Thailand reports another daily record of 15 virus deaths, 2,179 cases

[Danderman123]

11 minutes ago, Unify said:

What makes you think that? New infections hovered at just under a thousand for a few days, and then around 1400 for a bit before jumping, if I remember correctly.

I dunno. No growth in case numbers for a week is the first clue.

 

No growth in Chonburi for 2 weeks. Everything is closed, so I am not sure where the growth in cases in Chonburi is going to come from.

 

With only 2000 cases a day, it's still possible to use contact tracing to slow down the spread of infection. I am seeing in Chonburi that they are indeed tracing the movements of the infected, and warning people.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Danderman123

[dinsdale]

50 minutes ago, Thailand said:

Almost a doubling of deaths since the beginning of the month? 

 

52 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

Thailand's recent COVID daily deaths:

 

April 16 -- 0

April 17 -- 2

April 18 -- 2

April 19 -- 3

April 20 -- 4

April 21 -- 2

April 22 -- 7

April 23 -- 4

April 24 -- 8

April 25 -- 11

April 26 -- 8

April 27 -- 15

 

 

Almost a doubling since yesterday. Many in critical condition and many on ventilators. 

[rabas]

7 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

 

Almost a doubling since yesterday. Many in critical condition and many on ventilators. 

 

If it was 8  three days ago and 8 yesterday, you cannot say doubling since yesterday...

 

Yesterday, I could have claimed there was no change for 2 days.

 

Edited April 27, 2021 by rabas

[Excel]

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

Although deaths will continue to climb for a bit, it appears that the epidemic has reached a plateau.

I believe a government spokesperson said that about 2 weeks ago didn't they ? 

[Danderman123]

6 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

 

Almost a doubling since yesterday. Many in critical condition and many on ventilators. 

With 2,000 new cases a day, deaths are going to mount, even if there is no rise in new infections. 

[Pattaya Spotter]

35 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

WHO bases its assessment on the available data, for better or worse.

 

In real life, the UK has had a fatality rate of about 2 percent, the US, a little more than 1 percent. Those are facts. Or my math is bad.

Probably because of the increased obesity prevelant in those countries causing a high incidence of metabolic syndromes...therefore the increased death rates. As you say, the WHO is a worldwide estimate.

[wasabi]

Moronic choices beginning around the time of Song Kran have exacerbated this current wave. Though the UK strain may be more virulent I'd say this situation is largely self-inflicted. The first and only true lockdown was well timed and stopped the spread. Now thinking of dollars and puff the magic dragon tourist numbers they thought they could ignore reality and we are all paying the price. With no viable vaccine rollout in place it seems we will be rolling through wave after wave until their is a viable inoculation plan.

[Pattaya Spotter]

6 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

With 2,000 new cases a day, deaths are going to mount, even if there is no rise in new infections. 

That would be about 20 "extra" deaths a day...sad surely but not an apocalyptic scenario.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Pattaya Spotter

[DavisH]

1 hour ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

Cases holding steady for 3 days in a row...is this the start of a trend? It's good no signs of exponential growth from the Songkran wave.

The effect of the control measures should become evident in early May. 14 days incubation (after Songkran) occurs then. I think cases will be in the 1000-2000 for a while because infections are still occuring among family members, and those at risk are not testing when they should. 

[Fromas]

50 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

What we need is a really infectious but benign mutation.

The nightmare scenario is:
1. Long latency period
2. High transmissibility - droplet , touch.
3. At end of long latency period, high pathogenecity/lethality.


If new mutations ever emerge with all three characteristics, we're in really deep trouble.

[Pattaya Spotter]

36 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

Struggling hoteliers eye the exit as occupancy plummets

 

"The fresh wave of Covid-19 has severely affected tourism and hospitality businesses in Thailand with occupancy rates at domestic hotels dropping to 5-30 per cent, forcing many operators to sell their businesses to cut losses, said Thammajak Leuangprasert, president of Arjarnnar Asset Management Group.

