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COVID-19: Thailand reports 51 more deaths and 3,174 new cases

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Out of 3,112 local cases (outside of prisons) most in

 

Bangkok - 956

Samut Prakan - 501

Samut Sakhon - 240

Songkhla - 185

Chonburi - 142

Pattani - 120

Pathum Thani - 93

Ratchaburi - 91

Narathiwat - 89

Nahon Pathom - 79

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1407577512931053573

 

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  • Macrohistory
    Macrohistory

    Your prediction of a month ago that cases would steadily decline because, as you claimed, an "inflection point" had been reached in late April has proved entirely wrong.  

  • Bkk Brian
    Bkk Brian

    Another very high day of positive cases, the upward trend continues and an all time high of 51 dead from covid. Critical care hospital beds in all state hospitals in Bangkok are now full. The situatio

  • ThailandRyan
    ThailandRyan

    Waiting on the Artifact statement for yesterdays figures to be posted.  The 51 deaths are a new ATH, and one that is definitely worrying.  Looks like we are staying now in the 3k range as discussed a

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There is another long holiday coming up in July for Buddhist lent. 

 

https://www.officeholidays.com/countries/thailand/2021

 

If inter provincial travel is not prohibited for this long holiday then the figures we are seeing now will inevitably get much much worse and the hospitals nationwide will be swamped and unable to cope with the new cases.

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Not long before the UK and other countries follow suit I think.............

 

US Warns its citizens against traveling to Thailand

The CDC rates Thailand as “very high” for Covid-19 Levels and advises that only fully vaccinated people consider travel to Thailand. This is in line with Thailand’s current reopening rules requiring all international arrivals to be fully vaccinated. Unvaccinated travellers are warned by the CDC not to attempt travel to Thailand unless it’s absolutely essential and warns that anyone travelling to Thailand runs a high risk of being exposed to Covid-19.

 

https://thethaiger.com/news/national/us-warns-its-citizens-against-traveling-to-thailand

Probably doesn't make much difference at this juncture, but I'm wondering if the Bangkok death totals are at all being inflated by patients who contracted the virus in other provinces, journeyed to Bangkok in search of better care, and ended up succumbing to the virus in in the capitol. 

 

2 minutes ago, Gecko123 said:

Probably doesn't make much difference at this juncture, but I'm wondering if the Bangkok death totals are at all being inflated by patients who contracted the virus in another province, journeyed to Bangkok in search of better care, and ended up succumbing to the virus in in the capitol. 

Possibly, but at this stage we can only surmise.

Testing in Thailand is in the region of 60,000 - 80,000 tests per day as per the stats at: 

https://ourworldindata.org/.

That equates to approximately 0.8 - 1.0 tests per 1,000 people. In the UK they are currently testing about 15 in every 1,000 people every day. It's not hard to see why the UK would have more cases and a much lower positivity rate at the moment.

1 minute ago, Sunderland said:

Testing in Thailand is in the region of 60,000 - 80,000 tests per day as per the stats at: 

https://ourworldindata.org/.

That equates to approximately 0.8 - 1.0 tests per 1,000 people. In the UK they are currently testing about 15 in every 1,000 people every day. It's not hard to see why the UK would have more cases and a much lower positivity rate at the moment.

Those stats for Thailand include repeat tests so are not at all representative of how many people they actually test per day which is far less

47 minutes ago, beano2274 said:

 

Where did the imported cases come from? Thais coming home or foreigners arriving in Thailand?

Does it matter?

1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said:

Those stats for Thailand include repeat tests so are not at all representative of how many people they actually test per day which is far less

 

I did wonder that. It makes the number of people ever tested even smaller.

Japan is another country that isn't big on testing. 

It's been a theme of the pandemic that countries which did mass testing often found many cases. The UAE is a good example of a high number of cases and a high number of tests. 
 

22 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Not long before the UK and other countries follow suit I think.............

