It’s being discussed on and off that if matters don’t improve then the government (i.e. Prayut as he seems to be the only one who matters) will consider imposing a Wuhan-style lockdown. In other words, everybody will have to stay at home 24 hours a day. Theoretically, the local authorities would provide food and water to every home, but I’m sure we can all see the weaknesses in that plan in a place like Pattaya with a large, unregistered foreign population and literally tens of thousands of empty houses and condos.

I’m currently mulling over two options. The simplest but less pleasant one is simply to lay in large amounts of provisions over the coming weeks, enough food and water to keep me supplied for at least a month and preferably two. I’ve got a house with plenty of storage space, as well as three freezers and two fridges, so it’s feasible. As long as the internet stays up it would be doable, I could exercise in the garden, though it would be boring and frustrating.

The second option is to get away from it all. In the extreme case that might mean flying back to Britain for the duration, and coming back to Thailand when they finally make it reasonably easy to do so. An alternative which would probably be easier and more pleasant, though, is to try and book a villa for a month somewhere that isn’t badly affected by the virus, like Koh Chang, or maybe even Samui or Phuket if they’ll allow people with just one jab to enter.

The problem will be in reacting before they actually impose the Wuhan lockdown, I assume by then it would be too late to leave for friendlier shores. I gather that there’s another review of restrictions due in around a fortnight, if we’re up to 30,000 new cases a day by then, with maybe 2,000 of them in Chonburi, then it’s probably fait to say that the restrictions are going to get worse. Wuhan though, I’m not sure yet?

What are your thoughts on the matter? Are we heading for a Wuhan-style period of total incarceration in our homes? And, if so, would you just put up with it or would you try and get away?

Don't use it as an excuse to panic buy loads of junk food

The moment they announce total lockdown with no chance out to buy foods, you'll see spikes in cases from people crowding in supermarkets panic buying for sure, with malls closed, supermarkets and makro are already crowded 

41 minutes ago, Guderian said:

In other words, everybody will have to stay at home 24 hours a day.

I don't think I could handle that much sex without hiring some fluffers for the duration.

 

Plenty of everything else stored up and nice big garden overlooking fields and mountains. would be harder for some than for others.

If there is a Wuhan lockdown, I would say that would call for a Keg party on the beach....No masks or social distancing required......Hey if the ship's going down, you might as well rearrange the deck chairs and have some fun.....

there won't be wuhan, that one was only there and nowhere else in the world. And for less than 1  month.

Stay where you are, stock up. Get water filter instead of relying on bottles.

Travelling, moving around, airports unnecessary expose you. Costs a lot of many and you won't be certain when you will be allowed to come back. You house might be exposed to brake in if nobody around for a long time.

On top of food, do get some exercise equipment, it motivates you to move.

Even better - dog companion for walks.

For boredom online games or any other mental stimulation.

If you live alone get female "thai  language teacher" - that's mental and physical stimulation at the same time.

 

"It’s being discussed on and off...", being discussed by whom?

Impossible to implement here. How would you lock everyone in ? Many thais would be starving within a few weeks.

17 hours ago, scubascuba3 said:

Don't use it as an excuse to panic buy loads of junk food

Who ever needed an excuse for junk food ?

16 hours ago, Denim said:

I don't think I could handle that much sex without hiring some fluffers for the duration.

I mightb hire standins for the GF so I can watch Netflix

You tink to mut

Perhaps such a dramatic move could be initiated not so much by a response to covid-19 but by the increasing level of political objections being voiced and encouraged?

 

 

I dont know that anyone, government or otherwise, has suggested there will/may be a Wuhan locked in your house type lockdown. To say it may happen is wild speculation and misinformation.

 

At the moment, half the population still goes off to a place of work each day, factories, mom and pop shops, banks etc. The next level of lockdown may see these people staying home, but places selling food and groceries would be open.

 

Its a big leap from further lockdowns to being locked in our houses.

Great topic to kick off panic buying, civil unrest etc.

 

 

Edited July 30, 20215 yr by Peterw42

As long as they don’t turn the cable off I’m fine

In Wigan a designated person in each household was allowed to go out 2-3 times per week shopping for essential food and so forth. No one in the Thai government will be supplying you with food. 

