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Posted

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Image composite: ASEN NOW

 

Thailand is facing potential economic challenges as former US President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs are set to impact global trade, specifically targeting countries like China, and indirectly affecting others reliant on export.

 

Trump has proposed a significant increase in tariffs, with a 20% general tariff on imports and a hefty 60% on imports from China.

 

While his aim is to revitalise domestic jobs in the US, the ripple effects could spell trouble for Thailand, heavily reliant on its export sector.

 

The US is Thailand's number one export destination, accounting for 17% of its export market. China's share stands at 12%, and indirectly could be as high as 17% via re-exports through neighbouring countries like Malaysia and Singapore.

 

These countries form essential channels for Thai products to reach global markets, making them crucial partners for Thailand's economic stability.

 

Thailand, with exports constituting 65.4% of its GDP, would be significantly affected by any slowdown in global trade, especially with such heavyweight markets being targeted by US tariffs.

 

During the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, Thailand's over-reliance on exports was evident when the economy contracted by 6.1%, compared to an Asean average of 3.2%.


Furthermore, Trump's potential implementation of strict 'Rules of Origin' could further complicate matters, potentially limiting Thailand's capacity to mitigate tariff impacts by producing goods on behalf of foreign companies like China.

 

These rules demand that a certain percentage of a product's components are sourced locally to qualify for tariff reductions, making it harder for countries like Thailand to bypass higher tariff costs through manufacturing collaborations.

 

As China and Thailand both grapple with domestic issues - China with its real estate crunch and Thailand with household debts - the added pressure of altered US trade policies could push both economies towards recession, highlighting the global interconnectedness that makes such protectionist policies significantly impactful, writes Chartchai Parasuk, PhD, for Bangkok Post.

 

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-- 2024-11-14

 

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  • Like 1
Posted
7 hours ago, webfact said:

These rules demand that a certain percentage of a product's components are sourced locally to qualify for tariff reductions, making it harder for countries like Thailand to bypass higher tariff costs through manufacturing collaborations.

 

That's right Thailand, you're not going to be able to skirt US trade sanctions through Thai In Name Only companies that are essentially Chinese.

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Posted
Just now, NoDisplayName said:

 

Well, we're in a pickle now!

 

How to choose between ChinaBad!  and TrumpBad!

You're in a pickle.

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Posted
Just now, BangkokReady said:

 

Rather unsurprisingly, the Trump-haters (communists) are actually quite keen on China...  🤔

"Trump-haters are Communists", could well be, though there are a few Commies on here, but they are Trump bootlickers, so you maybe a bit confused.

Plus, I can't think of anyone on here that actually "hates" Trump, he's a dip-stick, yes, but hate.......🤔

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Posted
1 hour ago, spidermike007 said:

It's very likely that his threats to level 60% tariffs on all Chinese imports are just a bluff intended to get China to the negotiating table.

 

You mean he may succeed in something the liberals never managed?

 

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Posted
39 minutes ago, RichardColeman said:

Good for Trump ! If this means this foolish government will lift tariffs on western foods being imported I am all for it. Thailand all take take and not give . tax tax tax. Hopefully a boot up the proverbial will do them good

If US taxes Thai exports, it is far more likely Thailand will slap another 20% or more on US imports than decrease current taxes...

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Posted
1 hour ago, BangkokReady said:

 

Rather unsurprisingly, the Trump-haters (communists) are actually quite keen on China...  🤔

Like Putin loving Trump? 

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Posted
25 minutes ago, bubblegum said:

Like Putin loving Trump? 

 

I'm sure a comma or hyphen might help this sentence out, but it's not making a heap of sense as it is...  😬

  • Haha 1
Posted
4 hours ago, ModdaPunk said:

The only thing threatening the Thai economy ?

Thai people - especially morally bankrupted elites.

Trump has nothing to do with it.

Thailand has been facing low growth and huge inequalities for a very long time.

The exodus of Thai educated youth started a long time ago.

And let's not talk about thai import taxes...

Light'em up. About time.

 

 

Yes, like the western car important tax, it is 328% !   And for 2nd hand cars, it was even banned by General Prayut, I believe in 2013. Unbelievable.  Even Thai living abroad, returning home can't bring back their own car.  Mathematically this is called an infinite tariff.

 

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