Thai PM sees signs of pandemic slowing with adherence to current restrictions

[webfact]

 

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said yesterday (Wednesday) that he is seeing signs that the COVID-19 spread in Thailand is slowing and the pandemic may reach its peak soon, if the current lockdown measures are strictly observed, with infections hopefully decreasing in September.

 

The prime minister said that daily new recoveries have been exceeding new infections recently, which is a good sign. He remains, however, concerned about the high number of deaths, saying that nobody wants to see another. Thailand reported a new record daily death toll high of 312 today, a big leap from yesterday’s high of 239.

 

Mr. Prayut also cited the Public Health Ministry’s claim that, if the lockdown efficacy is increased, it will help reduce the number of new cases and deaths. Therefore, the Centre of COVID-19 Situation Administration (CCSA) has decided to extend the current lockdown measures until the end of August.

 

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Full story: https://www.thaipbsworld.com/thai-pm-sees-signs-of-pandemic-slowing-with-adherence-to-current-restrictions/

 

-- © Copyright Thai PBS 2021-08-19

 

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[Thaiwrath]

If his previous "seeing signs" are anything to go by, Thailand is still in for a torrid 6 months or more.

Surely, he would be better keeping his mouth shut, and using all his energy to obtain vaccines for the people.

[Hayduke]

1 hour ago, webfact said:

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said today (Wednesday) that he is seeing signs that the COVID-19 spread in Thailand is slowing and the pandemic may reach its peak soon

Translation: “Letting people know the truth about how badly we’ve buffooned this crisis isn’t working….it’s time to go back to lying about everything.”

 

 

Edited August 18, 2021 by Hayduke

[Rampant Rabbit]

Im going to saw  off  both my legs today to  stop myself  going out, should be more  effective than any of their  plans, must sharpen the saw first though and find the  block of  wood for my  mouth and  bucket of  boiling tar, probably sting a  bit  but  itll  be  worth it, now whose  laughing mate.

[Rampant Rabbit]

2 hours ago, webfact said:

COVID-19 spread

Would  this be  like "Utterley Butterly" and where can I  buy it? its  obviously the Pm's new  covid repellant along with the falah jaaaaaaa

Edited August 18, 2021 by Rampant Rabbit

[lujanit]

If you don't test and artificially control the numbers the result is meaningless.  You may get the numbers you want yet we know what is really going on.

[sammieuk1]

Its a Prayut miracle just do nothing total the economy and it all go's away now where's my water walking shoes????

[Scrotobike]

The old problem remains - the factories are still manufacturing Covid

The numbers of very sick will fall as vaccination is rolled out

I hope he is right but I cannot see how.

[zzaa09]

1 hour ago, Hayduke said:

Translation: “Letting people know the truth about how badly we’ve buffooned this crisis isn’t working….it’s time to go back to lying about everything.”

 

 

Yep.

Tried and true.

Don't try to fix things that aren't broken.

[klauskunkel]

3 hours ago, webfact said:

he is seeing signs

and hearing voices

the end is near

[Gottfrid]

Delusional, at it´s best. Can be in need of professional treatment as well.

[Thailand]

That's a relief, was getting a little worried that things were totally out of control.

[Blumpie]

You're no doctor - you can hardly put your shoes on properly!  

[cyril sneer]

Is there any graphs showing 7-day average of covid deaths?

[TheFishman1]

Last testing  The numbers will go down TIT

[Surasak]

Prayut's remarks could also be interpreted as: These improvements may mean we can save a lot of money on buying vaccines.

[ikke1959]

As I said already.... Less testing, split the cases in general people, prisons and Rapid test, which we don't count and see numbers are declining. It is working the lock down and the sinovac... So the country can open on 1st October ...

[2long]

Is this the same PM who said in July 2-3 weeks, max 4. And then the next day said '4-6 weeks' before things are much better?

[Dene16]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

The prime minister said that daily new recoveries have been exceeding new infections recently, which is a good sign

What an absolute meaningless statement. Cases are still continuing to rise.

Just as in every other country they are finding better ways to treat the patients and therefore a faster turn around in patient stays

So when they are up to 40,000 cases per day, as has been predicted, it is okay as long as over 40,000 have left the hospitals 

You couldn't make this ##### up

[grandpa]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said yesterday (Wednesday) that he is seeing signs that the COVID-19 spread in Thailand is slowing

Needs his eyes testing!  Should have gone to Specsavers!

[ThailandRyan]

4 hours ago, webfact said:

The prime minister said that daily new recoveries have been exceeding new infections recently, which is a good sign. He remains, however, concerned about the high number of deaths,

Is he for real.  He forgets the recoveries are not of those truly recovered but released to make beds for new cases, while self treating and isolation for 10 to 14 more days at home. Then add in the ATK positive folks not counted as a case, and well there you have it. Now as far as deaths they lag cases by a few weeks and we will possibly see those numbers climb more. In 2 weeks let's see if this so called down trend impacts deaths with less of them. If so you can say it's trending downward, unless you start to not count those bodies found at home from positive ATK tests.

