Why Gen Prayut may have to switch parties to remain in power

[webfact]

 

Three years after accepting Palang Pracharath’s invitation to stand as its candidate for prime minister, Gen Prayut Chan-o-cha faces a stark choice: Remain with the ruling party and risk political oblivion, or switch to a new party in hope of winning another term.

 

As both he and Palang Pracharath suffer waning popularity and internal powerplays, Prayut has also lost control and influence in the ruling party.

 

Meanwhile, other political parties have emerged as “reserves” for the premier in case he decides to ditch the Palang Pracharath banner – or it ditches him as PM candidate.

 

Full story: https://www.thaipbsworld.com/why-gen-prayut-may-have-to-switch-parties-to-remain-in-power/

 

-- © Copyright Thai PBS 2022-02-14

 

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[Hayduke]

 

....Prayut has also lost control and influence in the ruling party.

 

It's more about control of the army than control of the party.  When the army stops obeying orders....he will become little more than 'coup-bait'.

 

 

[asiasurfer]

I vote for Anutin as the next PM. 

 

BTW it was a joke to make you throw up your morning coffee  ????

[Thaiwrath]

Firstly, Prayut is almost certain to be supported by the 250-member Senate, which is empowered to join the Lower House in voting for a PM after the election. The Senate was appointed by the Prayut-led junta to aid and prolong its time in power.

 

Good to see democracy is still in place for the Thai populace !

So sad !

 

[zzaa09]

Wag the dog and sleight-of-hand scenarios.

They're very good at what they do. 

[Pique Dard]

"Why Gen Prayut may have to switch parties to remain in power"

 

...it's NOT  written Mr Prayut, but Gen Prayut! Gen, as far as i know stands for general, so Gen Prayut is a military, since when a military needs a party to remain in power in thailand?

[Andycoops]

The man has no principles, he would do anything to stay in, although why anyone would want the ignoramus is beyond belief.

[smedly]

can him and his mates (Anutin and Prawit) not take a hint

[Chang_paarp]

Heaven forbid that Prayut has to actually get elected in order to become PM.

[Srikcir]

19 minutes ago, Pique Dard said:

"Why Gen Prayut may have to switch parties to remain in power"

 

...it's NOT  written Mr Prayut, but Gen Prayut! Gen, as far as i know stands for general, so Gen Prayut is a military, since when a military needs a party to remain in power in thailand?

Prayut is retired military and his military faction (Queen's Guard?) is no longer a power source in the military. That might cause a split in his appointed Senate and lose political solidarity should his new party in the House of Parliament not achieve a majority 51% in the next election.

Prayut will need an almost impossible consolidation of minority parties in the House for a majority vote given the popularity of PTP and Future Party plus virtual destruction of the pro-military Democrat Party to re-elect him as PM.

So while a military coup always remains in Thailand a potential event preempting the next election, Prayut may not be its first choice.

Historically, successful transitions from neopatrimonial dictatorships to populist civilian rule is difficult.

Richard Snyder, Comparative Politics, Vol. 24, No. 4

https://www.jstor.org/stable/422151

 

[hotchilli]

5 hours ago, Hayduke said:

 

....Prayut has also lost control and influence in the ruling party.

 

It's more about control of the army than control of the party.  When the army stops obeying orders....he will become little more than 'coup-bait'.

 

 

IMHO I think he's lost control of the army too....

he's on the skids now.

[smedly]

2 hours ago, Thaiwrath said:

Firstly, Prayut is almost certain to be supported by the 250-member Senate, which is empowered to join the Lower House in voting for a PM after the election. The Senate was appointed by the Prayut-led junta to aid and prolong its time in power.

if anything close to that looks like happening there will be violence on the streets like never seen before, the whole political system will be dismantled no matter what happens - then we will see the true feelings of all the Thai people - big changes are coming and it will be painful

[klauskunkel]

Quote

Why Gen Prayut may have to switch parties to remain in power

Wouldn't he also have to switch constitutions to remain in power?

Then again, who needs a constitution when you have a Wissanu.

