REUTERS FILE PHOTO for reference only

 

Thailand reported 1,767 new COVID-19 infections on Sunday and two additional deaths.

 

Of the new cases, 1,477 were local transmissions, while 288 were imported from people entering quarantine and 2 foreign infected persons (screening at checkpoint and entering the hospital/quarantine).

 

13,568 people remain in hospital receiving treatment, 28,683 have recovered.

 

Sunday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 42,352 with 101 deaths.

 

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About a 13% rise in cases from yesterday. 

Continued exponential growth, and a serious concern to many Thai's I know that went back to the provinces/villages to visit with family.  Many have just returned to Bangkok and grabbed what they could from their offices in order to work from home where they will be sequestering themselves.  I have been asked if I can go pick up some items for them from the local markets they want and drop them off.  The lady we assist who sells Khao Man Gai, has phoned the GF and told her she will not be coming back to BKK from Yala as family members are ill and will be getting tested tody.

So much for the claim that they were artificially limiting the cases to 1500 or just above.

 

Mind you the same kind of claim was made when the figures hovered just under 1,000 a day for a couple of days and it quite evidently wasn't true then, either.

and this is only the beginning....numbers will go up

Brutal.

Thank god it is now under control......should be very few infections by May......

9 minutes ago, Pattaya Spotter said:

About a 13% rise in cases from yesterday. 

Yeah that's nearly exponential.

I predicted 5000 within 10 days after songkran if they can test 50 k a day they will find that many. 

11 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Continued exponential growth, and a serious concern to many Thai's I know that went back to the provinces/villages to visit with family. 

3 days of almost identical figures followed by one day of a higher figure is not continued exponential growth according to my understanding of the term.

 

If it continues to rise in the days ahead then you might have a point.

5 minutes ago, Blumpie said:

Brutal.

Exponential.  

 

But, exponential is not about how bad, it's only about the shape of the curve, does it bend upwards? There is strong and weak exponential.

 

Ballistic is bad. 

Can't see farang getting the jab before end of year while these numbers continue to soar! 

11 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said:

So much for the claim that they were artificially limiting the cases to 1500 or just above.

 

Mind you the same kind of claim was made when the figures hovered just under 1,000 a day for a couple of days and it quite evidently wasn't true then, either.

The number of cases they report will be directly related with the number of people they test. There is factual evidence (discussed ad infinitum already) that they test at very low rates in comparison to other countries. There has also been much commentary in the local media about problems with testing (either the cost, lack of tests, reluctance to test by hospitals).

 

So although the figure of 1,500 being the ceiling is wrong the evidence thus far suggests reported numbers will plateau...unless they significantly IO there game.

 

The other scenario is if test numbers stay the same but infection rates are soaring which will also show a higher number of daily cases.

 

 

14 minutes ago, Surelynot said:

Thank god it is now under control......should be very few infections by May......

2028 ?

24 minutes ago, webfact said:

13,568 people remain in hospital receiving treatment

 

this is NOT a small number.  wish i had a four-week rolling average, or length of stay....for comparison purposes.  will have to check past reports.

 

also no idea how many people getting tested.  

 

here's what i DO know.......hospitals seem WAY more crowded now than before, since they queue outside.  i can see about three pretty big hospitals.....all more people than I've ever seen before

 

be safe everyone.  

Let's just keep an eye on fatalities. Number of cases are less important. There can be an order of magnitude more cases undetected. Of course there's a correlation between case numbers and mortality, but it seems to be Thailand was pretty lucky in both terms since the start of this pandemic. ( I have no idea why)

8 minutes ago, madmen said:

Can't see farang getting the jab before end of year while these numbers continue to soar! 

 

 

 

"Soar" ?

 

 

Maintain the correct perspective............................ this is the "April ripple".

Could someone please explain the (practical) difference between "local transmissions" and "people entering quarantine"?

1 minute ago, Ventenio said:

 

this is NOT a small number.  wish i had a four-week rolling average, or length of stay....for comparison purposes.  will have to check past reports.

 

also no idea how many people getting tested.  

 

here's what i DO know.......hospitals seem WAY more crowded now than before, since they queue outside.  i can see about three pretty big hospitals.....all more people than I've ever seen before

 

be safe everyone.  

 

 

 

Move location.

 

 

 

You will be less stressed.

 

 

 

 

11 minutes ago, Elkski said:

I predicted 5000 within 10 days after songkran if they can test 50 k a day they will find that many. 

Since the pandemic was recognised as in Thailand the current daily average testing rate over that period is a little over 4000 per day.

