10 minutes ago, CallumWK said:

Why not show us the real trades where you banked thousands of pounds, because so far you haven't proved anything

I've allowed you a brief glimpse into my world. I prefer to be a private trader.

5 minutes ago, IsaanT said:

I've allowed you a brief glimpse into my world. I prefer to be a private trader.

From the screenshot you posted nobody can know your identity.

While you have been bragging about making thousands of pounds in a short on silver, which has been contradicted already by the charts, you were willing to show us the penny trades you do, but not the big money trades.

I think you have nothing to show, and I base my opinion on your post history, crying like a baby which lost a pacifier when the baht strengthens 1% against the USD.

7 hours ago, CallumWK said:

From the screenshot you posted nobody can know your identity.

While you have been bragging about making thousands of pounds in a short on silver, which has been contradicted already by the charts, you were willing to show us the penny trades you do, but not the big money trades.

I think you have nothing to show, and I base my opinion on your post history, crying like a baby which lost a pacifier when the baht strengthens 1% against the USD.

Good morning Callum.

I hardly feel the need to justify myself but, for you, I'll make a small exception to correct some misleading statements.

Firstly, I am well aware that there are many readers of this forum who are have a small, perhaps non index-linked pension; perhaps they include you. Publishing big amounts of money would be insensitive and is unnecessary.

Secondly, the USD/THB exchange rate is only of academic interest to me. I'm British, but even the GBP/THB isn't something I check every day because, in the broad scheme of things, it is largely range-bound (40-47 THB/£). The sum of my regular retirement income (pensions, others) is about what I finished my career in IT on two years ago when I took early retirement and came here. I've just finished building my own house so I have no rent, mortgage, etc. The sums are straightforward here if you read between the lines.

Thirdly, there is no contradiction of the charts. I'm baffled by your statement so let me try to make it unambiguous using the picture below which is the daily chart of Silver.

a) There was a market high on Sunday 28th December (first orange notation).
b) The market then fell for three days then retraced that move back up until Tuesday, 6th January.
c) the key point at this stage is that this was an almost exact 88.6% retracement of the down move (there is a little wick above the candlestick body but it's the close that is important for the analysis). An 88.6% retracement often makes a strong move in the oppositive direction. I was watching the market closely so I entered at a point just below the retracement high once the market signalled that it was going down. My initial stop was small and was moved to breakeven within an hour so I then had a free trade with nothing to lose.
d) that short was held for three days. As you can see, the market started going up again on the third day (Friday 9th) so I exited. The move down from top to bottom was 893 points; I took the majority of them. The move was profitable. The amount of profit is simply a function of the stake size (each time the market confirmed it was still going down, I added another position. I had four positions when I closed the trade).

This information alone gives you enough information to selectively trade profitably, assuming you only use this set-up. However, let's not forget that a little knowledge is a dangerous thing so my aim here is not to encourage anyone, just to add a little illumination into what happened.



Quoting from my history of posts here appears to shows an unusual interest in me. You should find that I try to inject positive contributions where possible, or not at all. My contribution to this thread started because I saw a risk that someone might purchase Silver bars for investment at, or near, the top of the market. That's their decision, of course, but I just wanted to bring an awareness of the current volatility, just in case.

I hope that helps. Have a good day.

1 hour ago, IsaanT said:

Good morning Callum.

I hardly feel the need to justify myself but, for you, I'll make a small exception to correct some misleading statements.

Firstly, I am well aware that there are many readers of this forum who are have a small, perhaps non index-linked pension; perhaps they include you. Publishing big amounts of money would be insensitive and is unnecessary.

. The sum of my regular retirement income (pensions, others) is about what I finished my career in IT on two years ago when I took early retirement and came here. I've just finished building my own house so I have no rent, mortgage, etc.

My contribution to this thread started because I saw a risk that someone might purchase Silver bars for investment at, or near, the top of the market. That's their decision, of course, but I just wanted to bring an awareness of the current volatility, just in case.

I hope that helps. Have a good day.

Such a saint. And a modest one too.

On 1/3/2026 at 8:53 PM, Bill97 said:

Totally free of the paper games

We've gone digital now.

On 1/8/2026 at 6:57 AM, Yellowtail said:

I would not be buying silver or gold either one now.

Out of interest why?

1 hour ago, Hamus Yaigh said:

We've gone digital now.

So you keep paper documents in digital form and think that is smart

2 hours ago, howerde said:

Out of interest why?

