2 hours ago, dinsdale said:

2000+ everyday, 15 deaths reported today. Yep good news. Guess in the next couple of days when it's hovering over 2000 and maybe 25 dead that will still be good news.

The good news brigade were saying it was good with 20 positives and no deaths. 2000+ positives and 15 deaths is still good news. 

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

4 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

Fantastic logic. More critical, more on ventilators, yes it's sure to decrease once they're either dead or recovered. 

2 hours ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

The Ministry of Public Health reported Wednesday that Thailand moved up one slot to now rank 104th among world countries based on its total number of COVID cases since the start of the pandemic.  The charts below show Thailand's ranking versus all countries and versus its regional Asian peer countries:

 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/posts/314640260154305

 

 

Only 8 places from overtaking China. 

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/significant-progress-reported-in-astrazeneca-vaccine-production-in-thailand/

 

Significant progress reported in AstraZeneca vaccine production in Thailand

AstraZeneca released a statement today announcing that their plans to produce its COVID-19 vaccine in Thailand have made “significant progress” and that the first batch of the vaccine will be delivered to the Thai Government this June.

The statement says that the country’s Food and Drug Administration has approved Siam Bioscience as a manufacturing facility for the production of AstraZeneca vaccine.

 

 

2 hours ago, dinsdale said:

2000+ everyday, 15 deaths reported today. Yep good news. Guess in the next couple of days when it's hovering over 2000 and maybe 25 dead that will still be good news.

The good news brigade were saying it was good with 20 positives and no deaths. 2000+ positives and 15 deaths is still good news. 

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

 

53 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Maybe the good news brigade can tell us why this is good news. Love to know. For me it's clearly the opposite.

Sure. Flattening the increase in new cases means that the death rate can  decrease in a week or so. 

The big problems is in Bangkok, so I wish all off You who lives there a very good luck.

 

4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

I'd rather wait to see some sharp decreases before I jump to anything

The figures are akin to a Staircase.

We had a " pause " in the number of positive cases at around 1500 per Day for several Days before the sharp increase up to 2500+ every day for a few Days.

Now its back to just over 2,000 for a few Days.

It all just seems so "false " to me.

How do you get case numbers to Staircase in this way naturally

Answer.....you dont.

9 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

 

Sure. Flattening the increase in new cases means that the death rate can  decrease in a week or so. 

Yep I understand. As it is positives have flattened somewhat but deaths are increasing. Needs to get below 100 positives and no deaths. Then it's probably ok except for idiotic decisions by the pseudo govt. You say the death rate will decrease in a week or so. Maybe but not before going up.

17 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Fantastic logic. More critical, more on ventilators, yes it's sure to decrease once they're either dead or recovered. 

The death rate in Thailand lags the rate of new infections by a week or two. That's a fact. 

 

In evaluating the progress of the epidemic, the key statistic is the number of new infections. 

2 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

Yep I understand. As it it positives have flattened somewhat and deaths are increasing. Needs to get below 100 posives ann no deaths. You say the death rate will decrease in a week or so. Maybe but not before going up.

You are probably correct. Once the number of new infections declines, the death rate will follow in a week or two. 

27 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

of course silly me, with the ICU's filling up any the numbers increasing in the critical care units who would believe any of them might die....hope spring eternal in your view, while I am taking the glass half full view.

6 minutes ago, Cake Monster said:

The figures are akin to a Staircase.

We had a " pause " in the number of positive cases at around 1500 per Day for several Days before the sharp increase up to 2500+ every day for a few Days.

Now its back to just over 2,000 for a few Days.

It all just seems so "false " to me.

How do you get case numbers to Staircase in this way naturally

Answer.....you dont.

Or how do you get new infections and death to lower on weekends. But that happens in many countries. 

Just now, ThailandRyan said:

of course silly me, with the ICU's filling up any the numbers increasing in the critical care units who would believe any of them might die....hope spring eternal in your view, while I am taking the glass half full view.

Unfortunately, the death rate may increase over the next week or two, even if new infections stay at 2000 a day. 

16 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

The death rate in Thailand lags the rate of new infections by a week or two. That's a fact. 

