File photo courtesy: Wikipedia

 

The latest opinion poll conducted by King Prajadhipok’s Institute reveals that the Move Forward Party continues to command significant support among the electorate, with Pita Limjaroenrat being the favored candidate for Thailand Prime Minister.

 

**Key Findings from the Poll:**

 

**For Constituency-Based MPs:**

- Move Forward Party: 35.7%

- Pheu Thai Party: 18.1%

- Bhumjaithai Party: 11.2%

- Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party: 9.2%

- Palang Pracharath Party: 7.8%

- Democrat Party: 5%

- Chat Thai Pattana Party: 1.6%

- Prachachat Party: 1.2%

- Other parties/undecided: 10.2%

 

**For Party-Listed MPs:**

- Move Forward Party: 44.9%

- Pheu Thai Party: 20.2%

- Ruam Thai Sang Chart Party: 10.9%

- Bhumjaithai Party: 3.5%

- Palang Pracharath Party and Democrat Party: 3% each

- Prachachart Party: 1.3%

- Chart Thai Pattana Party: 0.7%

- Other parties/undecided: 12.6%

 

**Preferred Prime Minister:**

- Pita Limjaroenrat: 46.9%

- Gen. Prayut Chan-o-cha: 17.7%

- Paetongtarn Shinawatra: 10.5%

- Srettha Thavisin: 8.7%

- Anutin Charnvirakul: 3.3%

- Jurin Laksanawisit: 1.7%

- Gen. Prawit Wongsuwan: 0.4%

- Other candidates/undecided: 10.9%

 

**Estimated Combined Seats in House of Representatives:**

- Move Forward: 208

- Pheu Thai: 105

- Bhumjaithai: 61

- Ruam Thai Sang Chart: 34

- Palang Pracharath: 30

- Democrat: 22

- Chart Thai Pattana: 10

- Prachachart: 9

- Other parties: 21

 

These results underscore Move Forward Party's leading position among voters and demonstrate the electorate's preference for change, with Pita Limjaroenrat emerging as a strong candidate for the prime ministership. The data suggests a competitive political landscape, with significant support distributed among various parties.

 

-- 2024-05-27

 

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Oh dear. This will not do. Rising popularity. 

 

I doubt if Pita or MFP will be allowed to continue for long in politics. Too dangerous to the Dinosaurs.

 

 

A massive lead which will only increase.

Justifiably so.....he's the only one with an education, brains and morals.

The rest of the corrupt crooks should hold their empty heads in shame and exit stage left.

Even if the dinosaur filth ban him, he'll be back. Their ban will be torn to shreds and disposed of in the Hong Nam when the reincarnation of the FFP gains control....which it will.

39 minutes ago, webfact said:

poll conducted by King Prajadhipok’s Institute reveals that the Move Forward Party continues to command significant support

The irony... 

Was always going to be. The people voted for change last election an were denied by the Junta's apparatus. Now the gap has widened and even more people want change as a consequence. PTP are finished and the army must be planning a move sometime in the future.

59 minutes ago, Denim said:

Oh dear. This will not do. Rising popularity. 

 

I doubt if Pita or MFP will be allowed to continue for long in politics. Too dangerous to the Dinosaurs.

 

 

 

1 hour ago, Denim said:

Oh dear. This will not do. Rising popularity. 

 

I doubt if Pita or MFP will be allowed to continue for long in politics. Too dangerous to the Dinosaurs.

 

 

The timing of the inevitable dissolution is critical. Not so close to an election as to be glaringly obvious election interference, not far enough from an election as to allow a successor party to emerge. It also needs to be accompanied by a thorough decapitation of existing and any potential leadership.

double the closest contenders nearly everywhere and still stronger than a coalition of the 2nd and 3rd position parties.

unfortunately, most of the damage will be done by puke thai by the time comes the next election

2 hours ago, herfiehandbag said:

 

The timing of the inevitable dissolution is critical. Not so close to an election as to be glaringly obvious election interference, not far enough from an election as to allow a successor party to emerge. It also needs to be accompanied by a thorough decapitation of existing and any potential leadership.

I think the timing is irrelevant. It's not like they are fooling anyone.

14 minutes ago, Des1 said:

I think the timing is irrelevant. It's not like they are fooling anyone.