[hotchilli]

18 minutes ago, Andycoops said:

The man has no principles, he would do anything to stay in, although why anyone would want the ignoramus is beyond belief.

????

[steven100]

they keep beating their drums hoping and trying to convince all ....   Lol 

 

 

[Pique Dard]

39 minutes ago, Srikcir said:

Prayut is retired military and his military faction (Queen's Guard?) is no longer a power source in the military. That might cause a split in his appointed Senate and lose political solidarity should his new party in the House of Parliament not achieve a majority 51% in the next election.

Prayut will need an almost impossible consolidation of minority parties in the House for a majority vote given the popularity of PTP and Future Party plus virtual destruction of the pro-military Democrat Party to re-elect him as PM.

So while a military coup always remains in Thailand a potential event preempting the next election, Prayut may not be its first choice.

Historically, successful transitions from neopatrimonial dictatorships to populist civilian rule is difficult.

Richard Snyder, Comparative Politics, Vol. 24, No. 4

https://www.jstor.org/stable/422151

 

yeah, but Prayut is still called Gen

[edwinchester]

6 hours ago, asiasurfer said:

I vote for Anutin as the next PM. 

 

BTW it was a joke to make you throw up your morning coffee  ????

BJT offer alot of 'incentives' for people's vote so not entirely far fetched.

[Gottfrid]

2 hours ago, steven100 said:

they keep beating their drums hoping and trying to convince all ....   Lol 

 

 

Sure, but what do you say? Isn´t it really nice to see the real world. It´s no longer about belonging to a party because you share their ideals and want to do good for your country. Now it´s only about changing party to be able to stay in power to keep on lining the pockets.

[internationalism]

he had some issues to become candidate for the next PM.
i think something to do with being in power continuously since 2014 military coup.

if he is "elected" this or the next year, his rule will end up to 2027.

For the ruling class he is a symbol of hard hand and for religiously following their lead.

So he still has a chance, despite legal obstacles.

The last time he would lose to princess ubolrattana, nominated by one of the taksin party.

https://www.khaosodenglish.com/politics/2019/02/08/princess-nominated-to-lead-thailand-in-election-shocker/

 

And later on he would lose to thanathorn, if was not banned from politics for 10 years, after dissolution of future forward

https://time.com/5788470/thailand-future-forward-party-disbanded/

 

those 2 election manipulations caused street protests and further charges against future forward

https://thediplomat.com/2020/10/dissolved-thai-party-leaders-warn-against-possible-legal-charges/

 

would the new generation of voters tolerate more of dinosaurs? 

[digger70]

Abandon a Sinking ship and jump into a Lifeboat

He better make sure that the Lifeboat is Seaworthy and keeps Afloat.  ????

[tomacht8]

Strange. Article 158 of the Thai Constitution limits the PM's term to 8 years. Is there an exception for putschists?

[Thingamabob]

Anutin will, sooner or later, be the next PM. 

[PETERTHEEATER]

I recommend he joins one of Boris's parties and takes his own booze.

[DaveE13]

Here's an idea how about you and the toad actually stand for election

[GrandPapillon]

those snakes are getting quite skillful at playing elections, not sure where they got the playbooks from?

 

the Chinese government elections in HK? ????

 

[4MyEgo]

13 hours ago, asiasurfer said:

I vote for Anutin as the next PM.

That is my biggest fear, that t-w-a-t getting in as PM.

 

You did have me for a minute there with the voting thing ????

 

[The Hammer2021]

10 hours ago, Andycoops said:

The man has no principles, he would do anything to stay in, although why anyone would want the ignoramus is beyond belief.

Boris Johnson

[Nickelbeer]

As long as the Military is able to rule by coup, that is what they will do. In many other countries, the generals would be on trial for treason, which is exactly what they are guilty of. No need for Prayut to switch parties. He has the support of the military and that is all he needs.

[TheScience]

Not may

 

Must

[TheScience]

9 hours ago, Pique Dard said:

yeah, but Prayut is still called Gen

Common in US as well for officers at or above rank of Colonel ret.