Behold! My prediction is looking good. Must do lottery

 

On 5/21/2021 at 7:42 AM, ourmanflint said:

Is anyone really surprised by this news? I suppose Thailand will stumble on with minimal testing to mask the spread of this variant much like it did with the Kent one. I'm guessing the new "magic" acceptable number will be around 3500 per day for a very long time

43 minutes ago, Blumpie said:

I wouldn't worry about people flooding into the country.  

I wouldn't worry about hardly anyone going there.  

I don't worry . I only feel pity for the poverty that will come because of a lack of vision and the big greed of the military and the Government

5 minutes ago, Caldera said:

Let's also not forget that China, Thailand's biggest market for inbound tourists, has never waived state quarantine for returning Chinese citizens, and is unlikely to do so for the remainder of this year at the very least

Can Chinese even travel to Thailand. 

Many travel in tours. Didn't Chinese gov close that option? 

14 day quarantine on return would be a big No for many Chinese. I thought most of the Chinese tourists where a quick shortish stay. Couple of weeks? 

Don't think that the Chinese will be knocking the door down.

New cases numbers almost every day this week over 3,000. It looks like Anutin's masterplan of building herd immunity cheaply by relaxing restrictions so that more and more people become infected is working nicely. No point in spending all that useful money on expensive vaccines after all!

2 hours ago, dinsdale said:

I would like info on the variant. 99% of cases in the UK is now the B.1.617.B

I meant B.1.617.2

A post with a trolling video has been removed. 

 

TIMELINE: Pattaya and Chonburi informs residents who visited places in relation to recent Chonburi confirmed Covid -19 cases

 

1. 7-Eleven Convenience Store next to Panat Nikom Hospital in the Panat Nikom district from May 30th to June 4th between 4:00 PM. to 4:30 PM.

2. Narnia Steak Restaurant in the Panat Nikom district from June 1st to the 2nd between 5:00 PM. to 6:00 PM.

3. I-Din Coffee in the Panat Nikom district from June 1st to the 3rd between 5:00 PM. to 7:00 PM.

 

 

Please inform the hospital that you visited the same place as a Covid-19 confirmed case, they continued.

 

 

https://thepattayanews.com/2021/06/20/timeline-pattaya-and-chonburi-informs-residents-who-visited-places-in-relation-to-recent-chonburi-confirmed-covid-19-cases-3/

 

 

It seems to me they are playing a dangerous game by relaxing restrictions while case numbers continue to rise during the current tougher restrictions.

 

Struggling to see any logic in that…

 

In terms of the 120 day re-opening. I understand many offices in Bangkok have pushed out closure until at least 31 July. Re-opening on 1 August is the current target, however, I see that as optimistic given current cases, the usual slow declining tail in new cases and the sheer hassle of finding an infection in your workplace, such as everyone sent home for quarantine, office shut for deep cleaning etc. 

 

 

3 hours ago, Fex Bluse said:

 

Highly doubtful. What is more likely is that they are lying to make Phuket seem safer than it is. 

They left out the word 'not'; meaning the real figure is 25% !

5 minutes ago, realfunster said:

 

It seems to me they are playing a dangerous game by relaxing restrictions while case numbers continue to rise during the current tougher restrictions.

 

Struggling to see any logic in that…

 

In terms of the 120 day re-opening. I understand many offices in Bangkok have pushed out closure until at least 31 July. Re-opening on 1 August is the current target, however, I see that as optimistic given current cases, the usual slow declining tail in new cases and the sheer hassle of finding an infection in your workplace, such as everyone sent home for quarantine, office shut for deep cleaning etc. 

 

 

What do you mean by"offices" in Bangkok? Most offices have remained open and just allowed some staff to work from home. But the vast majority have remained open.

What's very concerning is the majority of new cases are people visiting hospitals because they are sick rather than asymptomatic persons found by testing. Delta cases are rising. 

As of Sunday, 1,374 (+31) patients are in critical condition, with 390 (+7) of them relying on ventilator.

 

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406486381413638145

 

Thailand's Vaccine Tracker (June 20, 2021) About 3.17 percent of the population is fully vaccinated, with 5,486,092 (+51,973) people received the first dose, while 2,101,086 (+52,122) received the second dose. #วัคซีนโควิด19 #ฉีดวัคซีน #COVID19 #Thailand #KE

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406489010420150282

 

3 hours ago, DrJack54 said:

The numbers are rubbish. You cannot have new positives of say 3500 and the next day 3507. It's a fantasy. 

What number would be more real? 3669, 4000 2000, yawn...  Probably at least 1 out of 300 chance of being identical.  So every 300 days you would have proof.

Chonburi announces 175 cases of Covid-19, highest number since start of new round of infections in April

 

Two large new clusters with dozens of cases at each location drive today's 175 new cases in Chonburi, unfortunately the highest since the start of the recent round of Covid-19 in April.

 

https://thepattayanews.com/2021/06/20/chonburi-announces-175-cases-of-covid-19-highest-number-since-start-of-new-round-of-infections-in-april/

 

3 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Thailand's Vaccine Tracker (June 20, 2021) About 3.17 percent of the population is fully vaccinated, with 5,486,092 (+51,973) people received the first dose, while 2,101,086 (+52,122) received the second dose. #วัคซีนโควิด19 #ฉีดวัคซีน #COVID19 #Thailand #KE

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406489010420150282

 

 

 

Lot better than many predicted and supply is slowly catching up with demand.  Probably offering free car lotteries by end of year to entice people to get shots.