 

US Warns its citizens against traveling to Thailand

The CDC rates Thailand as “very high” for Covid-19 Levels and advises that only fully vaccinated people consider travel to Thailand. This is in line with Thailand’s current reopening rules requiring all international arrivals to be fully vaccinated. Unvaccinated travellers are warned by the CDC not to attempt travel to Thailand unless it’s absolutely essential and warns that anyone travelling to Thailand runs a high risk of being exposed to Covid-19.

 

https://thethaiger.com/news/national/us-warns-its-citizens-against-traveling-to-thailand

And how about help for it’s unvaccinated citizens who are stuck in country?
 

AFRIMS is giving J&J out even to young, nonnmedical, unrelated Thai contractors. The UN is vaccinating even its retirees in country, apparently because Thailand falls in its “country with no viable vaccination program” category. France is helping its at-risk citizens in country. 

 

Hey US embassy, what’s your excuse today?

"Why do some places prosper and thrive, while others just suck?" - P.J. O'Rourke

1 minute ago, DavisH said:

Does it matter?

yes, because without the knowledge of what is causing something you can not take preventive measures to ensure it does not continue. Simple really, unless of course you think that the spread should continue without knowing why.

1 minute ago, DavisH said:

Does it matter?

 

yes, if Thais then it shows the policy of allowing Thais to return home without testing is not working. on the plane with the possibly infected Thai were there any Foreigners, it just takes one infected person to create a new wave.

19 minutes ago, Denim said:

There is another long holiday coming up in July for Buddhist lent. 

 

https://www.officeholidays.com/countries/thailand/2021

 

If inter provincial travel is not prohibited for this long holiday then the figures we are seeing now will inevitably get much much worse and the hospitals nationwide will be swamped and unable to cope with the new cases.

 

Indeed, 26 & 28 July are both Public Holidays (Buddha Day and King's Birthday), so it looks like at least a 5-day holiday!  

1 minute ago, brewsterbudgen said:

 

Indeed, 26 & 28 July are both Public Holidays (Buddha Day and King's Birthday), so it looks like at least a 5-day holiday!  

Oh dear, another ominous period looming by the looks of it

1 minute ago, Sunderland said:

 

I did wonder that. It makes the number of people ever tested even smaller.

Japan is another country that isn't big on testing. 

It's been a theme of the pandemic that countries which did mass testing often found many cases. The UAE is a good example of a high number of cases and a high number of tests. 
 

Yes the data that ourworldindata gets is from the data published by Thailand's https://ddc.moph.go.th/ and when the excel file is downloaded from there the documentation clearly states that it includes repeat testing.

 

To get an idea on how many repeat tests there are, each person who is diagnosed with covid with one test then goes onto have at least another two tests before being released from hospital. So 3 minimum and thats just for covid patients.

 

UAE is indeed good on testing and transparent on its reporting with the daily figures published and updated on its gov website.

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2 hours ago, Danderman123 said:

And now for something completely different:

 

Mexico simply lives with the virus. Bars are open. Shops are open.

 

The number of infections is typically a few thousand per day, but they don’t test much. Hospitals occasionally are swamped. Most people die at home. Few are vaccinated.

 

Perhaps this is the model for Thailand.

Mexico has one of the highest CoVid-19 case fatality rates in the world. In many countries, if you get infected, your chance of dying is 2-3%.

 

In Mexico, it's over 9%.

 

IMG_20210623_133500.png

Thailand’s well-known virologist Dr Yong Poovorawan on Wednesday urged the government to inoculate as many people as possible to prevent an outbreak of the Covid-19 Delta strain

Citing a study by the Department of Medical Sciences, his Facebook post said 90 per cent of Covid-19 infections in Thailand were from the Alpha strain, followed by Delta strain (9 per cent) and Beta strain (1 per cent).

 

However, he predicted that the number of Delta-strain infections, found mostly among young workers, would gradually rise in the next three to four months.

 

He also pointed out that the vaccines currently administered in Thailand only offer protection against the Alpha strain.

