Thailand reports 2,012 new coronavirus cases, 15 new deaths

[KhaoNiaw]

It's a good sign because numbers usually start low on Monday and gradually build up over the week. Yesterday's growth factor on a week-by-week basis was still at 1.49. Two or three days is not enough but it could be encouraging . We'll really know by the end of the week. 

Edited April 28, 2021 by onthedarkside
quote of hidden post removed

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

3 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

Irrelevant statistic as they put all positives in...the number needing hospital treatment would be 2-3% of infected individuals (CDC). So add up all April infections and do the math and there's your real hospitalization figure. 

 

 

"The government also reported that 695 COVID patients are now in critical condition in Thai hospitals, a figure that has nearly doubled in the past six days from the 352 tally reached on April 23. The critical list patients list also increased 67 cases just from yesterday, when the number was 628."

 

 

[Joinaman]

35 minutes ago, Nismooo said:

I dont really see how 15 deaths is good news... same as yesterday.

 

I like comparing with Vietnam and Taiwan, because thats living proof on how to deal with a pandemic...

I prefer Tonga or Nauru, , because that's living proof of not needing to bow to this "pandemic "

No death is good, but compared to the many hundreds of deaths each day in Thailand, its still only a very small number 

[Patong2021]

1 hour ago, mjnaus said:

Bummer for the "the sky is falling" brigade, but it looks like the numbers are leveling out. There will be usual moaners out here claiming the numbers are incorrect, false, weekend under-reporting, etc. But for those of use who didn't jump onboard the drama train, this is good news.

 

How is it good news?  The numbers are not leveling out. Maybe in your world public health expert measure trend based upon 1 day result, but in real world they look at 7 day and 21 day trend  because of time disease needs to show symptoms of infection.  The current 7 day trend is 1,967 diagnosed infection / day. 7 days ago trend was 1,447/day and  21 days ago was 78 /day.  More importantly is the  increasing number in ICU beds. Not good.

 

There is good reason why Thailand has put new socializing restrictions in place  and hopefully we see positive results in 7 days, but as of now, Thailand is moving to  catastrophe.

 

 

[Joinaman]

35 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

Daily vaccinations report from the Ministry of Public Health - 52,681 total doses for the most recent day, and nearly 1.28 million cumulative. The government's goal is to end up administering 300,000 doses per day:

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/thaimoph/posts/297138901896020

 

so assuming that they actually manage to arrive at this figure, then it will take around 220 days to administer the first dose

But what's the betting this figure is never achieved , or not for a long time 

[Pattaya Spotter]

5 minutes ago, Joinaman said:

I prefer Tonga or Nauru, , because that's living proof of not needing to bow to this "pandemic "

No death is good, but compared to the many hundreds of deaths each day in Thailand, its still only a very small number 

Even an "advanced" country like Japan has had nearly 10k DEATHS and is averaging 48 daily deaths this week alone. We have just been spoiled here in Thailand so people worry about these absurdly low numbers. 

Edited April 28, 2021 by Pattaya Spotter

[Joinaman]

35 minutes ago, Osthos said:

Still very concerning that the numbers have not yet started to decline. If the patterns of previous weeks hold, then we're still expecting an end of the week spike towards the 3,000 mark. 

 

Hopefully those spikes were caused by the lack of hospital beds, and with the backlog of patients looking for beds mostly cleared, we can see more stable daily numbers.

3,000 mark ?

Infections or deaths ?

 

[ThailandRyan]

2 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

Even an "advanced" country like Japan has nearly 10k DEATHS and is averaging 48 daily deaths this week alone. We have just been spoiled here in Thailand so people worry about these absurdly low numbers. (https://www.google.com/search?q=total+japan+covid+deaths&client=tablet-android-samsung-nf-rev1&sxsrf=ALeKk00gq6f9XbZQmFgkJS47RlWkyAWp6g%3A1619584024957&ei=GOSIYN_4OfqX4-EPvri3kAk&oq=total+japan+covid+deaths&gs_lcp=ChNtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1zZXJwEAMyAggAMgYIABAIEB4yBggAEAgQHjIGCAAQCBAeOgQIABBHOgcIIxCwAhAnOgYIABAHEB46BAgAEA06CAgAEAgQBxAeUMCRA1jBpQNglqoDaABwAXgAgAGyAYgBwgWSAQMxLjWYAQCgAQHIAQjAAQE&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-serp)

The worry is not about the low numbers, the concern is for the potential cause and effect and what might be if people do not adhere to what is being asked of them.