18 minutes ago, anchadian said:

As of Sunday, 1,374 (+31) patients are in critical condition, with 390 (+7) of them relying on ventilator.

 

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406486381413638145

 

#COVID19 update in #Thailand on Sunday:

 

Since 1 April 2021

189,268 people infected (+40 imported cases and +3,642 local cases)

1,535 dead +20

32,743 in care 1,374 in ICU and 390 on ventilators

2,401 discharged from care

https://twitter.com/RichardBarrow/status/1406491719407865859

 

3 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

It’s amazing that the people who constantly claimed that the flat numbers were proof that the numbers were fake are not stepping up to say they were wrong

Of course they are wrong. Don’t test, don’t find. Most of the cases in that number are walk ins.

21 minutes ago, anchadian said:

Thailand's Vaccine Tracker (June 20, 2021) About 3.17 percent of the population is fully vaccinated, with 5,486,092 (+51,973) people received the first dose, while 2,101,086 (+52,122) received the second dose. #วัคซีนโควิด19 #ฉีดวัคซีน #COVID19 #Thailand #KE

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406489010420150282

 

Very poor performance so far based on Uncle Tu's targets:

 

"To meet Gen. Prayut’s own target of inoculating 100 million jabs by the end of the year requires roughly 470,000 jabs on average per day every day from now."

3 hours ago, DrJack54 said:

The numbers are rubbish. You cannot have new positives of say 3500 and the next day 3507. It's a fantasy. 

Why not? It could just as likely be 3500 and 3500 again....

I go along with your sentiment though, the numbers have remained in a tight band for longer than is credible... we are just beginning to see an upward trend.

3 hours ago, Fex Bluse said:

 

Highly doubtful. What is more likely is that they are lying to make Phuket seem safer than it is. 

Well according to them(government) only about 300 people live in Phuket so easy to do????

Can't we  just save time and say about 3500  a  day for the next  month and about 30  dead then we dont need  this repetitive stuff  daily.

The first shipment of 1M doses of #Sinopharm vaccine arrives at Suvarnabhumi Airport on Sunday morning. The doses are imported by Chulabhorn Royal Academy as a paid "alternative vaccine." Over 17,000 businesses and schools have signed up for the doses, which cost 888 baht each.

 

https://twitter.com/KhaosodEnglish/status/1406496849574330372

 

3 hours ago, dinsdale said:

I would like info on the variant. 99% of cases in the UK is now the B.1.617.B

Well, and Sinovac doesn't protect! ????

3 hours ago, Fex Bluse said:

 

Yeah, seems they've increased their testing capacity slightly. It'll be around 3.5k until they can increase testing. 

I had this eureka moment about 3am this morning.

 

We always thought that the testing was being limited to keep the numbers low - which would boost them in the eyes of the world.

 

BUT, I think they have been warehousing the tests for months waiting for tourism. 

 

If the expected 129,000 people came Q3 to Phuket, that equates to some 260,000 tests of tourists. It was recently said they had been expecting 4 million tourists by end Q4 - that may equate to a possible 8 millions tests. 8 million tests is equal to their entire testing program so far.

 

Therefore I'd suggest unless they have a rabbit up their sleeves with testing kits - they must be stock piling test kits in mass for expected tourism ! 

 

Just hope the test kits dont have a use by date

 

31 minutes ago, atpeace said:

Probably offering free car lotteries by end of year to entice people to get shots.

You'd  think life would  be an incentive but then again no helmets on bikes so  maybe not

https://www.facebook.com/nbtworld/posts/10158094486522050

3 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

SINGAPORE — There is a significant risk of "vaccine breakthrough" with the Sinovac vaccine, or CoronaVac, with international evidence showing that many who had taken it were later infected with COVID-19, said the Ministry of Health's (MOH) director of medical services Kenneth Mak on Friday (18 June).

 

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/significant-problems-sinovac-vaccine-other-countries-moh-official-105357031.html

 

Very worrying. Basically Sinovac is next to useless against anything but initial few variants. Anyone having Sinovac should immediately get AZ or similar

Today there are 20 reported deaths in #Thailand:

 

13 males & 7 females

18 Thais & 2 Burmese

Median age is 66 (26-90 years)

Most deaths in Bangkok (11), Nakhon Pathom (3), Samut Prakan (2), plus 4 provinces with 1 each

7 infected by family members

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1406499510843416576

 

4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

Looks like we've lost the 2k+ average range and now moving onto a higher level daily's. As for the death count I personally don't trust that in the slightest.

 

Until they actually officially publish exactly how they classify covid related deaths then its unfortunately just numbers they are giving us with little meaning as to how they arrived at them.

 

Rolling 7 day average (up to 18th June only) which includes prison cases and bar chart of community cases.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

The 7 day rolling average is starting to look ominous because it seems to be increasing via community spread, not so much prison numbers, Plus I’m not aware of a lot of migrant worker camps clusters being discovered, indicating the increase is more from people who roam about normally, rather than cooped on a work site and/or dorm and therefore easily isolated. Maybe I am wrong on that, but I haven’t been conscious of announcements re migrant clusters.

 

and restrictions are being eased in deep red zones. It feels like a shoe is waiting to drop. Hope I am wrong.