Pandemic in Thailand: The worst is still to come - DDC predicts 20-30,000 cases and 400 deaths per day

[Kwaibill]

1 hour ago, bunnydrops said:

Thai habit of pronouncing the r sound as  L

Same as Chinese. Not surprising.

One of the causes of miscommunication with my wife.

[Mr Meeseeks]

35 minutes ago, edwinchester said:

You would be reported as dying as a result of a road traffic accident.

Only if you died at the scene.

[Kwaibill]

I think trouble lies with the initial success at limitation, and not understanding that procurring vaccines for a new disease is not like strolling down to 7/11 for a strip of paracetemol.

[Ireland32]

11 minutes ago, Blumpie said:

If these numbers come to fruition I think it's time to get the hell out of Thailand gentlemen and ladies (I mention ladies last as there are hardly any here)

I left a month ago writing was on the Wall , I’ve got my Moderna , I hope it helps 

[grantbkk]

I hope this guy doesn’t do the math for the Thai outer space program. The spacecraft will be crashing into the Chao Phraya after takeoff. 

[Bkk Brian]

1 hour ago, smedly said:

I said  a few days ago that this hasn't even started yet 

 

so I agree with the the DDC assessment

 

stay safe folks - there is nowhere to hide from this virus and little chance of protection any time soon.

Phuket thought it could hide from this, closed its borders unless you were vaccinated and now delta is in putting the sandbox experiment in a precarious situation.

 

Now Phuket is completely sealed with no domestic travellers allowed in at all, but delta is already here, too late I'm afraid.

[edwinchester]

17 minutes ago, Mr Meeseeks said:

Only if you died at the scene.

All hospitals write the cause of death on a Thai Death Certificate. If you get creamed on your motorcycle they'll write that you died in a road accident. Thai Govt road death stats bear little reality to what is  actually recorded.

Edited July 31, 2021 by edwinchester

[Almer]

3 hours ago, Mickeymaus said:

"The peak would be September 14th."

 

Okay. Now please tell me the lottery numbers...

14 is a good start

[Owiee]

I would suggest we are already at these numbers. The reported cases are stats obtained from people trying to get into hospitals, what about all those who have not been tested if testing was implemented across the country current numbers would be blow out of the water. 

[Rimmer]

A misleading post stating false information has been removed

[brucegoniners]

It wouldn’t come to this if the government would take the obvious same measures that worked last year. Maybe they forgot. It was so long ago.

[dutchman]

5 hours ago, dinsdale said:

Well the 'lockdown' has done nothing so I would go with the worst case senario.

There is not much of a  lockdown my gf treveled  to our recidence with car and had all the papers from gouverment allow travel.

Never seen any roadblock anywhere

 

[Dogmatix]

It would be interesting to see what is in this buffoon's mathematical model.  Garbage in, garbage out.

 

Even with meaningful methodology, any model is meaningless with case numbers manipulated down with general lack of testing, refusal to act on results of antigen tests that have no provision for PCR confirmation.  That also makes mitigation methods ineffective as he doesn't know where the cases are. 

Edited July 31, 2021 by Dogmatix

[Dogmatix]

Very obvious it is going to 60,000 reported cases and 450 reported deaths a day with real numbers many more before its done. This guy and his mates will continue fiddling around with his models while Rome burns and nothing anyone can do about it. There will be many more avoidable deaths.

[Guderian]

The virus is spread by travel and socialising, especially in noisy situations indoors where people have to shout.

They’re being fairly strict on the socialising part, with all bars closed, arrests at homes holding parties, and perhaps excessively strict as regards closing the beaches and sea, which present no risk to individuals who are then forced onto the relatively crowded walkways to exercise.

However, in spite of supposedly tough restrictions being in place, they’re allowing free and unfettered travel between provinces, as anybody who has been to Bangkok in the last two weeks for a vaccination can attest. Since the current restrictions seem to be having no effect, and it’s hard to see how restrictions on socialising can get much tougher without actually banning all booze sales again, they need to get serious about stopping all non-essential travel, and not just mouthing platitudes about doing it.

Edited July 31, 2021 by Guderian

[Skeptic7]

30 minutes ago, dutchman said:

There is not much of a  lockdown my gf treveled  to our recidence with car and had all the papers from gouverment allow travel.