 

In evaluating the progress of the epidemic, the key statistic is the number of new infections. 

 

The week or two. is somewhat outdated.

2 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

Or how do you get new infections and death to lower on weekends. But that happens in many countries. 

New Deaths and infections are lower on Weekends, mainly due to a reduction in staffing levels within the testing facilities.

These Staff have families as well you know.

12 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

 The week or two. is somewhat outdated.

 

In the rest of the world, the lag is 21 days, but in Thailand, people tend not to enter the hospital for Covid-19 until and unless they are in advanced distress. And that is when they are tested. 

Over 2000 cases a day and double digit deaths still and they are getting back to normal so if people are vigilant there is no reason Thailand can't get a grip on this.

A proper lockdown would help.

1 hour ago, ourmanflint said:

Magic Thailand strikes again... only in Thailand it seems does this virus manage to take a break once in a while, chill out and slow down it's never ending spread to other people. Other countries must be looking on in awe of the magic of Thai people and the Thai govt

 

Truly Amazing!

Virtually every single country in the world (that has had any Covid cases) has had periods when case numbers increased and periods when they slowed down. Thailand is no different in this regard.

21 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

 

In the rest of the world, the lag is 21 days, but in Thailand, people tend not to enter the hospital for Covid-19 until and unless they are in advanced distress. And that is when they are tested. 

 

Look again. I'll think you'll find agreeance now is around 1 to 3 wks. Different varients I guess. Deaths are reported the next day. People here have died well before 21 days after being diagnosed and hospitalised. If I remember correctly one person died four days I think after being admitted to hospital. Whatever it was it wasn't long. I remember being suprised. This is where co-morbities/age come in. 

Let's hope that the Indian variant doesn't reach Thailand through intermediate countries.

 

Nepal is now hit by the Indian variant and should be put on the banned list of countries to Thailand.

14 minutes ago, dinsdale said:

 

Look again. I'll think you'll find agreeance now is around 1 to 3 wks. Different varients I guess. Deaths are reported the next day. People here have died well before 21 days after being diagnosed and hospitalised. If I remember correctly one person died four days I think after being admitted to hospital. Whatever it was it wasn't long. I remember being suprised. This is where co-morbities/age come in. 

 

 

This was the breakdown for the 15 new deaths reported today. These kinds of details obviously vary depending on the makeup of the fatalities.

 

Periods of time from confirmed infection to death:

7 --  at least 15 days

9 -- 7 to 15 days

2 -- died same day as infection confirmed

2 -- died prior to infection being confirmed

 

Even as some private hospitals complained the government has continued stalling their efforts to acquire imported COVID vaccines, the Ministry of Public Health on Wednesday laid out a plan for the government and the private sector to acquire at least 37 million more imported doses in the coming months.

 

The MoPH said Thailand already has 63 million doses committed (most of them planned to be a locally produced version of the AstraZeneca vaccine), but needs another 37 million. The total of 100 million doses would be enough to vaccinate about 50 million people in Thailand, or approximately 70 percent of the 70 million population.

 

In a presentation posted online, the MoPH estimated that 30 million of the additional imported doses could be arranged by the Thai government, with the remaining 7 million handled by the private sector.

 

For the additional imported vaccine doses, the MoPH estimated those could come from the government arranging 5 to 10 million doses each from among the following vaccines:  Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson, Sputnik and Sinovac. The government said it has been working on several such deals.

 

The MoPH said the private sector might be able to acquire other vaccines from providers such as Moderna and Sinopharm.

 

Critics have complained the Thai government has been slow to acquire the vaccines needed to halt the latest COVID outbreak in the country, and private hospital officials have continued complaining in local news reports that they could acquire vaccines themselves if the government would support their efforts -- something the prime minister pledged the government would do several week ago.

 

In a statement issued later Wednesday, the government said: "With proper logistics and storage, the government is confident of ordering the Pfizer vaccine to be used in the country."

