Government officials in face masks attend a preparation of the Central Vaccination Center as the country deals with a fresh wave of the infections after tackling earlier outbreaks of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), in Bangkok, Thailand, May 21, 2021. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha

Thailand on Monday (May 31) reported 5,485 new COVID-19 cases and 19 additional deaths.

● 3,532 new infections
● 1,953 prison / prison infections
 
Monday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 159,792 with 1,031 deaths.

 

The news comes as most Thais believe they can resume normal life after all get first vaccine shot. Up to 87% of respondents to a recent poll say they want every Thai citizen to receive their first COVID-19 vaccine jab and do not mind if the second shot is postponed.

 

-- © Copyright Thai Visa News 2021-05-31

 

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Yesterday the Soi directly behind us was closed and the BMA spent a considerable amount of time washing and spraying at all of the entrances to the homes on that stretch and the shops.  The only reason I can see is that a case must have popped up there.  On top of that many of the homeless folks that we normally see on our walks have seemingly disappeared from here since Friday.  Stay safe folks, the numbers being found in more than just factories is growing, and I see that CP has now closed it's poultry factory due to an outbreak there.

But....but.....some forum members said the numbers are stable or going down. How could this be?

After two consecutive 4,000+ case days, Thailand on Monday reported an even higher 5,485 new COVID cases, including 19 new deaths and a pandemic record 3,532 new cases among the general public, shattering the prior record set just a week ago.

 

The 5,485 total cases Monday, including 1,953 new cases among prison inmates, also in reality would be a pandemic record high for Thailand – except that the country had reported 9,635 total cases on May 17, a figure inflated that day by a multi-day accumulation of 6,853 prison cases.

 

Monday’s record tally of 3,532 new general population cases topped the prior record of 2,922 set on May 23, and provided the latest sign that what had been a slowly growing pandemic in Thailand, at least based on reported cases, in recent days has begun markedly accelerating.

 

The 5,485 total new cases reported Monday followed 4,528 on Sunday and 4,803 on Saturday, the first time during the pandemic that Thailand has reported three consecutive 4,000+ case days. It also followed a government official warning Sunday that the spiraling cases could threaten to overwhelm the nation’s health care system.

 

Monday’s results brought Thailand’s totals since the start of the pandemic in early 2020 to 1,031 deaths and 159,792 total reported COVID cases, including 26,253 reported among the nation’s prison inmates. In one good sign, the 19 new deaths reported Monday was the lowest daily figure in the past eight days.

 

Still, Thailand on Monday reached another new record of 50,416 COVID positive patients quarantined in some kind of hospital facility (regular hospital, field hospital or makeshift hotel-hospital), including 1,233 listed in critical condition, and 390 of those requiring ventilators in order to breathe.

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/informationcovid19/photos/a.106455480972785/336038154681182/?type=3

 

 

 

 

1 minute ago, AndyFoxy said:

But....but.....some forum members said the numbers are stable or going down. How could this be?

What's the 7-day rolling average?   Hopefully someone statistically-minded will post it.  I doubt it will show the exponential increase that some feared.  

Rolling seven-day daily averages for Thailand's new COVID cases and new COVID deaths from April 1 updated through May 29. Thus the charts below don't yet reflect the locally reported results of the past two days.

 

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

4 minutes ago, TallGuyJohninBKK said:

 

 

 

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand?country=~THA#what-is-the-daily-number-of-confirmed-cases

 

Thanks for showing the graph indicating the uptick in cases

I see where they are pushing the one jab nonsense.  

Time to slow down testing.

 

 

7 minutes ago, AndyFoxy said:

But....but.....some forum members said the numbers are stable or going down. How could this be?

The numbers were stable until today. Let’s see what happened to cause the spike.

2 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

What's the 7-day rolling average?   Hopefully someone statistically-minded will post it.  I doubt it will show the exponential increase that some feared.  

Of course it won't show the exponential increase because people aren't getting tested for fear of being locked up for 2 weeks, how do you feed you family if you are locked up for 2 weeks?

2 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

What's the 7-day rolling average?   Hopefully someone statistically-minded will post it.  I doubt it will show the exponential increase that some feared.  

This new peak will not be shown until the stats catch up on 7 day rolling average but be patient it will come, not sure why that is so important to you anyway. 

