Thailand’s third COVID-19 wave has already peaked: CCSA

[webfact]

REUTERS FILE PHOTO for reference only

 

Thailand’s third wave of COVID-19 infections has already peaked and the overall situation is stabilizing, the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) said on Thursday.

 

“The peak was on April 24 and it is stabilizing downwards,” said CCSA spokesperson Dr. Taweesin Visanuyothin.

 

The third wave of infections began on April 1 and could be traced to a number of bars and clubs in the Thonglor and Ekkamai districts in Bangkok.

 

Infection clusters in those venues could then be directly linked to clusters discovered in Hua Hin and Pattaya and numerous other provinces.

 

As of Friday (April 30) the third wave of infections in Thailand has resulted in a total of 36,290 cases and 109 deaths, while 28,696 patients continue to receive medical treatment. 

 

Also on Friday, Thailand reported 1,583 new coronavirus cases, the fewest number of cases in more than one week. 

 

This brings the country's total number of confirmed infections to 65,153 since the pandemic began last year.

 

Fifteen new deaths were reported, taking the total number of fatalities to 203.

 

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[Excel]

Infections based on the last few days of data appear to indicate that infections overall have peaked. However, and something more concerning perhaps, especially for the families of the deceased, it can not be concluded yet that deaths have peaked. When deaths continue to decline over a 7day period, day on day, then one may conclude it has previously peaked, not until.

[keith101]

We have heard that before .

[mr_lob]

Number of tests peaked on the same date...????

[robblok]

5 minutes ago, Excel said:

Infections based on the last few days of data appear to indicate that infections overall have peaked. However, and something more concerning perhaps, especially for the families of the deceased, it can not be concluded yet that deaths have peaked. When deaths continue to decline over a 7day period, day on day, then one may conclude it has previously peaked, not until.

Deaths always have a delay, so they come after the peak. So what your saying does not make sense. (peaking deaths have nothing to do with infections and that is what they are talking about)

 

Still this is based on figures of the Thai government. But if they kept testing the same way all the period then they are right. Still the numbers are not low and just a small lapse can bring them on. 

[Petey11]

Thai authorities need to package and sell their secret formula to defeating all strains of covid. One of the few countries in the world who can contain the UK variant in such a short time with no major restrictions. TIT, well done.

[brewsterbudgen]

Good news, but why the move to "deep-red" zones then?

[poskat]

lets see what the virus has to say about it rather than wishful government officials

[brewsterbudgen]

9 minutes ago, poskat said:

lets see what the virus has to say about it rather than wishful government officials

Very true, but we only really have the numbers to go by.

[Lacessit]

I want their crystal ball, my GF needs it for the national lottery. She has promised to share the winnings with me.

[rabas]

45 minutes ago, keith101 said:

We have heard that before .

Three times now. Three waves.  If they really can defeat this one, there is little doubt their system works well for Thailand.

 

[John Drake]

8 minutes ago, rabas said:

Three times now. Three waves.  If they really can defeat this one, there is little doubt their system works well for Thailand.

 

 

Could easily be that the possibility of being detained in a field hospital puts the fear of God into everyone and they comply with Covid mandates.

[rabas]

4 minutes ago, John Drake said:

Could easily be that the possibility of being detained in a field hospital puts the fear of God into everyone and they comply with Covid mandates.

 

Buddha promised them a new life.

 

[IamNoone88]

The 4th wave is when they open up the borders.

[MasterBaker]

time to hold people responsible for irresponsible statements

[meltonpie]

"Thailand’s third wave of COVID-19 infections has already peaked and the overall situation is stabilizing, the Centre for Covid-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) said on Thursday"

 

yes of course....

but meanwhile in Chon Buri where they have slightly increased the amount of "mass testing" (lol) the number of new cases has increased.

[cyril sneer]

I saw the news of that celebrity dying this morning, makes me wonder what goes on these rural isaan villages...

[RichardColeman]

11 minutes ago, MasterBaker said:

time to hold people responsible for irresponsible statements

Don't be silly, there'd be nobody left !