 

Thus far, however, no private sector vaccine acquisitions have been announced in Thailand. And the country continues to have one of the lowest vaccination rates in Asia, with only about 1.28 million doses administered.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/fanmoph/photos/a.135975766428787/6134589253234045/

 

 

 

1 hour ago, anchadian said:

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/significant-progress-reported-in-astrazeneca-vaccine-production-in-thailand/

 

Significant progress reported in AstraZeneca vaccine production in Thailand

AstraZeneca released a statement today announcing that their plans to produce its COVID-19 vaccine in Thailand have made “significant progress” and that the first batch of the vaccine will be delivered to the Thai Government this June.

 

The statement says that the country’s Food and Drug Administration has approved Siam Bioscience as a manufacturing facility for the production of AstraZeneca vaccine.

 

 

The President of AstraZeneca in Thailand, James Teague, stated that Siam Bioscience will also produce the vaccine for eight other Southeast Asian countries where, he said, Thailand will play a central role in the fight against the pandemic.

1 hour ago, Danderman123 said:

It is good news because it means that the death rate will decrease soon. 

Very unlikely. Thailand can manipulate test and cases data as much as it wants, but I don't think it can manipulate excess deaths data, it is a metric that has been used worldwide to show true effect of covid

 

Bangkok Clears Backlog of Its Untreated COVID Patients

 

"BANGKOK, April 28 (TNA) – The Erawan emergency medical service center of the Bangkok Metropolitan Administration already arranged for hospital beds for the treatment of all untreated COVID-19 patients in the capital.

 

Silapasuay Raweesangsoon, permanent secretary of BMA, said the Erawan center and partners sent to hospitals the 133 COVID-19 cases who had waited for hospital beds and the waiting list in the capital was eliminated.

 

For the time being, the center was able to send COVID-19 cases to hospitals in a real-time manner, she said."

 

(more)

 

https://tna.mcot.net/english-news-685201

 

2 hours ago, anchadian said:

https://www.thaipbsworld.com/significant-progress-reported-in-astrazeneca-vaccine-production-in-thailand/

 

Significant progress reported in AstraZeneca vaccine production in Thailand

AstraZeneca released a statement today announcing that their plans to produce its COVID-19 vaccine in Thailand have made “significant progress” and that the first batch of the vaccine will be delivered to the Thai Government this June.

 

The statement says that the country’s Food and Drug Administration has approved Siam Bioscience as a manufacturing facility for the production of AstraZeneca vaccine.

 

 

 

 

 

The Department of Medical Sciences (DMS) has approved the standard for samples of AstraZeneca vaccine licensed to be produced locally, which has been registered with the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).

 

DMS Director-General Dr Supakit Sirilak said the department has run tests on them and found they satisfied all manufacturing criteria specified in the registration. The vaccine passed the full tests for requirements such as chemical composition and safety.

 

He said the results of the analysis of the vaccine's quality will be cited in support of having the vaccine mass-produced by Siam Bioscience. The company is expected to deliver the first batch of locally produced vaccines to the government next month.

 

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10157979291957050

 

 

Revealed: How a single pill home cure for Covid could be available this year

 

Trials of first pill specifically designed to stop SARS-CoV-2 are under way at Pfizer buildings in United States and Belgium

 

At two anonymous Pfizer buildings, one in the US and one in Belgium, a remarkable experiment is under way. Up to 60 volunteers, all clean-living adults aged between 18 and 60, are being given the first pill specifically designed to stop SARS-CoV-2.

 

If the trial is successful, it is just possible that a home cure for Covid-19 will become available later this year. The Prime Minister, who announced the formation of a UK Antivirals Taskforce last week specifically to invest in such products, will no doubt be scanning his text messages for early updates.

 

The molecule being tested is a bespoke antiviral codenamed PF 07321332. Classed as a "protease inhibitor", it has been formulated to attack the "spine" of the SARS-Cov-2 virus and stop it replicating in our noses, throats and lungs. It was protease inhibitors that turned the tide on the spread of HIV in the UK and around the world. Now researchers hope they may be on the brink of a similar pandemic-busting breakthrough.

 

(more)

 

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/revealed-home-cure-covid-could-available-year/

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/tommybeer/2021/04/27/pfizer-ceo-says-antiviral-pill-to-treat-covid-could-be-ready-by-end-of-the-year/

 

https://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-initiates-phase-1-study-novel-oral-antiviral