 

By the way when was the last time anyone mentioned the term "exponential increase" its hardly relevant when we've had a slow but steady increase leading to this new peak.

2 minutes ago, mtls2005 said:

Time to slow down testing.

 

 

The only way to do that would be to stop altogether.

Strange how they seemingly managed to escape 1 year and now suddely this spike. 

5 minutes ago, club said:

I see where they are pushing the one jab nonsense.  

They are then using the term they have vaccinated them, yet to be truly vaccinated one must have both doses.  I know semantics.

1 minute ago, Danderman123 said:

The numbers were stable until today. Let’s see what happened to cause the spike.

No they were not, forget to put your glasses on this morning? Oh new covid cases caused the spike.

2 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

This new peak will not be shown until the stats catch up on 7 day rolling average but be patient it will come, not sure why that is so important to you anyway.

Surely todays data comes in as 1/7th of the plot. The smoothing effect helps to see the trend. If the next 3 or 4 days are also high it will be very apparent. 

5 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

The numbers were stable until today. Let’s see what happened to cause the spike.

Were stable until today? really, they have never been stable as this thing just keeps rolling ahead of the limited areas they are testing.  Thanks but I will agree to disagree with your views.  enjoy the day.

4 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

What's the 7-day rolling average?   Hopefully someone statistically-minded will post it.  I doubt it will show the exponential increase that some feared.  

Average over the last 7 days 3,402 which represents around a 50% increase from the floating around the low to mid 2,000's the previous wk. So up 50% in a wk. I'm sure you will somehow try to spin this into being good news.

9 minutes ago, brewsterbudgen said:

What's the 7-day rolling average?   Hopefully someone statistically-minded will post it.  I doubt it will show the exponential increase that some feared.  

No but you been saying its stable going down while in reality numbers have been creaping up. It might not be exponential but opening up would be foolish.

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

They are then using the term they have vaccinated them, yet to be truly vaccinated one must have both doses.  I know semantics.

exactly, They dont want to tell you everything

2 minutes ago, jacko45k said:

Surely todays data comes in as 1/7th of the plot. The smoothing effect helps to see the trend. If the next 3 or 4 days are also high it will be very apparent. 

It only shows the smoothing trend for reported cases not unreported cases.

1 minute ago, dinsdale said:

Average over the last 7 days 3,402 which represents around a 50% increase from the floating around the low to mid 2,000's the previous wk. So up 50% in a wk. I'm sure you will somehow try to spin this into being good news.

Why would anything to do with a global pandemic be "good news"?  It's all bad, but at least not as bad as some people feared.  Hopefully the spike can be attributed to the factory outbreaks and they can be contained.   

Just heard news that schools here in Bangkok will be opening up on the 14th, so in 2 weeks.  Someone please correct me if I am wrong.  

5 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

The numbers were stable until today. Let’s see what happened to cause the spike.

Stable at 3k+. Yep. You said the numbers were stable at 2-2.5k. Coming soon you will say stable at 3.5-4K then 4-5k. 

Just now, robblok said:

No but you been saying its stable going down while in reality numbers have been creaping up. It might not be exponential but opening up would be foolish.

At this point, any increase at all that is sustained would make opening up again anytime soon problematic.  But, a lot depends on where these new cases are located. If there is a cluster of 1,000 in a factory in Udon Thani, that’s a manageable issue, but if most of the new cases are in the greater Bangkok area, that’s going to mean that hotspots are getting out of control.

3 minutes ago, robblok said:

No but you been saying its stable going down while in reality numbers have been creaping up. It might not be exponential but opening up would be foolish.

 

Opening up?  Most things are open, at least here in Bangkok they are.  The only things still firmly closed are parks, pools and schools (and obviously bars & clubs).

Just now, dinsdale said:

Stable at 3k+. Yep. You said the numbers were stable at 2-2.5k. Coming soon you will say stable at 3.5-4K then 4-5k. 

Previous to today, the numbers were in a stable range. You can tell by all the comments from people who said the numbers were fake.

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

Just heard news that schools here in Bangkok will be opening up on the 14th, so in 2 weeks.  Someone please correct me if I am wrong.  

That would be fantastic news!   We had an email from my son's school to this effect, but they said official confirmation was still being waited for.

2 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

It only shows the smoothing trend for reported cases not unreported cases.

Yes, it is not magical enough to report unreported things. Still very useful though.