 

“Some hotels affected by the outbreak for more than a year have managed to stay afloat with the help of soft loans and the debt moratorium programme, while some have decided to sell their businesses to foreign investment groups,” he said.

 

“Currently there are European and Chinese companies looking to buy 4-5 star hotels in Thailand priced at over Bt2 billion, while 3-star hotels are also desirable provided they are in a prime location.

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/business/40000268

 

I'm currently in a 5 star hotel villa in Phuket with about 250-300 rooms (booked a standard room for about 1800 on a Covid promo and upgraded to a private pool villa at check-in; promo has 1000 baht daily room credit so paying net 800 baht). From this morning's breakfast "crowd" of 5-6 tables during the hour i was there, maybe hotel occupancy is 10%. It was about 50-60% when I was here last December.

Edited April 27, 2021 by Pattaya Spotter

[hgma]

Songkran's crisscross traveling & meeting could well turn out to be a big mistake. 

[Bkk Brian]

I wonder how many positive cases are missing from the total due to labs not sending the numbers to the Dept of Health? 12 labs have not been doing this.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

The top provinces for new COVID cases reported Tuesday:

 

With today's latest numbers, Bangkok crossed the 10,000 cases mark this month with a total of 10,069 out of 30,065 total domestic cases during April thus far.

 

Bangkok -- 993

Nonthaburi -- 149

Samut Prakan -- 93

Pathum Thani -- 93

Chonburi -- 80

 

Surat Thani -- 62

Samut Sakhon -- 61

Chiang Mai -- 60

Nakhon Ratchasima -- 33

Ayutthaya -- 30

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/313950613556603

 

The full EN language list of every province with reported new COVID cases today is posted later in this thread in the following post:

 

https://forum.thaivisa.com/topic/1215168-thailand reports-another-daily-record-of-15-virus-deaths-2179-cases/?do=findComment&comment=16421884

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Daily COVID vaccinations report:

 

The top section is total doses administered yesterday, followed by first and second shot subtotals.

 

The second section shows cumulative totals, with first and second shot subtotals.

 

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Recent trends in daily COVID cases reported:

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/313950083556656

 

[DavisH]

12 minutes ago, Fromas said:

The nightmare scenario is:
1. Long latency period
2. High transmissibility - droplet , touch.
3. At end of long latency period, high pathogenecity/lethality.


If new mutations ever emerge with all three characteristics, we're in really deep trouble.

Virus mutations generally don't become more deadly. They try to survive by becoming more transmissible (which we have seen) and more mild. More are dying now, but the percentage of deaths has not changed (that I know of). Ebola never really took off as it killed most of its hosts and there were no asymptomatic carriers to spread it. 

[Fromas]

6 minutes ago, DavisH said:

Virus mutations generally don't become more deadly.

 

It's a statistical game. If you hit all three characteristics at once, there is still positive selection pressure.

[Excel]

5 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Richard Barrow 

 

@RichardBarrow

·

1m

 

IMPORTANT: The Ministry of Publish Health is proposing that all foreigners applying for a Certificate of Entry for #Thailand after 1st May will have their quarantine period extended back to the original length of 14 days. Please note, it is just a proposal. More news soon.

 

Which means their pals who own the ASQ hotels can go back to gaining another 4 days at inflated room rates.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Face masks to protect against COVID are now required in 54 of Thailand's 77 provinces:

 

"54 provinces in Thailand are now issuing fines for anyone who fails to wear a face mask when leaving their home....The fine for not wearing a mask when out in public is up to 20,000 THB. The mandatory wearing of face masks applies to both indoor and outdoor public spaces."

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/thailandprd/posts/4207985692558146

 

Edited April 27, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK

[Bkk Brian]

Today there are 15 deaths. Most in Bangkok (9) and Nakhon Sawan (2). Chaiyaphum, Phetchaburi, Samut Prakan and Saraburi have one each. Nine males and six females. Ages range from 24-88 years. Most died within 1-6 days of testing positive

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1386903361107099651

 

Thats quick! Or were they suffering for many days before getting a test and admitted to hospital?

