicates-iranian-leaders-surprised-hamas-attack-rcna119946

Posted
2 minutes ago, placeholder said:

Funny. I haven't found anything from the Israelis or the U.S. that corroborates this person's claim.

 

No evidence yet of Iran link to Hamas attack, says Israeli military

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/09/no-evidence-yet-of-iran-link-to-hamas-attack-says-israeli-military#:~:text=The Israeli military has said,by the Iranian foreign ministry.

 

U.S. intelligence indicates Iranian leaders were surprised by Hamas attack

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/us-intelligence-indicates-iranian-leaders-surprised-hamas-attack-rcna119946

 

Check his background....he's on a mission.

Doesn't mean Iran isn't 'bad', but maybe not as involved as he tries to claim.

There's not much in the piece that actually supports this, even.

Posted
3 minutes ago, placeholder said:

Funny. I haven't found anything from the Israelis or the U.S. that corroborates this person's claim.

 

No evidence yet of Iran link to Hamas attack, says Israeli military

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/09/no-evidence-yet-of-iran-link-to-hamas-attack-says-israeli-military#:~:text=The Israeli military has said,by the Iranian foreign ministry.

 

U.S. intelligence indicates Iranian leaders were surprised by Hamas attack

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/investigations/us-intelligence-indicates-iranian-leaders-surprised-hamas-attack-rcna119946

I'm aware of those old reports yes

 I posted one of them myself weeks ago.

Posted
2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

I'm aware of those old reports yes

 I posted one of them myself weeks ago.

Got any new ones from Israeli or American Intelligence which say differently?

Here's something from a little later on:

"Several U.S. officials said Washington has “compelling” intelligence indicating that Iranian leaders were surprised by the Hamas assault."

https://archive.ph/HhIXi

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hamas-fighters-trained-in-iran-before-oct-7-attacks-e2a8dbb9

 

Posted
14 minutes ago, Morch said:

 

Check his background....he's on a mission.

Doesn't mean Iran isn't 'bad', but maybe not as involved as he tries to claim.

There's not much in the piece that actually supports this, even.

I agree. The author's chief point seems to be how could Hamas have planned unaided this operation.

Posted
9 minutes ago, placeholder said:

Got any new ones from Israeli or American Intelligence which say differently?

Here's something from a little later on:

"Several U.S. officials said Washington has “compelling” intelligence indicating that Iranian leaders were surprised by the Hamas assault."

https://archive.ph/HhIXi

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hamas-fighters-trained-in-iran-before-oct-7-attacks-e2a8dbb9

 

No. I posted the. One today. I am fully up to speed on the unlikelyhood that Iran helped plan Oct 7th. Including lack of evidence and official denials. However with the amount of money Iran pumped into Hamas and a Hamas leader saying Iran helped I am leaving all options open. Before you hit respond. I am also very well aware the Hamas official may be less than honest.

Posted
4 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

No. I posted the. One today. I am fully up to speed on the unlikelyhood that Iran helped plan Oct 7th. Including lack of evidence and official denials. However with the amount of money Iran pumped into Hamas and a Hamas leader saying Iran helped I am leaving all options open. Before you hit respond. I am also very well aware the Hamas official may be less than honest.

If you are fully aware of the unlikelihood, then why did you post such a dubious article? Because you disagreed with it?  And what Hamas official are you referring to?

  • Confused 1
Posted
1 minute ago, placeholder said:

If you are fully aware of the unlikelihood, then why did you post such a dubious article? Because you disagreed with it?  And what Hamas official are you referring to?

Because as I stated I am leaving all options open. I including that article. That's why I posted. Comprende? 

 

Actually a Hamas and Hezbolla official. I am on phone now. No links but this has been discussed in detail weeks ago.

Posted
5 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Because as I stated I am leaving all options open. I including that article. That's why I posted. Comprende? 

 

Actually a Hamas and Hezbolla official. I am on phone now. No links but this has been discussed in detail weeks ago.

Will you be posting without comment any articles that argue, say, that Israel is committing war crimes? Your alleged reason for posting that article is disingenuous to say the least.

And I don't think it's incumbent upon anyone participating in the thread, with the exception of scholars of it, should there prove to be any, to be au courant with comments that were made weeks and many, many pages ago.

