Reuters file photo: People receive the first dose of the AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine in Bangkok, Thailand, Jun 7, 2021. Photo: Reuters/Soe Zeya Tun

Thailand on Thursday (June 17) reported 3,129 new COVID-19 cases and 30 additional deaths over the past 24 hours.

● 2,672 new infections
● 457 prison / prison infections

 

● Thursday’s cases bring the total number of COVID-19 infections in Thailand to 207,724 with 1,555 deaths.
(Total infections since April 1: 178,861)

The news comes as Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha declared Wednesday that Thailand will fully reopen its borders within four months, as the country is to begin welcoming fully vaccinated foreign tourists, starting with the southern resort island of Phuket on July 1st.

 

 

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Up they go again...................

 

Rolling 7 day average (up to 15th June only) which includes prison cases and bar chart of community cases.

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/thailand

 

 

 

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1405317971405201410

 

As a prison visitor for many years, I am concerned at the continuing high numbers of infections in the jails. It seems that no effort whatsoever is being made to thwart its spread. I would also like very much, given the prison numbers are reported separately to the country, to know the fatality numbers, which I suspect will be disproportionately high to the rest of the population.

Yes, It just keeps on moving along, as well as the deaths...so how can the country open up in 120 days like the good PM said last night.  How will tourists, whose own country might keep them from coming, and if they do upon their return home they must then quarantine at home or isolate.  Of course with any statement, there may be many u-turns and flip flops with this as well.  The troubling issue is that the vaccination plan they rolled out is stumbling very badly.  We have not heard of any more production issues with the AZ vaccine, but if they are ordering more from abroad that just tells us all it is not going to pan.   Stay safe

Back up to 30 deaths (so not sure about the previous low numbers) with 2,672 community infections. Prayut obviously thinks that 30 people dying and 2-3k infections per day is acceptable and not serious enough to not allow full openning of Thailand. Let's see. Delta B1.617.2 is now on the move.

1 minute ago, ThailandRyan said:

Yes, It just keeps on moving along, as well as the deaths...so how can the country open up in 120 days like the good PM said last night.  How will tourists, whose own country might keep them from coming, and if they do upon their return home they must then quarantine at home or isolate.  Of course with any statement, there may be many u-turns and flip flops with this as well.  The troubling issue is that the vaccination plan they rolled out is stumbling very badly.  We have not heard of any more production issues with the AZ vaccine, but if they are ordering more from abroad that just tells us all it is not going to pan.   Stay safe

Agreed with your points plus when the Delta variant becomes dominate then no tourists vaccinated or not will be heading to Thailand, just no point risking getting infected even if mildly and then ending up carted off to a field hospital.

1 minute ago, Bkk Brian said:

Agreed with your points plus when the Delta variant becomes dominate then no tourists vaccinated or not will be heading to Thailand, just no point risking getting infected even if mildly and then ending up carted off to a field hospital.

Its extremely worrying that in a relative short period of time we could see even more major issues arising now that the Delta variant is becoming rampant. Would not be surprised if shortly we see Thailand added to the red list by some other countries.

2 minutes ago, Excel said:

Its extremely worrying that in a relative short period of time we could see even more major issues arising now that the Delta variant is becoming rampant. Would not be surprised if shortly we see Thailand added to the red list by some other countries.

Yup, easy to decide off your bat to open up on some abstract date in order to have a tourist high season, much harder to get other countries to take you off their red list, particularly if their decision is data driven.

 

it’s blind stupidity to not balance opening, to Covid data and vaccination levels. It has to be in sync because you need other countries decisions to match your own.

12 June: 3,277 - 29 dead

13 June: 2,804 - 18 dead

14 June: 3,355 - 17 dead

15 June: 3,000 - 19 dead

16 June: 2,331 - 40 dead

17 June: 3,129 - 30 dead <— TODAY

 

https://twitter.com/ThaiNewsReports/status/1405328769800232960

 

31 minutes ago, darksidedog said:

As a prison visitor for many years, I am concerned at the continuing high numbers of infections in the jails. It seems that no effort whatsoever is being made to thwart its spread. I would also like very much, given the prison numbers are reported separately to the country, to know the fatality numbers, which I suspect will be disproportionately high to the rest of the population.

I think they get shipped off to Wat Nah Ting Ta See Here for a bio secure cremation.

Delta variant...........

 

You will see how ineffective the Sinovac vaccine is in due course I believe.  Prepare for 3000 and 4000 and 5000 cases daily before too many more weeks pass.

3 minutes ago, RR2020 said:

Delta variant...........

 

You will see how ineffective the Sinovac vaccine is in due course I believe.  Prepare for 3000 and 4000 and 5000 cases daily before too many more weeks pass.

Sorry those numbers are way above the reporting threshold so you probably won't see them.