I am already almost 20% in physical gold and silver, and both have been dogs for the over ten years I have been holding them, with silver being worst. Now both have exploded in the last year, they are just off all-time highs, and I do not expect that to continue. I expect them to even out and grow slowly.

When I bought silver, I believed it was undervalued given industrial demand. Silver took a big hit when film photography was phased out, but solar and whatnot was/is bolstering that demand. I no longer think it is undervalued.

I bought both silver and gold as a hedge against equities and currency, and they were/are great for that, but for long term growth, I like equites.

If someone wants to hedge against equites or currency and whatnot, I still think physical gold and silver is okay, but for growth and fast money, no. I do not see either taking a big dump.

All that said, I am not a trader, and I know little of what the market is does, and nothing of what the market is going to do.

"You pays your money and you takes your chances."

If anyone needed proof this is not a repeat of 2011, you just got it:

https://www.cmegroup.com/notices/clearing/2026/01/26-019.html

They raised the margin requirement by ~$6000, and fixed it to a continuous adjustment as a percentage of contract going forward, and the drop they got yesterday was only 3%. This market isn't being driven by speculators like previous incarnations. These are physical buyers standing for delivery. You can't margin them out. The margin is already significantly above where it was when the bubble collapsed in 2011. It's not only proving resilient, but adamantly resilient. It's not investor driven, but people who recognize the model for industrial silver has changed from just-in-time to just-in-case. Everyone is scrambling to fill their warehouses with a buffer. And unlike toilet paper runs that stall out in a few weeks as supply ramps up, this is a run that could take a decade to resolve.

Doesn't mean they won't play with the price and crash it over and above the average trend to keep making money, but we're never going back to the previous trend lines. The new trend over the last 3 months is around 25% - 30% gains MoM, and that is real, physical buying. There is no indication of this breaking in the near future.

Thinking about it, I imagine industries that use a lot of silver are buying it forward. When I was working, we did in with aluminum and stainless steel. You can lock your price in for a year, so you have no big surprises at the annual review.

One has to assume that big silver consumers were/are pretty desperate to lock in supply.

yes Bowins was the one i chose. got me a closet full of those big ones that you see in James Bond movies. they ship up here for only 100 baht. had some gold some time ago in singapore, then rethought it out when the covid nonsense started and questioned why i had physical gold when it was in another country.

thank you all for your many suggestion

• jf

On 1/14/2026 at 8:47 PM, jij said:

yes Bowins was the one i chose. got me a closet full of those big ones that you see in James Bond movies. they ship up here for only 100 baht. had some gold some time ago in singapore, then rethought it out when the covid nonsense started and questioned why i had physical gold when it was in another country.

thank you all for your many suggestion

• jf

Nice man, silver can only go up from here. You've made a wise investment.

Up over 60% since January 1, yikes!

Well, it was fun while it lasted!

10 minutes ago, Yellowtail said:

Well, it was fun while it lasted!

Don't worry , it only the paper shenanigans.

Nothing new.

On 1/7/2026 at 3:57 PM, samui99 said:

BullionStar in Singapore, just store it in their vault.

Ha ha so they can sell it 20 times over?

On 1/3/2026 at 10:39 PM, Bill97 said:

Some issues bringing into Thailand legally, did you check them?

What are the 'legal issues" that you refer to when individuals bring silver into Thailand? There is no prohibition on the import of silver.

Did you buy before today? Dropped around 30% overnight

1 hour ago, gargamon said:

Did you buy before today? Dropped around 30% overnight

Which means it's still up ~15% for the month, and ~175% in a year,

When did you buy?

6 hours ago, Liverpool Lou said:

What are the 'legal issues" that you refer to when individuals bring silver into Thailand? There is no prohibition on the import of silver.

My post was in response to a post mentioning both gold and silver. Look carefully at both and you will find issues. I said issues not prohibitions

7 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

Which means it's still up ~15% for the month, and ~175% in a year,

When did you buy?

1983 at around $6.

16 minutes ago, gargamon said:

1983 at around $6.

Yeah, in '83 I was spending all my money on dope.

15 hours ago, Yellowtail said:

Yeah, in '83 I was spending all my money on dope.

And I bought the silver with that money. Thanks.

This was Friday's move on Silver. Anyone still interested?

5 minutes ago, IsaanT said:

This was Friday's move on Silver. Anyone still interested?

I sold on Thursday, thanks for the tip!