 

https://www.nationthailand.com/life/40002364

 

3 minutes ago, Excel said:

Oh dear, another ominous period looming by the looks of it

Yes agree, will they do the right thing though and warn people not to travel?

  • Popular Post
26 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Not long before the UK and other countries follow suit I think.............

 

US Warns its citizens against traveling to Thailand

The CDC rates Thailand as “very high” for Covid-19 Levels and advises that only fully vaccinated people consider travel to Thailand. This is in line with Thailand’s current reopening rules requiring all international arrivals to be fully vaccinated. Unvaccinated travellers are warned by the CDC not to attempt travel to Thailand unless it’s absolutely essential and warns that anyone travelling to Thailand runs a high risk of being exposed to Covid-19.

 

https://thethaiger.com/news/national/us-warns-its-citizens-against-traveling-to-thailand

Telling it like it is will not score any points with this government and the Phuket Sandbox plan as well as the plans to open up the other provinces.  All the folks from the US I know have already scrapped their plans for this year and are heading to South America and Cozumel for this years summer break.  They have indicated that if Thailand gets it's act together they may plan on next year, but not until the country turns itself around and vaccinates and is not infested with all variants of Covid.

Of the 96 known clusters in Bangkok, 79 have reported cases in the past 14 days including 30 in worker camps, 17 at businesses and factories, 17 around markets and shopping centres, 12 in residential areas, two at care homes and one at a naval academy.

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiEnquirer/status/1407590157436424195

 

4 hours ago, DrJack54 said:

Can someone explain prison numbers.

There is a LOT of people currently incarcerated. Only 36 new cases? 

BTW how many folk are in the prison system.

The last few days have showed a steady decline in the reported number of Prisoners Infected with Covid.

Read into this fact what you will.

There are roughly 310, 000 Prisoners in the system. Whether that is all the prisoners including those on remand Etc, I dont know.

There are 143 prisons of which only 22 ( I think ) are infected. The rest are clear of any Covid according to the Corrections Dep,t.

 

 

30 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Those stats for Thailand include repeat tests so are not at all representative of how many people they actually test per day which is far less

Soon they start to add people from 7/11 thermometer scan  in tested list! Get nice result!

4 hours ago, Bkk Brian said:

He said that since 1st April they had conducted a total of 285,000 active case finding tests in Bangkok and the surrounding Provinces. This equates to just around 3,500 tests daily spread over Bangkok and its 5 peripheral provinces. A pathetic number of tests to find cases. Thats less than 583 tests per province including Bangkok although obviously some will get less as Bangkok would be weighted with more of the share I guess.

 

With that miniscule level of testing and the current level of positives............the real situation if they had anything near normal test levels nationwide would be sobering.

 

 

2 hours ago, dinsdale said:

Oxford does study on Oxford-AstraZenica. Call me a cynic if you will.

These are lab tests. It did say"alongside recent real world reports by public health england. Public health england publish a lot of info. "public health england daily report" is bangup to date. 

5 minutes ago, Bkk Brian said:

Yes I know thanks, when I post something I also read the source before doing so????.......

Along with a little color commentary. YOU may know but not everyone reading that headline would know.

1 hour ago, Bkk Brian said:

Not long before the UK and other countries follow suit I think.............

 

US Warns its citizens against traveling to Thailand

The CDC rates Thailand as “very high” for Covid-19 Levels and advises that only fully vaccinated people consider travel to Thailand. This is in line with Thailand’s current reopening rules requiring all international arrivals to be fully vaccinated. Unvaccinated travellers are warned by the CDC not to attempt travel to Thailand unless it’s absolutely essential and warns that anyone travelling to Thailand runs a high risk of being exposed to Covid-19.

 

https://thethaiger.com/news/national/us-warns-its-citizens-against-traveling-to-thailand

That warning is a complete disaster for the Thai tourism sandbox.

1 minute ago, jerrymahoney said:

Along with a little color commentary.

???? love the bait try harder

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