12 minutes ago, wmlc said:

In Wigan a designated person in each household was allowed to go out 2-3 times per week shopping for essential food and so forth. 

Wigan? I take it that's an autocorrect error?????

Edited July 30, 20215 yr by GroveHillWanderer

1 hour ago, tonray said:

I mightb hire standins for the GF so I can watch Netflix

Pick me... pick me !

I'd be glad if the went ahead in the deep red provinces and stop sending their Covid upcountry. 

 

And how could you go Wuhan style in a rural setting? Take the buffalos indoors and toilet train them?

18 hours ago, scubascuba3 said:

Don't use it as an excuse to panic buy loads of junk food

No just buy cases and cases of Mama Noodles like the Thais I saw in MAkro doing the other day with cases upon Cases of water and those Nescafe 3in1 coffee large packs.  Family of 4 with three carts and a trolley, all full.  Maybe they own a small market in a Soi and are preparing or maybe they know something we do not yet.

49 minutes ago, ThailandRyan said:

No just buy cases and cases of Mama Noodles like the Thais I saw in MAkro doing the other day with cases upon Cases of water and those Nescafe 3in1 coffee large packs.  Family of 4 with three carts and a trolley, all full.  Maybe they own a small market in a Soi and are preparing or maybe they know something we do not yet.

I saw scenes like that in Makro yesterday, as well as the "non-essential" stuff like office goods being covered up in tarpaulins again. The Thais are sometimes just being opportunitic, though, now that Prayut has floated the idea of a Wuhan-style lockdown several times perhaps they're just investing in bulk-buying stuff they'll eventually use anyway, but can sell at a nice profit if the worst does happen. It makes me think of the day when the booze ban ended last year, nobody was sure if itw ould last for just a day or two, or much longer. Thais who'd made a killing selling beer on the quiet during the ban were driving off from Makro with pallets of Leo, even though, as it happened, the ban was never reimposed.

1 hour ago, sucit said:

As long as they don’t turn the cable off I’m fine

It is a little wider than that though in reality..... we need the electric and water supplies, the nearby food markets, convenience stores and some need the local beer distributor. I hear the ice-cream seller outside, so all is not lost yet. 

Don't read too much into this, but my condo committee has published a new rule stating that tunneling is a forbidden activity without the express permission of the Escape Committee, and the obligatory payment of a 2,000 Baht deposit

Interesting how if you precede the words "what if" you're allowed to make the most absurd statement you desire. 

My Plan B is to fall back on my Plan A.....maybe?????????

2 hours ago, OneMoreFarang said:

You tink to mut

You might need to find a day job.....????????????????

14 hours ago, bbko said:

"It’s being discussed on and off...", being discussed by whom?

Around a concrete table, with a few Chang's and a couple of Ex-SAS guys...............

Wuhan-style = Chinese authoritarianism. Efficient, effective. Cameras everywhere.

 

Thai authoritarianism = bungling incompetence. No Wuhan here.

 

I'm staying under the bed with a can of insect spray.

2 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

No just buy cases and cases of Mama Noodles like the Thais I saw in MAkro doing the other day with cases upon Cases of water and those Nescafe 3in1 coffee large packs.  Family of 4 with three carts and a trolley, all full.

Similar to this ...

 

     

 

2 hours ago, ThailandRyan said:

Maybe they own a small market in a Soi and are preparing or maybe they know something we do not yet.

Or maybe the part of the puzzle you are missing is similar to this later that day and the next ...

 

  

 

 

  

 

  

 

There will not be a Wuhan style lockdown. The areas hardest hit right now include those with all the major industrial estates. The country, and the companies in these areas, simply can't afford to be shut down. Some of the mega factories employ over 10,000 people each.

As OP states, the GOV is not competent enough to provide the basic essential services, so as mentally challenged as they are, they aren't quite deluded enough to think they could provide food and water to 70m people.

The current measures (perhaps a little more), and the common sense of the Thai people are about as much as can be managed right now.

It's an unlikely scenario, if only because the government cannot be bothered to organize supplying each household with essentials for the duration. They could have a slightly different model that still allows you to go out for shopping on certain days only, based on your birthday or ID number (as seen in other countries).

 

I think they would also keep the delivery services up and running, so for me, the main reason to go out on a daily basis is to get some fresh air, sunshine and exercise - all of that is very important to stay healthy.