New cases and hospitalizations climbed about 14% from Saturday to Sunday, according to the government's report, and four provinces had 100 or more reported new cases. (Yesterday's new case numbers for comparison purposes are listed below in parentheses):

 

Bangkok -- 347 (up from 279)

Chonburi -- 229 (up from 99)

Chiang Mai -- 164 (up from 140)

Nonthaburi -- 100 (up from 12)

 

The only other provinces with 50 or more new cases reported today were:

Prachuap Khiri Khan -- 66  (up from 58)

Samut Prakan -- 64  (up from 27)

Nakhon Ratchasima -- 51  (up from 6)

Nakhon Sawan -- 51  (up from 16)

 

The numbers of total new cases reported by the government rose by 220 from 1,547 on Saturday to 1,767 today. The two charts below show today's province by province breakdown of domestic cases (excluding imported cases of travelers in quarantine), along with the comparable chart from Saturday:

 

 

 

 

Meanwhile, the numbers of patients hospitalized likewise rose from 11,916 on Saturday to 13,568 today, with 12,997 of those reported in hospitals and 571 reported in alternate facilities such as field hospitals.

 

The two figures generally move together because under the government's policy, anyone who tests positive for COVID is required to enter some kind of hospital or similar facility.

 

MoPH chart showing the hotspots for new COVID cases in recent days:

 

 

26 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

Continued exponential growth, and a serious concern to many Thai's I know that went back to the provinces/villages to visit with family.  Many have just returned to Bangkok and grabbed what they could from their offices in order to work from home where they will be sequestering themselves.  I have been asked if I can go pick up some items for them from the local markets they want and drop them off.  The lady we assist who sells Khao Man Gai, has phoned the GF and told her she will not be coming back to BKK from Yala as family members are ill and will be getting tested tody.

 

 

 

Strange how none of them thought of "not traveling" as an option.

23 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said:

So much for the claim that they were artificially limiting the cases to 1500 or just above.

 

Mind you the same kind of claim was made when the figures hovered just under 1,000 a day for a couple of days and it quite evidently wasn't true then, either.

 

The positive numbers getting bigger by the day, It's clearly getting very serious and I wonder if they do now have enough test kits and in the needed locations.

 

Seems to me that return to small positive daily numbers (e.g. under 50) is  several months away, and even longer if they don't get very serious about the locations/venues where it's spreading in large numbers.

 

Serious fines for the politicians etc., and celebrities might have some impact but of course this won't happen and these selfish folks will probably just continue their activities. 

anywhere we could see the statistics of the TEST (how many test, when, vs how many confirmed), that perhaps telling us the TRUE MOMENTUM of the spreading !

A government spokesman told a news briefing Sunday that authorities are beginning to see more cases with serious symptoms, and seeing the new cases spread to more different kinds of settings such as government workplaces, private offices, educational facilities and elsewhere.

 

The spokesman attributed the rise in cases, at least in part, to not enough members of the public consistently practicing safety measures such as social distancing, mask wearing and hand cleaning. Those measures "have been practiced less than expected," the spokesman said.

 

The sharp rise in both new cases and hospitalizations came just a day after government officials had publicly predicted that the government's new control measures imposed starting Sunday could bring the daily new case numbers down to under 100 within a month's time.

 

 

7 minutes ago, hotandsticky said:

 

 

 

"Soar" ?

 

 

Maintain the correct perspective............................ this is the "April ripple".

A ripple he said.  You need to really think about the way things are going and stop minimizing the potential.

14 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said:

3 days of almost identical figures followed by one day of a higher figure is not continued exponential growth according to my understanding of the term.

 

If it continues to rise in the days ahead then you might have a point.

Do you see the pattern? Exponential growth does not stop because of a 3 day flatline

 

14 minutes ago, GroveHillWanderer said:

3 days of almost identical figures followed by one day of a higher figure is not continued exponential growth according to my understanding of the term.

 

If it continues to rise in the days ahead then you might have a point.

A 2% rise some here will call "exponential,"...they won't be happy until the entire country is in complete lockdown again. If in the next week to ten days, cases rise to the 2000-3000 range and then fall back to the low hundreds, it would be a major success, considering all the travel and socializing that occurred over Songkran. 

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

A ripple he said.  You need to really think about the way things are going and stop minimizing the potential.

 

 

April ripple...... not my phrase.

 

 

Perhaps you should resist the temptation to exaggerate the situation.

 

 

New normal returning soon (that is MY phrase)