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Posted
Just now, placeholder said:

Will you be posting without comment any articles that argue, say, that Israel is committing war crimes? Your alleged reason for posting that article is disingenuous to say the least.

And I don't think it's incumbent upon anyone participating in the thread, with the exception of scholars of it, should there prove to be any, to be au courant with comments that were made weeks ago.

Yawn........read my post again

Posted
17 minutes ago, placeholder said:

I think it's you who should read your post again. Given that I raised a new point against a new one you raisied, I have to conclude that "yawn", is just a piece of evasion on your part. And this comment will probably be met with more of the same from you. So, in the spirit of anticipation... 

 

image.png.b63528957eb71b7938d359186412721c.png

What is it you fail to understand that I am leaving all options open including that article? It's a pretty straightforward view that you are trying to make something of. Yes yawn. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, placeholder said:

And what is Israel signaling?

 

It depends where you look to.

 

On some levels, there's a lot of tough talk - mostly from right wing politicians.

 

On the military level? Far more realistic, and mentions of a year or more of fighting to get significant, more long lasting results.

 

In as much as the UN resolution goes, Israel already signaled it's up for a 'pause' (or whatever they'll call it) if it's accompanied by hostages released/traded.

 

Hamas is of two voices on this.

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Posted
3 minutes ago, placeholder said:

So they're under a gag order?

No they are under a cannot vote order. If you want their views then find out and let me know.

Posted
28 minutes ago, Morch said:

 

It depends where you look to.

 

On some levels, there's a lot of tough talk - mostly from right wing politicians.

 

On the military level? Far more realistic, and mentions of a year or more of fighting to get significant, more long lasting results.

 

In as much as the UN resolution goes, Israel already signaled it's up for a 'pause' (or whatever they'll call it) if it's accompanied by hostages released/traded.

 

Hamas is of two voices on this.

The problem is going to be that even if Hamas agrees to release hostages, Israel's idea of a pause probably isn't going to be long enough to address the humanitarian disaster that is developing in Gaza. And there is a report, unconfirmed by Western media, that Israel has killed the head of the border crossing  operation at Karem Abu Salem (Kerem Shalom) as well as three others. That was the crossing recently opened to allow for more humanitarian aid to enter Gaza.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, placeholder said:

The problem is going to be that even if Hamas agrees to release hostages, Israel's idea of a pause probably isn't going to be long enough to address the humanitarian disaster that is developing in Gaza. And there is a report, unconfirmed by Western media, that Israel has killed the head of the border crossing  operation at Karem Abu Salem (Kerem Shalom) as well as three others. That was the crossing recently opened to allow for more humanitarian aid to enter Gaza.

Who are you kidding?

Hamas isn't going to release all the hostages.

The UN doing one of their circle jerks.

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Posted
Just now, Jingthing said:

So you're ignorant about the security council. Big surprise.

If the vote goes through I will wait to get the feedback from Israel then, all hypothetical currently. 

 

Anyway, lets face it, there is no way Hamas is going to release the hostages unconditionally and there is no call in the security council resolution for an immediate ceasefire either.

Posted
2 minutes ago, placeholder said:

The problem is going to be that even if Hamas agrees to release hostages, Israel's idea of a pause probably isn't going to be long enough to address the humanitarian disaster that is developing in Gaza. And there is a report, unconfirmed by Western media, that Israel has killed the head of the border crossing  operation at Karem Abu Salem (Kerem Shalom) as well as three others. That was the crossing recently opened to allow for more humanitarian aid to enter Gaza.

 

If it's a 'release hostages for a pause' situation, than Hamas (supposedly) got enough to make it last a while.

Fully addressing humanitarian issues in the Gaza Strip is not an option anyway, at this point.

 

Not sure what the significance of the latter part is, or what you think it implies.

 

 

Posted

IDF has killed 2,000 Hamas operatives since truce ended on December 1 — spokesman

https://www.timesofisrael.com/liveblog_entry/idf-has-killed-2000-hamas-operatives-since-truce-ended-on-december-1-spokesman/

 

This implies 8000 Hamas men killed in the Gaza Strip since the fighting started, according to IDF reports.

Past instances saw a gap between post-war Hamas figures and Israel's but not always a huge difference.

Also about 1000 Hamas men killed in directly following the 7/10 attack.

 

Even if these figures are off, I don't think they are off by a wide margin.

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