Thailand’s population to halve in 60 years, warns deputy PM

[webfact]

 

Deputy Prime Minister Somsak Thepsutin cautioned that Thailand’s population could plummet from 66 million to a mere 33 million within six decades.

 

This alarming forecast, issued yesterday, spells out dire consequences for the nation’s economic vitality and security, with the working-age populace dwindling from 46 million to a mere 14 million, according to Somsak.

 

Speaking at a meeting of a committee on preventing teenage pregnancy, which he chairs, Somsak underscored the urgency of addressing the issue of plummeting birth rates.

Somsak cited statistics from the National Economic and Social Development Council (NESDC). He highlighted a staggering decline in the fertility rate from 6.29 in 1970 to a mere 1.08 in 2023.

“The number of newborns in Thailand has plummeted below 500,000 annually, a stark contrast to the over 1 million births recorded in 1970.”

 

NESDC projections paint a grim picture, forecasting a peak population of 67.19 million in 2028, followed by a gradual decline to 66.18 million by 2037. The council anticipates a steady erosion of the working-age demographic, plummeting from 66.1% in 2017 to 56.8% by 2037.

 

Further exacerbating the crisis is the impending decline in the number of women of reproductive age, projected to plummet to 11.81 million by 2037, compared to 14.2 million in 2017. With over half of women in this cohort aged 30 to 44, a stage marked by declining fertility, the situation appears increasingly dire, reported The Nation.

 

Somsak advocated for targeted campaigns aimed at younger women to bolster the birth rate. Additionally, he proposed leveraging medical technology and implementing policies conducive to fostering a supportive life and work environment for women over 30, in a bid to augment childbirth rates.

 

In related news, China witnessed a massive decline in population last year with a decrease of two million, marking the nation’s second consecutive annual dip, according to government reports. The aftermath of Covid-19 restrictions lifting unleashed a demographic whirlwind, unveiling unforeseen challenges for the once-populous Asian giant.

 

The statistics bureau disclosed that deaths surged by a staggering 690,000, reaching 11.1 million – more than double the increase seen in the previous year.

 

by Puntid Tantivangphaisal

Photo courtesy of The Nation

 

Source: The Thaiger 2024-03-09

 

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[Artisi]

And what is wrong with less population? 

[wasabi]

1 minute ago, Artisi said:

And what is wrong with less population? 

 

There is an economic balancing act between the older and younger generations supporting each other, but I personally wouldn't mind less people around. It seems like mostly billionaires are worried about it because they won't have enough people to wait on them.

[Artisi]

1 minute ago, wasabi said:

 

There is an economic balancing act between the older and younger generations supporting each other, but I personally wouldn't mind less people around. It seems like mostly billionaires are worried about it because they won't have enough people to wait on them.

Only the capitalist who are worry as it impacts their bottom line. 

[Ben Zioner]

16 minutes ago, Artisi said:

And what is wrong with less population? 

So true. Actually a drop in population is the only way to save to Planet.

[daveAustin]

18 minutes ago, Artisi said:

And what is wrong with less population? 

Exactly! It’s only governments and the proper rich that take real issue with it. Has continued economic expansion helped us over the last few years? Everything is more expensive, and life in general has only gotten harder for everybody but the rich. Peoples the world over should be aiming for half their population and China and India should get the ball rolling. 😉

 

Regards Thailand’s pop halving in a few decades, I’m sure smiling donkey’s brothers will make up the shortfall when they eventually invade. 

[Lee65]

Can always import Africans.  No sign of population decline over there.

[jacko45k]

1 minute ago, Lee65 said:

Can always import Africans.  No sign of population decline over there.

They tend to make their own way.

[Purdey]

There is something called AI that can take on jobs when the population declines, but first you have to invest in technology and stop thinking in terms of farmers and laborers only.

[Dolf]

Import more westerners.

[Captain Monday]

Open the “boarders” and provide a clear path to permanent residence and citizenship. 
 

 

[LiveTh]

5 hours ago, Artisi said:

And what is wrong with less population? 

Means anticipated decline in GDP and consumer spending and available labor, means less investment/business development from multinationals in anticipation, now.