My internationally educated fund manager (says: nothing will change. it is so (deleted) frustrating. as my Thai friends, say 'don't think too much' - a curse of the western educational system. 🙂 

He's certainly aptly named in the view of the dinosaurs, and their current pets.  A right Pita for them.  As others have said, I don't think they'll bother trying to disguise their steps to remove him and his party from the equation.  (In fact, if they've learned from the previous dissolution of the party and its former leader, only to see it come back stronger in its current incarnation, they will do all they can to dissolve it and prevent its rising again).  Nothing was done domestically when they stole the last election, and nothing will be done internationally when they steal the next (and next, and next...).  The West will outwardly grumble, but keep on dealing with whoever is in charge.  Any real punishment or sanctions will drive Thailand further into the China camp, and the West will happily do business with any unelected despot, as long as he's on their side.  Unless there is huge widespread local protest at any attempt to dissolve them, with the army rank and file on their side, then nothing will change - though, that's easy for me to say, because I won't be the one to go to Bangkok and protest armed opposition.  The patron-politics of Thailand, whereby one family more or less runs a province and pays for political support, and its own protestors to maintain that, is another large obstacle in the path of democracy here, into which MFP appeared to be making inroads.  Things were never going to be easy with both the Bangkok and the rural elite against them - well demonstrated by the current army-Thaksin alliance.  It remains to be seen just how far Pita, and other party leaders, are prepared to go should they be removed and banned.  Will they come out with their hands on their heads, or on the trigger of a gun (so to speak)?

5 hours ago, Denim said:

Oh dear. This will not do. Rising popularity. 

 

I doubt if Pita or MFP will be allowed to continue for long in politics. Too dangerous to the Dinosaurs.

 

 

They can conduct as many polls as they like, but the only one that matters is the election day result.

 

If Pita and the MFP are disbanded AFAIK there is nothing to stop the party returning under another name. If Pita is put in jail, another person can take his place and so on.

 

If the party wins an overall majority, and IF the next senate does not have the power to select the next PM, then it will be up to the ministry of dirty tricks to stop them.

 

IMHO the time for military coups and dirty tricks is coming to an end.

 

The older ultra-royalists are dying off, as are the Yellow shirts. The youth vote is expanding. The military will probably not get as much support as before, which leaves He who must not be talked about, and he has control over a large part of the military, but not all of it.

 

There is the old (Chinese?) proverb that runs "May you live in interesting times" that may be appropriate in the near future.

 

 

So next stop exile? Because there is no chance in Hell that Thaksin, the military, or the Royalist-Elite are going to ever allow this to happen.

Let's hope that the MFP gains a majority of 51% or more and govern in their own rights. Won't that throw a cat amongst the pigeons.

It would but the current regime would find a way to close them down before that happens. Then there is always the backup coup option. ☹️

2 hours ago, Des1 said:

I think the timing is irrelevant. It's not like they are fooling anyone.

Ah but, if they do it during the run up to the election, that will attract international attention - face will suffer, -along of course possibly offshore monies if sanctions result!

32 minutes ago, herfiehandbag said:

Ah but, if they do it during the run up to the election, that will attract international attention - face will suffer, -along of course possibly offshore monies if sanctions result!

You mean like the way it has every other time this has happened? I don't think so.

7 hours ago, webfact said:

The latest opinion poll conducted by King Prajadhipok’s Institute reveals that the Move Forward Party continues to command significant support among the electorate, with Pita Limjaroenrat being the favored candidate for Thailand Prime Minister.

Means diddly squat in Thailand...

Good news. Glad to hear Thaksins publicity tours are not fooling the population.  Hard to believe he is still on parole and banned from  politics. 

Above all , Thailand is a Monarchy and a ( pseudo ) democracy .

Pita is regarded as a dangerous person to the ruling elite .

There will be no peaceful change to that if the MFP  , ( or the party that follows MFP ) , will win again ...

The one(s) in power will not peacefully resign .

Just look at Thailand's political history ...

Srettha can try as much as he wants to lure foreign investments , but really , if you were an investor , would you invest in an unstable country with a history of violent coups ?

7 hours ago, webfact said:

Gen. Prawit Wongsuwan: 0.4%

 

Bless those 0.4%. The Watch Man isn't forgotten (completely).

The last election was a huge repudiation for the status quo. The people said no, I don't think so, you guys are dinosaurs, we don't want you, we don't like you you need to disappear off the face of the earth. 