[grandpa]

I cannot understand how Thailand can control this virus so quickly when most of the rest of the world (who incidentally do a huge amount of testing by comparison) are still struggling to put the lid on it!  And if the figures are correct, why aren't world leaders calling in their droves to discover the secret of success?

 

[madmen]

1 hour ago, brewsterbudgen said:

Good news, but why the move to "deep-red" zones then?

And why has the opening been pushed back to 2022 

[realfunster]

1 hour ago, Petey11 said:

in such a short time with no major restrictions.

 

I get your humour but to be fair, there have been a reasonable amount of restrictions, in Bangkok at least.

Bars - shut 3+ weeks ago.

Companies - many working at home for 2 weeks already.

Convenience stores - shutting at 10pm for 1 week already.

I won't mention shopping malls as all that is nonsensical...

 

What does seems strange in the context of 'being through the worst' is that they are ramping up restrictions tomorrow !

 

[Brunolem]

14 minutes ago, grandpa said:

I cannot understand how Thailand can control this virus so quickly when most of the rest of the world (who incidentally do a huge amount of testing by comparison) are still struggling to put the lid on it!  And if the figures are correct, why aren't world leaders calling in their droves to discover the secret of success?

 

They could also check with Taiwan, or Vietnam, but that would be too humiliating.

 

These leaders are in charge and they know better than their neighbors, and everyone else, including their own local doctors... results be damned!

[Dialemco]

59 minutes ago, Lacessit said:

I want their crystal ball, my GF needs it for the national lottery. She has promised to share the winnings with me.

She must really love you. 

[PETERTHEEATER]

1 hour ago, webfact said:

.......and it is stabilizing downwards,

Another contradiction.......????

[TheFishman1]

I just don’t believe it I don’t think the Thai government can’t control or contain the virus they do very limited testing yeah I think people would be surprised they knew the real numbers high government counts the virus like they do road fatalities which everybody knows are not real TIT

[weelegs]

54 minutes ago, John Drake said:

 

Could easily be that the possibility of being detained in a field hospital puts the fear of God into everyone and they comply with Covid mandates.

True, and that fear (or the fear of enforced home quarantine for the entire household if a positive case is detected, as the authorities are doing in my area up north) may deter people for coming in for testing. Unless they are basing their case counts on recurring sampling of defined populations, the case counts don't mean much. 

[4MyEgo]

30 minutes ago, grandpa said:

I cannot understand how Thailand can control this virus so quickly when most of the rest of the world (who incidentally do a huge amount of testing by comparison) are still struggling to put the lid on it!  And if the figures are correct, why aren't world leaders calling in their droves to discover the secret of success?

 

 

It's the humidity, or is that the smoke ?

[retsdon]

Thailand has a test rate of 3,000 per million people. The UK by comparison has a rate of 2,067,509 per million (2 tests per head).

 

no prizes for guessing who will find the most cases.

[4MyEgo]

3 minutes ago, TheFishman1 said:

I just don’t believe it I don’t think the Thai government can’t control or contain the virus they do very limited testing yeah I think people would be surprised they knew the real numbers high government counts the virus like they do road fatalities which everybody knows are not real TIT

 

There just showing off their "army/government skill set.

[richard_smith237]

2 hours ago, robblok said:

Deaths always have a delay, so they come after the peak. So what your saying does not make sense. (peaking deaths have nothing to do with infections and that is what they are talking about)

 

Still this is based on figures of the Thai government. But if they kept testing the same way all the period then they are right. Still the numbers are not low and just a small lapse can bring them on. 

 

The number of cases peaked which is somewhat irrelevant and only related to the amount of testing.

Thus: IF the number of people tested also peaked, it would make sense that the number of cases peaked. 

 

The ‘cases’ figures are highly misleading because they are purely related to the number of tests carried out. 

 

The true metric is ‘necessary hospitalisations’ those on ICU and deaths. 

 

Given Thailand’s testing methods and conclusion based on ‘test results’ alone is simply flawed.