Never seen any roadblock anywhere

 

Same with buddy of mine. Left Jomtien for Korat...arrived unimpeded. Then drove 3 days later to BKK on 28th with all necessary docs as they were catching a flight early next morning. No stops, no checks...unimpeded travel. Then could not get GRAB to Swampy, as GRAB said NO TRAVEL...so called nephew and he drove over at midnight and dropped them at the airport, then drove home...unimpeded. No stops or checks seen anywhere. All just a bunch of hot air. 555

[khunPer]

4 hours ago, edwinchester said:

 From the OP

"The peak would be September 14th."

 

From yesterday's news

 

 

Somebody needs to worry about being had up for fake news.

Makes me think of that the ASEAN Now-experts may be as precise as any other Covid-experts, ASEAN Now-experts could perhaps even be more precise...????

[wombat]

with all the doom and gloom figures the one i cant find is what % of the population are the deaths so far?

[wombat]

24 minutes ago, daveAustin said:

tallied as a covid fatality. 

does that include suicide by no job no money in LOS?

[wombat]

28 minutes ago, khunPer said:

ASEAN Now-experts.

i don't get why other peoples opinions are derided?
its up to the individual to sort the excrement from the strawberry jam

Edited July 31, 2021 by wombat

[Isaan sailor]

How about you drop the quarantine for fully vaxxed returning residents?  We’d get on the next available flight outta here.  And you wouldn’t have to vaccinate us…

[malibukid]

all we can do is wear our mask and washy washy

[malibukid]

7 minutes ago, Isaan sailor said:

How about you drop the quarantine for fully vaxxed returning residents?  We’d get on the next available flight outta here.  And you wouldn’t have to vaccinate us…

you and me both brother.  but Thai loose face big time.

[Kinnock]

4 hours ago, Kwaibill said:

I think trouble lies with the initial success at limitation, and not understanding that procurring vaccines for a new disease is not like strolling down to 7/11 for a strip of paracetemol.

I think Australia and New Zealand have the same issue.  Countries with early success seem to have been slow to procure vaccines.  All these 'experts' advising their governments seem to lack the basic ability to predict outcomes.

[Kinnock]

23 minutes ago, wombat said:

i don't get why other peoples opinions are derided?
its up to the individual to sort the excrement from the strawberry jam

Since this pandemic started, there seems to have been a serious jam shortage and an excess of excrement 

[spidermike007]

I guess what they are really saying is the economic lockdown is a failure, the sandbox scheme is a failure, the vaccination program is a failure, Prayuth is a failure, Anutin is a failure and we are looking into the tunnel, and it is the headlamp of an oncoming train. 

 

It would be quite a shame to admit all those failures, considering how many businesses have been crushed, how many lives ruined, and how many have been driven to suicide, which the media has likely been instructed to NOT report. 

 

Oh wait. Can I be locked up for 15 years for saying that? Have I just committed sedition? 

 

Yeah I know, the truth is a terrible thing. 

Edited July 31, 2021 by spidermike007

[khunPer]

42 minutes ago, wombat said:

i don't get why other peoples opinions are derided?
its up to the individual to sort the excrement from the strawberry jam

I didn't deride the Thai experts - it was not at all my intention - I just made a comparison to all us well informed ASEA-Now-posters, some might be equally good...????

[Anythingleft?]

6 hours ago, tomazbodner said:

Not really. The other countries may have closed the books on the previous wave, but a new wave is spreading big in the West, and actually all over the World. Their numbers will also go up tremendously very soon. In US, mandatory masks are back, with strong pushback from businesses, as the infections of Delta are rising. In Europe, Spain and Greece are hotspots exporting Delta all over the continent. You hear of spikes in Japan, Korea, Australia... Even China has the biggest outbreak in Nanjing (apparently larger than Wuhan, according to BBC). So whatever numbers Thailand has, maybe it is temporarily moving it up on the scale, but others will very soon overtake again.

Can guarantee that all mentioned countries are doing far more testing than Thailand so not really any comparison to be made. If there was an equal testing rate throughout then I could be swayed but highly unlikely.....

[hotchilli]

8 hours ago, webfact said:

As far as deaths go he said that without lockdown this would be 500 a day with the worst day predicted as September 28th. 

Yeah, or it could just keep climbing... 

[jerrymahoney]

16 minutes ago, spidermike007 said:

Oh wait. Can I be locked up for 15 years for saying that? Have I just committed sedition? 

 

Yeah I know, the truth is a terrible thing. 

Maybe if they paid any attention to you.