 

His election is a truly great thing for this nation and shows that the people are both sick of being led by highly ignorant dinosaurs, with no interest in progress, and interested in smart, young folks, who are serious, accomplished, capable of change, and interested in insuring that Thailand has a good future. Pita is exactly what this nation needs, at this point in time. This is a huge blessing. I am optimistic. I think he will stick to his promises.

 

This is a man who interrupted his studies at MIT, during an MBA program at Sloan to rescue his father's rice bran oil business, Agrifood, after this fathers death. He was successful, and is paying down the 100 million baht his father borrowed to start the company. This is a serious man. Very unlike the failures before him. He then went back and finished his MBA, at one of the top business schools on the planet. 

 

If it hadn't been the shares it would have been something else, they simply wanted him out of the way, he was too clean, too progressive, too forward leaning, too intelligent, and too capable of moving the nation forward away from the morass of corruption and moral rot, so the shares were just an excuse. From what I understand the company was already suspended and he really had no way of getting rid of the shares. This guy's just too smart to have committed a mistake like that. It was all about the status quo, the army maintaining a hand in the pot, and deeply foul and corrupt men in the background pulling strings. 

1 hour ago, Caldera said:

 

Bless those 0.4%. The Watch Man isn't forgotten (completely).

Unfortunately 

4 hours ago, ballpoint said:

He's certainly aptly named in the view of the dinosaurs, and their current pets.  A right Pita for them.  As others have said, I don't think they'll bother trying to disguise their steps to remove him and his party from the equation.  (In fact, if they've learned from the previous dissolution of the party and its former leader, only to see it come back stronger in its current incarnation, they will do all they can to dissolve it and prevent its rising again).  Nothing was done domestically when they stole the last election, and nothing will be done internationally when they steal the next (and next, and next...).  The West will outwardly grumble, but keep on dealing with whoever is in charge.  Any real punishment or sanctions will drive Thailand further into the China camp, and the West will happily do business with any unelected despot, as long as he's on their side.  Unless there is huge widespread local protest at any attempt to dissolve them, with the army rank and file on their side, then nothing will change - though, that's easy for me to say, because I won't be the one to go to Bangkok and protest armed opposition.  The patron-politics of Thailand, whereby one family more or less runs a province and pays for political support, and its own protestors to maintain that, is another large obstacle in the path of democracy here, into which MFP appeared to be making inroads.  Things were never going to be easy with both the Bangkok and the rural elite against them - well demonstrated by the current army-Thaksin alliance.  It remains to be seen just how far Pita, and other party leaders, are prepared to go should they be removed and banned.  Will they come out with their hands on their heads, or on the trigger of a gun (so to speak)?

 

Could not read due to a headache caused by a lack of paragraphs.  Unfortunate.  Was actually interested.

But they always blow it with a schoolboy error.  Makes me wonder if they just aren't one of those single issue parties that doesn't know how to truly win.  

Pita and the other leaders of his party will soon be imprisoned for LM, and/or barred from politics for at least a decade, as was his predecessor Thanathorn.

Even if there is an endless list of well educated, charismatic, forward thinking individuals to take their place, Thailand will remain in a never ending cycle of election/political coup/military coup until the LM law is scrapped (maybe my great grandchildren will witness it).

LOL!!!!!

 

We have seen how "democracy" works in Thailand. Pita does NOT have a chance. The people's will be damned. The elite control everything in this country and will never allow that to change...sounds a lot like the USA!

7 hours ago, chickenslegs said:

Pita and the other leaders of his party will soon be imprisoned for LM, and/or barred from politics for at least a decade, as was his predecessor Thanathorn.

Even if there is an endless list of well educated, charismatic, forward thinking individuals to take their place, Thailand will remain in a never ending cycle of election/political coup/military coup until the LM law is scrapped (maybe my great grandchildren will witness it).

 

Unlike the Myanmar people, Thai's lack a backbone.....otherwise they would demand change, and fight for it. Right now the the Elite, Military, and Thaksin say "jump", and the Thai people say "how high?". 

Yaa!

8 hours ago, lordgrinz said:

 

Unlike the Myanmar people, Thai's lack a backbone.....otherwise they would demand change, and fight for it. Right now the the Elite, Military, and Thaksin say "jump", and the Thai people say "how high?". 

And how often? 

Hate to say it but it does not matter if he has 100%. 

Thailand is heading in a very dangerous direction IMHO.