[tomazbodner]

57 minutes ago, anchadian said:

https://www.thephuketnews.com/phuket-foreigners-told-to-be-covid-socially-responsible-or-face-expulsion-79827.php

 

Phuket foreigners told to be COVID ‘socially responsible’ or face expulsion

PHUKET: Foreigners in Phuket caught ignoring COVID prevention measures and acting in a manner deemed to be not “socially responsible” will face legal penalties and may even face being kicked out of the country.

By The Phuket News

 

Wednesday 28 April 2021, 10:13AM

Now do this for the rest of the country. And for the rest of the people... oh, ... can't kick Thais out of Thailand....

[Osthos]

4 minutes ago, Joinaman said:

3,000 mark ?

Infections or deaths ?

8 minutes ago, Joinaman said:

so assuming that they actually manage to arrive at this figure, then it will take around 220 days to administer the first dose

But what's the betting this figure is never achieved , or not for a long time 

 

 

Infections. For whatever reason, the trend over the past two weeks has seen a spike in the numbers reported in Saturday. 

 

Labs rushing to report results before the end of the week? Slowed on purpose because people couldn't find beds?

 

As for vaccinations, if they're able to do 50k a day at this point, I think the infrastructure to deliver jabs is clearly there and they can easily scale up if they plan properly. But the bottleneck has always been number of doses available. 

[Pattaya Spotter]

5 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

The worry is not about the low numbers, the concern is for the potential cause and effect and what might be if people do not adhere to what is being asked of them.

Agree...we all need to follow the simple virus prevention protocols of the past year and spread should go down. It's worked every time everywhere It's been followed.

[anchadian]

Thai Enquirer

 

@ThaiEnquirer

·

2m

 

Replying to

@ThaiEnquirer

Of the 2,012 new cases of coronavirus that were found in the past 24 hours: - 1,893 were found via tests at medical facilities - 108 via proactive tests - 11 in quarantine facilities - 15 fatalities

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Top provinces for new COVID cases reported Wednesday, led by Bangkok with 830 new cases.

 

 

[Pattaya Spotter]

7 minutes ago, Joinaman said:

dont see Sakon Nakhon on this list, yet has increased infection, so no worries, will continue to wear in shops but not while eating or drinking 

I'd agree that's good practice.

[ThailandRyan]

3 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

Agree...we all need to follow the simple virus prevention protocols of the past year and spread should go down. It's worked every time everywhere It's been followed.

However, it only takes a few selfish people such as the ones they just showed in Korat having a party in an entertainment venue after being told it was against the rules announced.  

[orientfan]

Hello,

Is it correct that expats staying on Samui right now must quarantine when they return to Bangkok?

Thank you!

[onthedarkside]

A number of trolling posts by one poster have been removed, along with several replies.

 

[Pattaya Spotter]

1 hour ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

"Approved by CCSA Thailand, 14-day quarantine will start May 1st, 2021 in all traveller entering Thailand after the situation in Thailand is gradually increasing. 3 counties namely India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh must quarantine for 21 days"

 

https://www.facebook.com/OICDDC/posts/3905861762867721

 

I would ban all travel from the Indian Subcontinent. 

[choudens]

59 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Certainly good not to see the cases surging up, lets all hope it stays that way. Flatlining at these numbers is still causing huge problems for hospital admissions;

 

https://ddc.moph.go.th/viralpneumonia/situation.php

This means that more than 10% of the tests show a positive case result! So if you had 10 times more tests a day what the result will be?

[Osthos]

1 hour ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

"Approved by CCSA Thailand, 14-day quarantine will start May 1st, 2021 in all traveller entering Thailand after the situation in Thailand is gradually increasing. 3 counties namely India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh must quarantine for 21 days"

 

https://www.facebook.com/OICDDC/posts/3905861762867721

 

 

Any mention of changes for vaccinated travelers? If my 7-day got increased back to 14 day quarantine, then that's a death knell for my business trip.

[mjnaus]

38 minutes ago, Patong2021 said:

How is it good news?  The numbers are not leveling out.

