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Four Delta sub-variants found in Thailand no immediate cause for alarm


snoop1130

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1 hour ago, ukrules said:

In the land of the unvaccinated it makes little difference.

It makes a huge difference - the delta variants, we know from the UK and US, spreads easier - like Measles - and has a much higher transmissibility (Ro is between 6 and 7).

 

It should quickly saturate the population before starting to calm down...

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10 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

The sub-variants found in Thailand are AY.4 or B.1.617.2.4, which was found in 3% of the samples tested, AY.6 or B.1.617.2.6, which was found in fewer than 1% of samples tested, AY.10 or B.1.617.2.10, which was found in fewer than 1% tested and AY.12 or B.1.617.2.12, which was also found in fewer than 1% of samples tested.

It would also be relevant to know the overall numbers tested which would be a better indication of how important these sub-variants are 

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12 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

He assured the public, however, that there is no cause for panic at the moment, as infections by the four sub-variants are still limited and there is very little information about their severity.

There was no reason to panic back in January... that didn't work out too well either.

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10 hours ago, smedly said:

when do these so called sub vaiants become variants - what is the difference ?

 

are these variants unique to Thailand 

 

Ok so it seems some of these variants at least in the US alter the spike protein that the vaccines work with so I guess the worst that could happen is the vaccines don't work any more, hardly an issue of concern - right ?

These variants get stronger and stronger, it would have to be stronger that the Delta variant to be a problem.

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11 hours ago, smedly said:

when do these so called sub vaiants become variants - what is the difference ?

 

are these variants unique to Thailand 

 

Ok so it seems some of these variants at least in the US alter the spike protein that the vaccines work with so I guess the worst that could happen is the vaccines don't work any more, hardly an issue of concern - right ?

The best available information as I have been able to keep up with indicates the major difference with delta is that it is much more contagious. The vaccines still "work" against it, no one has died of delta who has been vaccinated to the best of my knowledge. The vaccines protect the bulk of the body's organs and systems,  but delta can still invade the naso pharyngeal and upper respiratory areas and create a milder form of the disease, although most often symptoms among the vaccinated are minimal. Because of its highly contagious nature, there is more virus to be spread from these milder cases in vaccinated people through exhaled aerosol droplets. There are no variants thus far whose spike proteins have mutated to the point where vaccines are ineffective. But remember, this is changing as we speak. Meanwhile if you come across anyone who refuses to get vaccinated medical experts advise you to smack them upside the head. 

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Unfortunately there are plenty more out there:

 

SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern as of 20 August 2021

ECDC regularly assesses new evidence on variants detected through epidemic intelligence, rules-based genomic variant screening, or other scientific sources. If a decision is made to add, remove, or change the category for any variant, the tables are updated to reflect this change. The tables are regularly sent for consultation to ECDC and WHO Regional Office for Europe’s joint virus characterisation working group. The rules-based genomic screening is performed using an open source algorithm The weekly ECDC variant surveillance data report can be found in the weekly COVID-19 country overviews published on ECDC’s website. On 10 June 2021 ECDC published “Rapid Risk Assessment: Assessing SARS-COV-2 circulation, variants of concern, non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccine rollout in the EU/EEA, 15th update” and on 23 June 2021 “Threat Assessment Brief: Implications for the EU/EEA on the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta (B.1.617.2) variant of concern”.

 

Tables of variants in the link below:

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/variants-concern

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4 hours ago, RichardColeman said:

Only issue about this story is if Thailand keep buying 13% Chinese rubbish - somebody in Thailand is making a killing (pun intended) out of these Chinese deals.

You would hope that Sinovac would have been scrapped as a viable vaccine against current strains by now and all future orders would be on only those vaccines that have acceptable efficacy.

 

Having a Sinovac shot means having to then get boosters from other vaccines anyway, to improve your immunity response. 

 

The arrogant CCP in not acknowledging other superior vaccines for entry into China, is also a big part of this issue.  CCP just cannot bear to lose face with anything at all.  And big money likely changing hands. 

 

It's sadly the impoverished Thai people who are the ones getting the rest of the inferior Chinese made stuff to appease the CCP and hence the unnecessary deaths when COVID Delta kills a percentage of them.  Really sad and disgraceful IMO.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/covid-vaccines-delta-china-asia/2021/08/10/24d0df60-f664-11eb-a636-18cac59a98dc_story.html
Edited by aussienam
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Think of variants like us having kids. You have the same parents but the kids are all a little different.  Same thing happens with viruses.  

The more unvaccinated people there are the more they can reproduce and create more variants.

The point of a vaccine is not to make you immune to getting the virus but to stop it before it starts reproducing to levels that overwhelm you.

I think the term "herd immunity" is a bit of a misnomer. No one becomes immune to the virus entering their body.

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13 hours ago, snoop1130 said:

that there is no cause for panic at the moment, as infections by the four sub-variants are still limited

Ahh ok… So no alarm ehhh!!!

Looking for excuses to reopen the Country ?

 

 Playing again? ????

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8 minutes ago, aussienam said:

You would hope that Sinovac would have been scrapped as a viable vaccine against current strains by now and all future orders would be on only those vaccines that have acceptable efficacy.

 

Having a Sinovac shot means having to then get boosters from other vaccines anyway, to improve your immunity response. 

 

The arrogant CCP in not acknowledging other superior vaccines for entry into China, is also a big part of this issue.  CCP just cannot bear to lose face with anything at all.  And big money likely changing hands. 

 

It's sadly the impoverished Thai people who are the ones getting the rest of the inferior Chinese made stuff to appease the CCP and hence the unnecessary deaths when COVID Delta kills a percentage of them.  Really sad and disgraceful IMO.

Actually not true. China has long acknowledged the minimal efficacy of their vaccines and are now considering  importing mRNA as booster shots. But like  most of the world procurement remains the problem. What surprises me is that China has obviously not developed their own mRNA version. Then again maybe they are?

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These new sub-variants (AY.4, AY.6, AY.10, AY.12) were not first seen in Thailand but are relatively new. The variant numbers were assigned to the pango naming system Aug 12, 2021, and have been recently circulating in the UK.  

 

pango-designation:Proposal for sub-lineages within B.1.617.2 issue #180

 

However, they may well have arisen independently in Thailand. One suggestion is this group of mutations, and another group in the US (AY.3 ...) represent Delta trying to work it's way around the immune system and vaccines. Another anticipated Ruhrho moment.

 

Discussion:  https://www.coronaheadsup.com/tag/ay-10/

 

An interesting question is, are these variants showing up in areas that received a lot of Sinovac? Or one dose of AZ?

 

Edited by rabas
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1 hour ago, Nojohndoe said:

Actually not true. China has long acknowledged the minimal efficacy of their vaccines and are now considering  importing mRNA as booster shots. But like  most of the world procurement remains the problem. What surprises me is that China has obviously not developed their own mRNA version. Then again maybe they are?

They did and already clinical trial in Mexico last May.

 

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/mexico-start-phase-iii-clinical-trials-chinas-walvax-covid-vaccine-2021-05-11/

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COVID -19 variances ...variances.... everywhere.

 

Nothing new to see here folks.

 

It's a flu virus; just like our annual flu viruses they repopulate in mutation types each and every year.

 

What else were we all the medical boffins expecting; that this Novel Coronavirus would not spawn ongoing multi mutations. 

 

C'mon man!

 

Lets get on with life and just accept that this virus and it's mutation siblings will be with us forever. 

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