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Daily update from the Ministry of Public Health on Thailand's standing versus world countries and its regional peer countries based on total numbers of reported COVID cases thus far. Thailand now ranks 105th in the world, up one spot from yesterday.

 

 

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Today's televised English language COVID news briefing from the government, running about 15 minutes.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/thailandprd/videos/758623138173349/

 

And the set of almost 30 slides presented by the Ministry of Public Health during their Thai language COVID briefing today:

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/313950613556603

 

 

 

[anchadian]

 

 

Thai News Reports

 

@ThaiNewsReports

·

8m

 

Vaccinations in Thailand since 28th February 2021:

 

First dose - 1,012,388 people

 

Second dose - 214,644 people

 

Yesterday, 40,184 people received their first dose and 37,182 received their second dose. * The official population is 66,186,727.

[ThailandRyan]

15 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Today there are 15 deaths. Most in Bangkok (9) and Nakhon Sawan (2). Chaiyaphum, Phetchaburi, Samut Prakan and Saraburi have one each. Nine males and six females. Ages range from 24-88 years. Most died within 1-6 days of testing positive

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1386903361107099651

 

Thats quick! Or were they suffering for many days before getting a test and admitted to hospital?

 

So the question then would be, how long were they possibly asymptomatic before becoming pre-symptomatic and then getting tested.  If this is the case then how many more might they have infected during this timeframe, and then of course how do you contract trace folks they may have had contact with if you can not find out all of there travels since they have now passed.

[2 is 1]

If this is true , every infected give covid to 2.5 more people now!

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Anutin rejects allegations of incompetence, refuses to quit

 

"Public Health Minister Anutin Charnvirakul announced on Tuesday that he will not resign, adding that medical staff at relevant agencies were still willing to cooperate with him.

 

Earlier, an online group, "MorJaMaiThon" (Doctors Won’t Bear it Anymore) had launched a campaign demanding Anutin’s resignation.

 

The campaign, "Call for Minister of Public Health to resign due to failure to resolve the Covid-19 outbreak", was launched at midnight on Friday via Change.org. As of 8.57am on Tuesday – the campaign had drawn more than 197,397 signatures, very close to its target of 200,000 signatures."

 

(more)

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40000278

 

[wasabi]

2 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

Anutin rejects allegations of incompetence, refuses to quit

 

"Public Health Minister Anutin Charnvirakul announced on Tuesday that he will not resign, adding that medical staff at relevant agencies were still willing to cooperate with him.

 

Earlier, an online group, "MorJaMaiThon" (Doctors Won’t Bear it Anymore) had launched a campaign demanding Anutin’s resignation.

 

The campaign, "Call for Minister of Public Health to resign due to failure to resolve the Covid-19 outbreak", was launched at midnight on Friday via Change.org. As of 8.57am on Tuesday – the campaign had drawn more than 197,397 signatures, very close to its target of 200,000 signatures."

 

(more)

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40000278

 

 

He is too incompetent to understand he is incompetent.

[Mr Meeseeks]

13 minutes ago, wasabi said:

 

He is too incompetent to understand he is incompetent.

No, he is a multi-billionaire, the head of a very influential Thai family and simply doesn't care. 

 

They are not very good at accepting blame or taking responsibility, if you haven't noticed.

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

There are too many deaths reported today for me to do an EN translation of the details of all of them, and the Thai government doesn't report that data in EN documents... So here are the details they presented in TH:

 

The second column of info indicates male or female, with 9 men and 6 women. The third column indicates they all were Thais. The fourth column indicates their ages ranging from 37 to 88. The last line of the seventh column indicates the date/time of their deaths.

 

As reported above, 9 of the 15 were from Bangkok, most with some type of preexisting health condition. The final column in the charts below indicates what if any preexisting conditions they had. Thus far this month, the government said about 55% of all COVID deaths in Thailand have been age 60 or older.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/314000740218257