 

The daily numbers ARE leveling out. At least they have for the past few days. And we have to start somewhere. Any change in longer term trends would start with a leveling out of the daily numbers. Will this continue? Hopefully it will. 

[Bkk Brian]

1 minute ago, choudens said:

This means that more than 10% of the tests show a positive case result! So if you had 10 times more tests a day what the result will be?

True but you could say that with any percentage number even when its down to better levels below 5%.  To be fair that would be the same in any country and that 10% is not increasing, fingers crossed it will decrease very soon

[ETatBKK]

still debate on what should be done, how and how fast, look at these numbers first :

 

ONLY Apr, 2021 accumulated (projected)
from 26 to 36,000+

 

CASES Jan 2020 to Mar 2021 (15 months) vs Apr 2021 (projected)
28,863 | 36,000+

 

DEATH Jan 2020 to Mar 2021 (15 months) vs Apr 2021 (projected)
94 | 100+

 

 

Edited April 28, 2021 by ETatBKK
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[TallGuyJohninBKK]

In Wednesday's update, a government spokesman provided additional details on the 15 new COVID deaths reported today.

 

11 men and 4 women

Median age of 61, with age range of 35 to 88

Nine from Bangkok, two each from Chiang Mai and Samut Prakan, one each from Chonburi and Ranong

Most with preexisting conditions of some type, most commonly high blood pressure and diabetes.

Believed sources of their infections were said to be 10 from family members, 2 from work and 3 from other sources.

 

Periods of time from confirmed infection to death:

7 --  at least 15 days

9 -- 7 to 15 days

2 -- died same day as infection confirmed

2 -- died prior to infection being confirmed

 

Unlike on prior days, the government Wednesday did not publicly announce the patient by patient individual details of the latest group of fatalities.

 

 

[Joinaman]

2 minutes ago, ETatBKK said:

still debate on what should be done, how and how fast, look at these numbers first :

 

ONLY Apr, 2021 accumulated (projected)
from 26 to 36,000+

 

CASES Jan 2020 to Mar 2021 (15 months) vs Apr 2021 (projected)
28,863 | 36,000+

 

DEATH Jan 2020 to Mar 2021 (15 months) vs Apr 2021 (projected)
94 | 100+

 

 

projected numbers ??

so not facts, just conjecture ?

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

In other updates:

 

--the government spokesman said the BMTA would be reducing public bus services in Bangkok during work hours on low-use lines to comply with the government's "work at home" policy that's been promoted to both public and private employers.

 

--the spokesman confirmed the Ministry of Education had decided to delay the start of the upcoming school term for all public and private schools to June 1, instead of May 17, because of the current COVID outbreak. The end of the term will remain unchanged at October 11, and students likely will be asked to engage in extra online learning to make up for the lost instruction days.

 

[ETatBKK]

4 minutes ago, Joinaman said:

projected numbers ??

so not facts, just conjecture ?

 

right, projected, not fact !

 

up to this morning announcement,

we had 32,833 cases (+2,012) April 2021 alone, daily toll over 2,000

we had 84 death, April 2021 alone, daily toll over 10+, RIP

 

[Boomer6969]

"When you want to drown your dog you say he got rabies".

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Higher, faster, deadlier: Third wave of COVID triggers growing fear in Thailand   

 

A grim warning has been issued by a leading medical expert as Thailand grapples with its third and worst wave of COVID-19: expect a double-digit death toll to become regular daily occurrence.

 

Prof Dr. Prasit Watanapa, dean of Mahidol University’s Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, spoke up on Tuesday (April 27) as the country recorded its second day of two-figure fatalities – 15 COVID-related deaths. The first came just two days earlier amid a death toll that has been mounting every day since April 17.

 

“At Siriraj Hospital, about one in four COVID-19 patients has developed lung inflammation,” Prasit said, “This rate, which is more than before, will translate into a higher mortality rate – a two-digit figure [perhaps daily]”.

 

(more)

 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/higher-faster-deadlier-third-wave-of-covid-triggers-growing-fear-in-thailand/

 

 

[TallGuyJohninBKK]

Today's televised English language government news briefing on COVID runs about 10 minutes.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/thailandprd/videos/513220206374924/

 

And the set of 40+ slides from the Ministry of Public Health's Thai language daily briefing:

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/314640260154305

 

Edited April 28, 2021 by TallGuyJohninBKK