With todays case numbers it will probably push Thailand into number 78 on the worldometer list, from memory I think they reached as low as 177 so that's nearly 100 places it's risen up the loss of face list.If only they could rise as rapidly up the transparency list to number 5 but no they choose to remain where they are at 104th.

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The increase to 2600 community infections was predicted by the recent increase in hospital walk-in cases.

 

If you watch the numbers for walk-in cases,  they will provide an insight into near term infection numbers.  
 

This is based on the premise that the government tests contacts of positive cases, and thus can uncover clusters. They don’t test where there are no contacts. 

A troll post and replies removed

13 minutes ago, FarFlungFalang said:

Sorry those numbers are way above the reporting threshold so you probably won't see them.

It doesn’t matter - if hospital walk-in cases reach 2500+ cases a day, everyone will know that community infections are far higher.

20 minutes ago, RR2020 said:

Delta variant...........

 

You will see how ineffective the Sinovac vaccine is in due course I believe.  Prepare for 3000 and 4000 and 5000 cases daily before too many more weeks pass.

i definitely agree with you point.

 

they will never increase testing from current levels and so if we see those sort of numbers it means the infection rate is climbing. Testing numbers will stay the same (no up to date data available but seems to be in the 20k to 30k per day range)

1 hour ago, darksidedog said:

As a prison visitor for many years, I am concerned at the continuing high numbers of infections in the jails. It seems that no effort whatsoever is being made to thwart its spread. I would also like very much, given the prison numbers are reported separately to the country, to know the fatality numbers, which I suspect will be disproportionately high to the rest of the population.

See this article.

 

Vaccination in prisons

Testing is the issue for the number of cases found in Thailand . 

 

1 hour ago, ThailandRyan said:

Yes, It just keeps on moving along, as well as the deaths...so how can the country open up in 120 days like the good PM said last night.  How will tourists, whose own country might keep them from coming, and if they do upon their return home they must then quarantine at home or isolate.  Of course with any statement, there may be many u-turns and flip flops with this as well.  The troubling issue is that the vaccination plan they rolled out is stumbling very badly.  We have not heard of any more production issues with the AZ vaccine, but if they are ordering more from abroad that just tells us all it is not going to pan.   Stay safe

opening in 120 days is a pipe dream and rather foolish, Thailand in my opinion is at least a year behind the west and if and when this Indian variant takes hold here things will really start to be very challenging - we haven't seen anything yet as if it wasn't bad enough......................but   

How many people Vaccinated today?

27 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

It doesn’t matter - if hospital walk-in cases reach 2500+ cases a day, everyone will know that community infections are far higher.

I wonder how unwell the folk are feeling that causes them to report to a hospital.

 

I also wonder how many try and 'wait it out' at home.

 

I realize this may sound like a crazy comment however I'm not sure what I would do if I had symptoms. 

4 minutes ago, DrJack54 said:

I wonder how unwell the folk are feeling that causes them to report to a hospital.

 

I also wonder how many try and 'wait it out' at home.

 

I realize this may sound like a crazy comment however I'm not sure what I would do if I had symptoms. 

You are correct. A certain percent won’t go to the hospital, even if they are sick.

 

What you forget is that we are dealing with large numbers. So, if X% won’t go to the hospital under any condition, if reported walk-in cases double, we know that the number of community infections likely has doubled.

 

 

22 minutes ago, itsari said:

Testing is the issue for the number of cases found in Thailand . 

 

You mean the lack of testing is the issue for the low numbers.  I do agree with that sentiment.

47 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

If you watch the numbers for walk-in cases,  they will provide an insight into near term infection numbers.  

No they don't.

8 minutes ago, Danderman123 said:

You are correct. A certain percent won’t go to the hospital, even if they are sick.

 

What you forget is that we are dealing with large numbers. So, if X% won’t go to the hospital under any condition, if reported walk-in cases double, we know that the number of community infections likely has doubled.

 

 

Think you missed my point. 

It's the X% number that is critical. 

 

Does anyone know how many of us "dirty farangs" have died from Covid-19 in Thailand?

7 minutes ago, BobinBKK said:

Does anyone know how many of us "dirty farangs" have died from Covid-19 in Thailand?

No but a German died from covid in Phuket yesterday:

 

“In the past week, we had two deaths including a Thai woman who worked at the Talad Kaset fresh market on Ong Sim Phai Rd in Phuket Town.

“The other death was a German national,” he said."

 

Talking of Phuket, they are having cases again now and yet the entire pro active case testing has been just 1000 in the whole of June, equal to 58 per day tests, incredible low testing volumes.

 

https://www.thephuketnews.com/phuket-covid-deaths-include-german-national-woman-with-als-80362.php

 

Schools including local Thai government are now open and yesterday we got an email from my daughters school yesterday (International school) that a student and parent of a school had tested positive although they did not state which school, a number of other students are PUI, waiting for test results.

 

It seems all smoke and mirrors here as thats not been reported yet and testing is so limited.