[Chongalulu]

Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak and to remove all doubt. — ABRAHAM LINCOLN.

[cclub75]

-record the daily numbers given by thai authorities about patients in "serious conditions" and among them, the patients with "ventilators" (ICUs). Twitter ThaiNewsReport gives those number each day.

 

-put everything into a spreadsheet.

 

-calculate the daily progression in %

 

-make an average 7 days

 

-plot the data on a chart

 

What do you see ? A clear downward trend from end of june to now. From +4 % to almost 0 now.

 

3 explanations possible :

-thai doctors treat better

-the virus is peaking

-the vaccines start to work (reduce the number of severe cases)

 

A mix of all 3.

 

Add to the equation the fact that even without any human intervention... a virus always "peaks" (bell shape).

 

So yes i know it's fashion and easy to laugh about Prayuth... but as a matter of fact... data prove him right.

 

This Covid "wave" is almost over.

 

Sorry for the doom lovers.

[JayBird]

He's not wrong.  As soon as we reach 100% of the population infected, the number of new cases will drop significantly.

 

 

[hotchilli]

5 hours ago, webfact said:

Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha said yesterday (Wednesday) that he is seeing signs that the COVID-19 spread in Thailand is slowing and the pandemic may reach its peak soon, if the current lockdown measures are strictly observed, with infections hopefully decreasing in September.

I wish I had his vision.... 

[mtls2005]

Without a vaccination plan, the options are limited. 

 

Shelter-in-place to slow (not stop) the pace to allow medicos to maintain some semblance of care for those seriously sticken, and maybe spare a few lives.

 

Or, open 'er up and live, and die, with it.

 

The former seems reasonable, the latter? Maybe less so.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited August 19, 2021 by mtls2005

[hotchilli]

2 hours ago, Scrotobike said:

The old problem remains - the factories are still manufacturing Covid

The numbers of very sick will fall as vaccination is rolled out

I hope he is right but I cannot see how.

I have friends that live nearby in my deep red province west of Bkk, they have sons & daughters that work in a local factory.

Many have contracted Covid, last week of July they started home isolation... unfortunately one succumbed to a lung infection and has passed away... age 36 with two children.

[ThailandRyan]

13 minutes ago, cclub75 said:

-record the daily numbers given by thai authorities about patients in "serious conditions" and among them, the patients with "ventilators" (ICUs). Twitter ThaiNewsReport gives those number each day.

 

-put everything into a spreadsheet.

 

-calculate the daily progression in %

 

-make an average 7 days

 

-plot the data on a chart

 

What do you see ? A clear downward trend from end of june to now. From +4 % to almost 0 now.

 

3 explanations possible :

-thai doctors treat better

-the virus is peaking

-the vaccines start to work (reduce the number of severe cases)

 

A mix of all 3.

 

Add to the equation the fact that even without any human intervention... a virus always "peaks" (bell shape).

 

So yes i know it's fashion and easy to laugh about Prayuth... but as a matter of fact... data prove him right.

 

This Covid "wave" is almost over.

 

Sorry for the doom lovers.

I think your confused. Numbers on the graph have been increasing since the end of June, not the way your saying. Everyday for the most part ICU, critical care cases and deaths have increased. Take a look again, and oh add I. Those that are released and being treated still in isolation or home and then the positive ATK cases that are isolated at home with many needing assistance as well as dying.  No doom or gloom just reality.

[timmyp]

I think the lockdown isn't helping control the spread at all, and has long since been time to open up. 

I just don't like this claim that the lockdown here has been successful at anything except making people suffer. 

 

Sure would be nice if he'd just undeclare the lockdown today instead of making everyone suffer another 12 days. 

 

I really hope kids can go to school like they have been the whole time in Japan and Sweden.  

[nickmondo]

17 minutes ago, cclub75 said:

-record the daily numbers given by thai authorities about patients in "serious conditions" and among them, the patients with "ventilators" (ICUs). Twitter ThaiNewsReport gives those number each day.

 

-put everything into a spreadsheet.

 

-calculate the daily progression in %

 

-make an average 7 days

 

-plot the data on a chart

 

What do you see ? A clear downward trend from end of june to now. From +4 % to almost 0 now.

 

3 explanations possible :

-thai doctors treat better

-the virus is peaking

-the vaccines start to work (reduce the number of severe cases)

 

A mix of all 3.

 

Add to the equation the fact that even without any human intervention... a virus always "peaks" (bell shape).

 

So yes i know it's fashion and easy to laugh about Prayuth... but as a matter of fact... data prove him right.

 

This Covid "wave" is almost over.

 

Sorry for the doom lovers.

nice post, but i dont agree.

Nowhere near the peak of new infections or deaths yet.

Lets see who is right after another couple of weeks.

I hope im wrong.