 

Most governments use debt that works well when the economy grows, but not well if it shrinks.

[quake]

5 hours ago, Ben Zioner said:

So true. Actually a drop in population is the only way to save to Planet.

 

The planet will be fine.

it's us we need to worry about.

[quake]

4 hours ago, Dolf said:

Import more westerners.

 

Yes, The UK can spare 2 million straight away.   

but,  sorry not that many westerners.

We have a resent over supply of useless people.

Perfect for Thailand. a Win, Win.

 

 

 

[mfd101]

Any large-scale & long-term change - over which, by definition, individuals have no control - has to be good for a sclerotic culture unable to see much beyond the end of its nose.

[hotchilli]

8 hours ago, webfact said:

Deputy Prime Minister Somsak Thepsutin cautioned that Thailand’s population could plummet from 66 million to a mere 33 million within six decades.

That's because only half the population will be able to afford to have kids.

Sort out your economics and the rest will sort itself out.

[Guderian]

Blimey, the pickings in the girly bars are poor enough these days (I was going to say 'slim enough', but that's clearly not the case, lol), I wouldn't want to be a Gogo Bar owner in 2085.

[Banana7]

Government needs to provide financial incentives for married couples to have children. Monthly baby bonuses, low cost quality child care, etc. Support families to have more children!

[Bruce Aussie]

7 hours ago, Ben Zioner said:

 

Half as many fires and 30% less road accident. Yippee 

[Dionigi]

A higher birth rate in the past has led to a large elderly population now. Increasing the birth rate will only help in the short term as the increase will lead to the increase population eventually becoming elderly. Unless the government intends to constantly increase the population. This pyramid scheme will end up like all pyramid schemes, they go bust because they are unsustainable.

Investment in technology and education with a decrease in rampant consumerism is the only way out.

[Srikcir]

8 hours ago, Purdey said:

There is something called AI that can take on jobs when the population declines, but first you have to invest in technology and stop thinking in terms of farmers and laborers only.

Does AI pay income taxes?

[Srikcir]

10 hours ago, Artisi said:

And what is wrong with less population? 

Nothing if planned for it.

"Population Decline Will Change the World for the Better,"

May 4, 2023  https://www.scientificamerican.com

• "Shifting to a model based on degrowth and equity alongside lower fertility rates will help fight climate change and increase wealth and well-being
• immigration can help soften some of the demographic blows by bringing younger people into aging countries.
• managing consumption, prioritizing social and environmental welfare over profits, valuing cooperation and recognizing the need for a range of community-driven solutions

However, a State with a tightly controlled nationalism may lose some of its character, or as it's called in Thailand -"thainess."

[MarcelV]

9 hours ago, Lee65 said:

Can always import Africans.  No sign of population decline over there.

Don't worry. They'll be finding their way soon enough when they hear about our paradise and its ladies. Together with a flock of single male muslims.

And Jews.

 

Thailand will be fine. Nothing to worry about.😉

[MarcelV]

4 hours ago, Guderian said:

Blimey, the pickings in the girly bars are poor enough these days (I was going to say 'slim enough', but that's clearly not the case, lol), I wouldn't want to be a Gogo Bar owner in 2085.

Don't worry about that.

First of all, you won't be around to see the carnage. And second, by then there won't be any more of these establishments. Only places where dudes like you and me strutt our stuff on stage in front of obese feminists.

 

[bradiston]

Women are voting with their eggs.

[paulikens]

8 hours ago, webfact said:

working-age populace dwindling from 46 million to a mere 14 million

In 60 years time there will be hardly any jobs,  Everything will be done by AI.   Should be more worried how there will be even enough work for 14 million.   

[jvs]

Am i the only one noticing some racists posts?

[sammieuk1]

Fear not Xi will give you an import quota just obey it 🤔

[theblether]

If you celebrate reducing population, you won't mind drastic cuts in all public services as there's no one to work in crucial areas. Literally no one - as they are not born. You are seeing this happen already - in twenty years time it will be catastrophic. 

[sherwood]

13 hours ago, Purdey said:

There is something called AI that can take on jobs when the population declines, but first you have to invest in technology and stop thinking in terms of farmers and laborers only.

FFS